COL -102 I really like the way this young Avs team has been playing. Since the big Duchene trade they are 15-10-3 which isn’t amazing but for where this team was last year, that’s a great run. More impressive is the fact that since the first week of December this team has been on a tear at 8-3-1 and have outscored the opposition 56-34 (That’s nearly 5 goals a game at 4.66 to 2.85 allowed on average). That stretch coincides with a 7-2 run on home ice. Colorado has won 6-straight, are 15-7-1 on home ice and have a +14 goal differential…we have the makings of a legit team nowadays. Since taking over for an injured Semyon Varlamov, Bernier has gone 5-0 with a .965 Save% and miniscule 1.19 GAA. Wow! Red hot Bernier, high-end offense and home ice.
MON -125 The Islanders just crushed the Rangers in MSG in a big rivalry game and Halak had perhaps one of his best games of the season (as he historically has against NY) so expect them to come down to Earth a bit on the road in Montreal. The Isles play to the Over a lot. Ownership refuses to address the major flaw in this team and that’s goaltending and defense, so the Isles simply aren’t contenders, BUT they are lining gambler’s pockets with cash if you keep betting on goals to be scored. Islander games have gone Over 14-4-2 since the start of December. Prior to that crazy run, it was still hitting at a high clip going 15-8-1 to start the year’s first two months. I must be honest here…I’m so used to pounding the Over on this team that I automatically started writing about it when that wasn’t the bet I was leaning lol. I started off mentioning the letdown…which I expect. Hard not to come down from Rangers/Isles intensity. That, plus I was going to mention the Isles road record of 9-13-1 and they have only won back-to-back road games once all season and that was over two months ago. Throw in Carey Price who has turned his season around since a terrible opening month (.883 and 3.64). Since October he’s been his usual self, posting a .924 Save% and 2.41 GAA. Current homestand he has a sparkling .932 Save% and 2.40 GAA. Home team.
NYI/MON over 6 -110See above
Good luck, everybody! Have a profitable week!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
1/8-1/14 10-10 -$329.00
Overall 67-39 +$2,667.00
COL -102 I really like the way this young Avs team has been playing. Since the big Duchene trade they are 15-10-3 which isn’t amazing but for where this team was last year, that’s a great run. More impressive is the fact that since the first week of December this team has been on a tear at 8-3-1 and have outscored the opposition 56-34 (That’s nearly 5 goals a game at 4.66 to 2.85 allowed on average). That stretch coincides with a 7-2 run on home ice. Colorado has won 6-straight, are 15-7-1 on home ice and have a +14 goal differential…we have the makings of a legit team nowadays. Since taking over for an injured Semyon Varlamov, Bernier has gone 5-0 with a .965 Save% and miniscule 1.19 GAA. Wow! Red hot Bernier, high-end offense and home ice.
MON -125 The Islanders just crushed the Rangers in MSG in a big rivalry game and Halak had perhaps one of his best games of the season (as he historically has against NY) so expect them to come down to Earth a bit on the road in Montreal. The Isles play to the Over a lot. Ownership refuses to address the major flaw in this team and that’s goaltending and defense, so the Isles simply aren’t contenders, BUT they are lining gambler’s pockets with cash if you keep betting on goals to be scored. Islander games have gone Over 14-4-2 since the start of December. Prior to that crazy run, it was still hitting at a high clip going 15-8-1 to start the year’s first two months. I must be honest here…I’m so used to pounding the Over on this team that I automatically started writing about it when that wasn’t the bet I was leaning lol. I started off mentioning the letdown…which I expect. Hard not to come down from Rangers/Isles intensity. That, plus I was going to mention the Isles road record of 9-13-1 and they have only won back-to-back road games once all season and that was over two months ago. Throw in Carey Price who has turned his season around since a terrible opening month (.883 and 3.64). Since October he’s been his usual self, posting a .924 Save% and 2.41 GAA. Current homestand he has a sparkling .932 Save% and 2.40 GAA. Home team.
Sorry. Tried posting multiple times earlier today and it kept giving me an "internal error" message. Tried Firefox, then Chrome and gave up because I had to leave the house.
Greiss is confirmed to start for the Isles which makes both plays even spicier, imo
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Sorry. Tried posting multiple times earlier today and it kept giving me an "internal error" message. Tried Firefox, then Chrome and gave up because I had to leave the house.
