I see a lot of people going over on this EDM/DAL game and I’m bucking the trend and staying under 5 ½ -110. I’d like it better with Bishop starting but I’ll stick with it as these two teams met last week for a 1-0 OT game with the same starters facing off. Koskinen has been very good for Edmonton and his last four starts have all gone under. The Stars are fourth in the league in fewest goals allowed and neither team scores at a very high clip as each are in the bottom half of the league in overall team shooting percentage.
Good luck, everyone!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 55-56 +$41.00
11/26-12/2 12-10 +$296.00
I see a lot of people going over on this EDM/DAL game and I’m bucking the trend and staying under 5 ½ -110. I’d like it better with Bishop starting but I’ll stick with it as these two teams met last week for a 1-0 OT game with the same starters facing off. Koskinen has been very good for Edmonton and his last four starts have all gone under. The Stars are fourth in the league in fewest goals allowed and neither team scores at a very high clip as each are in the bottom half of the league in overall team shooting percentage.
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00 2018-19 Overall 55-56 +$41.00 11/26-12/2 12-10 +$296.00 I see a lot of people going over on this EDM/DAL game and I’m bucking the trend and staying under 5 ½ -110. I’d like it better with Bishop starting but I’ll stick with it as these two teams met last week for a 1-0 OT game with the same starters facing off. Koskinen has been very good for Edmonton and his last four starts have all gone under. The Stars are fourth in the league in fewest goals allowed and neither team scores at a very high clip as each are in the bottom half of the league in overall team shooting percentage. Good luck, everyone!
I blindly tailed, bc i remember how good the bartender was last year. Thanks man
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Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00 2018-19 Overall 55-56 +$41.00 11/26-12/2 12-10 +$296.00 I see a lot of people going over on this EDM/DAL game and I’m bucking the trend and staying under 5 ½ -110. I’d like it better with Bishop starting but I’ll stick with it as these two teams met last week for a 1-0 OT game with the same starters facing off. Koskinen has been very good for Edmonton and his last four starts have all gone under. The Stars are fourth in the league in fewest goals allowed and neither team scores at a very high clip as each are in the bottom half of the league in overall team shooting percentage. Good luck, everyone!
I blindly tailed, bc i remember how good the bartender was last year. Thanks man
A week or so back, I posted that it seems whenever a team with a long winning streak finally loses a game, they seem to bunch in a few more losses…and here we have the Sabres losers of 3-straight after that long winning streak. They head home probably a bit relieved to end that road trip, but fact is, all 3 losses were 1-goal affairs. This team is due for a real clunker and having the best road team come in with morale down a bit could lead to that. TOR -115 on the road here in regulation with the offense rolling, scoring 20 in its last 4 backed by Freddy Andersen who has been rock solid all year is my side pick here.
BOS heads into FLA and the situation is ripe for the over 5 ½ -125 here, in my opinion. Why? Boston’s defense is decimated by injury and they have a few youngsters starting on their blue line. Inexperience generally leads to missed assignments and opportunities for the other team. With Rask, behind that young core, and his season not up to his past high caliber, I could see Florida netting a bunch here on the road team. Based on their possession metrics, Florida’s PDO is so out of whack that its almost impossible for them not to improve and get better results. Luongo in net here for the Panthers helps this bet as well because he has been in an awful stretch since mid-November.
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2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 56-56 +$141.00
12/3-12/9 1-0 +$100.00
A week or so back, I posted that it seems whenever a team with a long winning streak finally loses a game, they seem to bunch in a few more losses…and here we have the Sabres losers of 3-straight after that long winning streak. They head home probably a bit relieved to end that road trip, but fact is, all 3 losses were 1-goal affairs. This team is due for a real clunker and having the best road team come in with morale down a bit could lead to that. TOR -115 on the road here in regulation with the offense rolling, scoring 20 in its last 4 backed by Freddy Andersen who has been rock solid all year is my side pick here.
BOS heads into FLA and the situation is ripe for the over 5 ½ -125 here, in my opinion. Why? Boston’s defense is decimated by injury and they have a few youngsters starting on their blue line. Inexperience generally leads to missed assignments and opportunities for the other team. With Rask, behind that young core, and his season not up to his past high caliber, I could see Florida netting a bunch here on the road team. Based on their possession metrics, Florida’s PDO is so out of whack that its almost impossible for them not to improve and get better results. Luongo in net here for the Panthers helps this bet as well because he has been in an awful stretch since mid-November.
WIN -137 travels to Barclays center to play an Islanders team that is bound to come down from an emotional high from their last win; Down 0-2 in front of a home crowd in the friendly confines of Nassau Coliseum, the Isles roared back to stage a come-from-behind feel good type win. This team belongs on the island and the reception and ovation shows. That said the Isles are the dead-last possession team via both metrics in the league and as I’ve said before, its hard to win when you don’t control the puck. I mentioned PDO in the prior write-up and for the Isles its different; their possession metrics (Fenwick For, Corsi For) are terrible but their PDO is well above average which means when things regress, they’re gonna regress hard. Another interesting stat here against the NY team is they get an unusually large amount of defensive zone stoppages which means face offs in their own end and they’re 26 in the league in Faceoff Winning % whereas Winny is a top 10 team in that category. Jets have scored 25 in their last five (5.0) and they have the 2nd ranked PP unit (29.1%) shooting on the Isles 17 ranked PK unit (78.5%). Half unit on the puck line +195
Carey Price or Niemi…does it really matter? MON goaltending has been pretty bad all around. Both teams have team save percentages bottom third of the league and OTT continues to score at a high percentage clip so gotta run with their offense till it slows down. The meaningful stat here is simple…on the season the over has played to a 19-6-2 run. That means the over loses only 22% of the time. This is now officially a trend to run with like last year’s Islanders were. The Sens are scoring, and they can’t stop teams from scoring so over 6 here is the match-up proof play now and going forward.