Greiss is confirmed to start for the Isles which makes both plays even spicier, imo
I bash Carey Price a few weeks back and he plays out of his mind. I hype him up and he lets up 4 goals on the first 10 shots. Montreal carrying this game through two periods but down by a goal. Outshooting the Isles 35-13, down 3-4. One period to go.
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I bash Carey Price a few weeks back and he plays out of his mind. I hype him up and he lets up 4 goals on the first 10 shots. Montreal carrying this game through two periods but down by a goal. Outshooting the Isles 35-13, down 3-4. One period to go.
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeRinkRat: Carey Price was just HORRID tonight. just 17 saves on 22 "Coney Island Weenies" shots and gives up the GWG to John Tavares in OT Thats because I hyped him up!
thanks alot !
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Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeRinkRat: Carey Price was just HORRID tonight. just 17 saves on 22 "Coney Island Weenies" shots and gives up the GWG to John Tavares in OT Thats because I hyped him up!
QUOTE Originally Posted by NYBartender: QUOTE Originally Posted by LeRinkRat: Carey Price was just HORRID tonight. just 17 saves on 22 "Coney Island Weenies" shots and gives up the GWG to John Tavares in OT Thats because I hyped him up! thanks alot !
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Quote Originally Posted by Warhorse1492:
QUOTE Originally Posted by NYBartender: QUOTE Originally Posted by LeRinkRat: Carey Price was just HORRID tonight. just 17 saves on 22 "Coney Island Weenies" shots and gives up the GWG to John Tavares in OT Thats because I hyped him up! thanks alot !
NJD/NYI over 6 -120Islanders looked like a team coming down from a high last night after the big rivalry game against The Rangers. They were dominated by a below average offensive team allowing 50+ shots but somehow came away with the win. Now they play the second of a back-to-back after last nights longer OT win on the road. It will also be their 3 game in 4 nights. Stat of the season: The Over has a betting record of 30-12-3 for the entire season. That’s 3+ months. This is no short-term trend with this team. It loses at astonishing low 26.6% rate. Add in the team being tired, terribly defensively, strong offensively and Corey Schneider coming in having given up 4+ goals in five straight starts plus the over has hit in 8 of his last 10 and that’s the trend to follow again tonight.
TOR -145This is a fade on Jake Allen who looks to be a complete mess in goal right now. Confidence means a lot in the world of goalies and although I can only guess at this fact, his looks shaken…to the core. Allen has lost his grip on the starting job and is 1-8 in his last nine and over his last three its gotten even worse as he sports a .854 Save% and 5.49 GAA. Now he gets the nod after the bye week in a position where goalie stats struggle due to rust and this could get ugly.
STL/TOR over 5 1/2 -110In a situation with both teams coming off the bye and goalie’s save % dipping in those same situations, I’m playing the over here. Looking at the trend from last season into this season so far, the over is 20-11 for a 64.5% win rate on teams coming off the bye week and here we have both in the same match-up. Toronto is 7 in the league in scoring and prior to the break, The Blues seemed to finally be breaking out of a long-term offensive slump converting 3+ goals in 3 straight games. Add in what I mentioned about Jake Allen and I’m expecting goals tonight.
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1/15-1/21 2-1 +$75.00
Overall 69-40 +$2742.00
NJD/NYI over 6 -120Islanders looked like a team coming down from a high last night after the big rivalry game against The Rangers. They were dominated by a below average offensive team allowing 50+ shots but somehow came away with the win. Now they play the second of a back-to-back after last nights longer OT win on the road. It will also be their 3 game in 4 nights. Stat of the season: The Over has a betting record of 30-12-3 for the entire season. That’s 3+ months. This is no short-term trend with this team. It loses at astonishing low 26.6% rate. Add in the team being tired, terribly defensively, strong offensively and Corey Schneider coming in having given up 4+ goals in five straight starts plus the over has hit in 8 of his last 10 and that’s the trend to follow again tonight.
TOR -145This is a fade on Jake Allen who looks to be a complete mess in goal right now. Confidence means a lot in the world of goalies and although I can only guess at this fact, his looks shaken…to the core. Allen has lost his grip on the starting job and is 1-8 in his last nine and over his last three its gotten even worse as he sports a .854 Save% and 5.49 GAA. Now he gets the nod after the bye week in a position where goalie stats struggle due to rust and this could get ugly.