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WIN -137 travels to Barclays center to play an Islanders team that is bound to come down from an emotional high from their last win; Down 0-2 in front of a home crowd in the friendly confines of Nassau Coliseum, the Isles roared back to stage a come-from-behind feel good type win. This team belongs on the island and the reception and ovation shows. That said the Isles are the dead-last possession team via both metrics in the league and as I’ve said before, its hard to win when you don’t control the puck. I mentioned PDO in the prior write-up and for the Isles its different; their possession metrics (Fenwick For, Corsi For) are terrible but their PDO is well above average which means when things regress, they’re gonna regress hard. Another interesting stat here against the NY team is they get an unusually large amount of defensive zone stoppages which means face offs in their own end and they’re 26 in the league in Faceoff Winning % whereas Winny is a top 10 team in that category. Jets have scored 25 in their last five (5.0) and they have the 2nd ranked PP unit (29.1%) shooting on the Isles 17 ranked PK unit (78.5%). Half unit on the puck line +195
Carey Price or Niemi…does it really matter? MON goaltending has been pretty bad all around. Both teams have team save percentages bottom third of the league and OTT continues to score at a high percentage clip so gotta run with their offense till it slows down. The meaningful stat here is simple…on the season the over has played to a 19-6-2 run. That means the over loses only 22% of the time. This is now officially a trend to run with like last year’s Islanders were. The Sens are scoring, and they can’t stop teams from scoring so over 6 here is the match-up proof play now and going forward.
Devan Dubnyk’s splits actual tilt in his favor away from home and here his Wild team gets to play VAN and the fact is the Canucks don’t score often. They’ve only scored 20 goals in their last 11 games (1.82) and have eclipsed two goals only twice in that span. This means that betting on Vancouver to score less than 2 ½ goals over the last 11 games has cashed at an 81.8% rate. TT under 2 ½ -105
I wonder if the Caps looked ahead at all to this game in Vegas as they gave away those home points their last game. Still irks me that they blew a 5-1 lead. I think they come in focused, but Vegas is trending up as they should. Their underlying metrics were good all season, they just weren’t getting the high caliber goaltending they were last year. Fleury seems to have gotten back on track and I lean Vegas here at home…but no play.
This is a 2-unit play for me as both ARZ and LAK rank 29 and 30 in team shooting percentage and 28 and 31 in actual goals scored. Johnathan Quick had been rusty since his return from injury but looked sharp his last game out and Arizona will probably run with the red-hot Adin Hill. Who!? Well, two starts and four appearances and only one goal allowed Adin Hill, that’s who! He’s stopped 60 of 61 for a .984 Save% and 0.39 GAA. Let’s run with it. The fact The Yotes have allowed the fifth fewest goals per game and boast the top ranked PK unit helps as well. Under 5 ½ -130
Off to work. Good luck, people!
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Devan Dubnyk’s splits actual tilt in his favor away from home and here his Wild team gets to play VAN and the fact is the Canucks don’t score often. They’ve only scored 20 goals in their last 11 games (1.82) and have eclipsed two goals only twice in that span. This means that betting on Vancouver to score less than 2 ½ goals over the last 11 games has cashed at an 81.8% rate. TT under 2 ½ -105
I wonder if the Caps looked ahead at all to this game in Vegas as they gave away those home points their last game. Still irks me that they blew a 5-1 lead. I think they come in focused, but Vegas is trending up as they should. Their underlying metrics were good all season, they just weren’t getting the high caliber goaltending they were last year. Fleury seems to have gotten back on track and I lean Vegas here at home…but no play.
This is a 2-unit play for me as both ARZ and LAK rank 29 and 30 in team shooting percentage and 28 and 31 in actual goals scored. Johnathan Quick had been rusty since his return from injury but looked sharp his last game out and Arizona will probably run with the red-hot Adin Hill. Who!? Well, two starts and four appearances and only one goal allowed Adin Hill, that’s who! He’s stopped 60 of 61 for a .984 Save% and 0.39 GAA. Let’s run with it. The fact The Yotes have allowed the fifth fewest goals per game and boast the top ranked PK unit helps as well. Under 5 ½ -130
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
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Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
Love that comment so true
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Quote Originally Posted by NYG991:
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
They play at Barclay's tonight.
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Quote Originally Posted by NYG991:
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
Love that comment so true
True if they were playing at The Coliseum again for tonight's game. The whole point of the pick was that they're back at Barclays after an emotional win at The Coliseum last game out.
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Quote Originally Posted by venox3:
Quote Originally Posted by NYG991:
Dude the colesium is haunted don’t go against NYI there. Things just seem to always go there way. Plus this is second game back in 3 years. The fans love playing in Nassau. Wouldn’t touch Winnipeg here
Love that comment so true
True if they were playing at The Coliseum again for tonight's game. The whole point of the pick was that they're back at Barclays after an emotional win at The Coliseum last game out.
True if they were playing at The Coliseum again for tonight's game. The whole point of the pick was that they're back at Barclays after an emotional win at The Coliseum last game out.
ouh
true, ty
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Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:
Love that comment so
True if they were playing at The Coliseum again for tonight's game. The whole point of the pick was that they're back at Barclays after an emotional win at The Coliseum last game out.
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