STL/TOR over 5 1/2 -110In a situation with both teams coming off the bye and goalie’s save % dipping in those same situations, I’m playing the over here. Looking at the trend from last season into this season so far, the over is 20-11 for a 64.5% win rate on teams coming off the bye week and here we have both in the same match-up. Toronto is 7 in the league in scoring and prior to the break, The Blues seemed to finally be breaking out of a long-term offensive slump converting 3+ goals in 3 straight games. Add in what I mentioned about Jake Allen and I’m expecting goals tonight.
VGK +118More bye week trends here, not that Vegas needs a trend to make them a team to back. Nashville off the bye playing a team not off the bye. Teams in this situation are 9-20 which means blindly betting against them is a 69% winner. Even Vegas lost to this trend (on home ice, no less) to the lowly Oilers in their last game out. Teams off the bye tend to start very slow so lean the 1 period line here as well if your bookie offers it. The Golden Knights are a ridiculous 14-1-2 in their last 17. Preds are certainly no slouch but working against this trend that seems to affect every team, plus the fact they are missing their top offensive player (Forsberg) AND potentially their second best offensive forward, Victor Arvidsson, as he was helped off the ice earlier yesterday in practice and things don’t bode well. The trends, the injuries and the line make this a solid value bet.
SJS -145The Sharks came out of their bye and, other than Martin Jones, didn’t seem to skip a beat. They came out of the gate outshooting the Yotes 16-9 in the first and finished with a 44-21 shot advantage in a game they ultimately had to tie up late before winning in OT. Jones bounced back in his next start as the Sharks handled the Kings in LA last night and now get to extend their win streak to 3-straight on the friendliest road rink in the league.
Doing my typical Tuesday double so won’t be around until later tonight. Good luck to all!
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VGK +118More bye week trends here, not that Vegas needs a trend to make them a team to back. Nashville off the bye playing a team not off the bye. Teams in this situation are 9-20 which means blindly betting against them is a 69% winner. Even Vegas lost to this trend (on home ice, no less) to the lowly Oilers in their last game out. Teams off the bye tend to start very slow so lean the 1 period line here as well if your bookie offers it. The Golden Knights are a ridiculous 14-1-2 in their last 17. Preds are certainly no slouch but working against this trend that seems to affect every team, plus the fact they are missing their top offensive player (Forsberg) AND potentially their second best offensive forward, Victor Arvidsson, as he was helped off the ice earlier yesterday in practice and things don’t bode well. The trends, the injuries and the line make this a solid value bet.
SJS -145The Sharks came out of their bye and, other than Martin Jones, didn’t seem to skip a beat. They came out of the gate outshooting the Yotes 16-9 in the first and finished with a 44-21 shot advantage in a game they ultimately had to tie up late before winning in OT. Jones bounced back in his next start as the Sharks handled the Kings in LA last night and now get to extend their win streak to 3-straight on the friendliest road rink in the league.
Doing my typical Tuesday double so won’t be around until later tonight. Good luck to all!
Glad I took games and wrote up a long horsesh*t thing about Jake Allen only for Carter Hutton to start while I was at work. Rooting against Vegas now because I could give a fcuk now. :)
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Glad I took games and wrote up a long horsesh*t thing about Jake Allen only for Carter Hutton to start while I was at work. Rooting against Vegas now because I could give a fcuk now. :)
QUOTE Originally Posted by RussianRocket11: Its Carter Hutton in ne tfor the Blues, he has been killing it lately, change the pick for you? or still on the Leafs? Ya. Hutton 2 GA'a or less in 8 of last 9 games played
Yeah, I'm well aware.
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Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:
QUOTE Originally Posted by RussianRocket11: Its Carter Hutton in ne tfor the Blues, he has been killing it lately, change the pick for you? or still on the Leafs? Ya. Hutton 2 GA'a or less in 8 of last 9 games played
ANA -123 So, let’s be honest. Everyone in this NHL forum seems to be on PITT tonight. Why? Because betters are, if anything, generally predictable and influenced by very recent events. As am I. The Pens are “hot” as people are stating on numerous posts. They’re won four straight and five of six. Sounds pretty hot. But who have they beaten? A very average Philly team, a going-nowhere Detroit team, my own Blueshirts who I’ve railed about being much worse than they seem and an Isles team that throws a high school hockey defense and AHL goaltending out there each night, that’s who. They did beat the Bruins last week. Gotta give them credit for that. But was that the product of a “hot” Pens team or perhaps just an off night on the road for The B’s? Tukka Rask maybe not his best game, a big third period by Pittsburgh to win the game, and more than likely catching the Bruins in their 3 game in 4 nights and 4 game in 6 nights. Outside of that one singular win, this team hasn’t beaten a quality team since November! They’ve beaten an injury riddled Columbus team twice, both in shootouts, Arizona, The Islanders again, Buffalo back-to-back and then Philly again. You must go all the way back to November to when they beat Tampa and even THAT has an asterisk because Tampa started Budaj who sports an abysmal .878 Save% and 3.73 GAA. Before that game it was wins against Ottawa, Buffalo, Arizona and Edmonton. See what’s going on here? Eliminate the true two bottom feeder teams that The Pens have feasted on—5-0 against Buffalo and Arizona and now they’re 19-19-3 with a -18 goal differential against the rest of the league. That’s not even counting the 3-0 mark against Ottawa and Edmonton. This team against any other above average team is simply a pretender. On the road in Anaheim? Despite the same mentality that most everyone else shares about the Pens being hot and the desire to take them as slight dogs here, I’d have to stick with the home team.
BOS -1 ½ +165 In Montreal’s last game, I cited the Islanders having no choice but to come down from the high of the rivalry game in MSG…and the way Montreal dominated that game, my thoughts on player emotions seemed to be somewhat accurate. We have a similar type emotional element to this game as well. Big rivalry game, yes? The difference here is the Canadians just thoroughly dominated NY at The Belle Center and despite severely outplaying them, they came away with, what must be an excruciatingly crushing loss. Bruins are 18-3-4 in their last 25. Carey Price, who has had a nice turnaround after a terrible opening month still wilts a little on the road with a 4-9 record backed by a .900 Save% and 3.43 GAA. Montreal has lost their last 4 on the road being outscored 12-3. Bruins lost their last home game so I expect a strong effort against a demoralized traveling Canadiens team here.
Good luck, everybody! Fade me if you're smart!
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1/15-1/21 3-5 -$300.00
Overall 70-44 +$2367.00
ANA -123 So, let’s be honest. Everyone in this NHL forum seems to be on PITT tonight. Why? Because betters are, if anything, generally predictable and influenced by very recent events. As am I. The Pens are “hot” as people are stating on numerous posts. They’re won four straight and five of six. Sounds pretty hot. But who have they beaten? A very average Philly team, a going-nowhere Detroit team, my own Blueshirts who I’ve railed about being much worse than they seem and an Isles team that throws a high school hockey defense and AHL goaltending out there each night, that’s who. They did beat the Bruins last week. Gotta give them credit for that. But was that the product of a “hot” Pens team or perhaps just an off night on the road for The B’s? Tukka Rask maybe not his best game, a big third period by Pittsburgh to win the game, and more than likely catching the Bruins in their 3 game in 4 nights and 4 game in 6 nights. Outside of that one singular win, this team hasn’t beaten a quality team since November! They’ve beaten an injury riddled Columbus team twice, both in shootouts, Arizona, The Islanders again, Buffalo back-to-back and then Philly again. You must go all the way back to November to when they beat Tampa and even THAT has an asterisk because Tampa started Budaj who sports an abysmal .878 Save% and 3.73 GAA. Before that game it was wins against Ottawa, Buffalo, Arizona and Edmonton. See what’s going on here? Eliminate the true two bottom feeder teams that The Pens have feasted on—5-0 against Buffalo and Arizona and now they’re 19-19-3 with a -18 goal differential against the rest of the league. That’s not even counting the 3-0 mark against Ottawa and Edmonton. This team against any other above average team is simply a pretender. On the road in Anaheim? Despite the same mentality that most everyone else shares about the Pens being hot and the desire to take them as slight dogs here, I’d have to stick with the home team.
BOS -1 ½ +165 In Montreal’s last game, I cited the Islanders having no choice but to come down from the high of the rivalry game in MSG…and the way Montreal dominated that game, my thoughts on player emotions seemed to be somewhat accurate. We have a similar type emotional element to this game as well. Big rivalry game, yes? The difference here is the Canadians just thoroughly dominated NY at The Belle Center and despite severely outplaying them, they came away with, what must be an excruciatingly crushing loss. Bruins are 18-3-4 in their last 25. Carey Price, who has had a nice turnaround after a terrible opening month still wilts a little on the road with a 4-9 record backed by a .900 Save% and 3.43 GAA. Montreal has lost their last 4 on the road being outscored 12-3. Bruins lost their last home game so I expect a strong effort against a demoralized traveling Canadiens team here.
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