I wasn't able to watch too closely. Had it on at the bar but back was turned mainly working. And then I turned it off b/c soon as I gave it some attention the Isles scored so I felt like a mush lol
I watched the third period and cringed. I took the Islanders. Was very disappointed by the lack of effort. The crowd wasn't there, the players weren't there.
The crowd was still at The Coliseum where they've been since the Isles left!
Jets are the real deal...watched 'em twice this week...Last night they were crap for two periods, then tucked three (including open net, yes, to put me over on the PL), and walked away with an the "W." Big and fast. They should be put on the "watch" list for sure.
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 61-58 +$573.00
12/3-12/9 6-2 +$532.00
I wrote this post on a thread where someone had said Vegas was a trash 14-13 team and that person was wondering why anyone would bet on them:
Because every underlying metric shows that they're playing well beyond what their record shows. And now they're starting to win games as the goaltending has improved. They're 1st in Corsi For, 2nd in Corsi %, 3rd in both Fenwick For and Fenwick For % and Corsi Against and Fenwick Against all bottom 3rd of the league and their PDO is below league average which means odds are they only get better. Only thing really holding them back is their team shooting percentage...they get that up and watch out. They're also first in the league in hits and third in Offensive Zone start %. Their meager record is a major facade at the moment based on all of this. I had a lean on them because of all of this and ultimately decided not to bet b/c of the Caps current run also (another Vegas win), but Vegas is going to be a force going forward.
These are undeniable stats that usually correlate to winning more than losing so the Knights were due for a big turnaround once the goaltending stabilized and stabilized it has; Fleury’s home stats now look like last year’s version as he’s 8-3 within Nevada state lines with a .931 Save% and 1.90 GAA and in his last 10 overall he’s gone 8-2 with a .933 Save% and 2.00 GAA with 3 shutouts. They get Chicago, who just played last night in Anaheim, have now lost 5-straight and are 4-10-2 on the road and boast the worst goal differential in the league. Vegas in regulation –180 if your heart can take the juice, but for me I’ll go half unit puck line -105 on the upswing here sounds like a potential jackpot bet.
Ottawa and Montreal have met twice already with scores of 4-3 and 5-2 both going over and as I mentioned when I cashed on that last match-up, Ottawa overs have been season-long money makers and are now match-up proof until it trends the other way. On a 20-6-2 run. That means the over loses only 21% of the time. No need to get into the terrible goalie match-up with that sort of trend…just play your MON/OTT over 6 ½ -125 ticket and wait to cash.
The following is a re-hash of what was going to be an over bet on Boston/Florida when I assumed Rask was starting: BOS heads into TB and the situation is ripe for the over 6 -105 here, in my opinion. Why? Boston’s defense is decimated by injury and they have a few youngsters starting on their blue line. Inexperience generally leads to missed assignments and opportunities for the other team. That reasoning led to Florida netting 5 goals on Halak who had been outstanding thus far this season. With Rask behind that young core, and his season not up to his past high caliber, I could see The Bolts and their #1 offense netting a bunch here on the road team. Tampa is on a 4-game winning streak where they’ve scored 21 goals (5.25) and longer term they’re on a nice 9-2 run, having scored 50 (4.54). And if you pick Tampa to win here, then in those 9 wins, they’ve scored at least 4 goals each time and 5 or more 7 times. We also get Tampa’s #4 ranked PP unit (28.2%) get some opportunities against Boston’s #22 ranked PK unit (76.7%) So I’m going on to run with Tampa regulation -125 and half unit on Tampa TT over 3 ½ -115 here as well.
Odds are I’m worrying too much, and I should just bet the Preds here in regulation, but they have lost their lost 4 road games so as of this writing, I’m gun-shy. What I’m going to run with here is the same bet I cashed on in Vancouver’s last game which is the TT under 2 ½ -105 My last write-up on Vancouver’s offense was a tad mis-leading as I must have done some math wrong. After only scoring two their last time out, the Canucks have now only eclipsed the two-goal mark four times in their last 12 games and have only netted 24 total in that span (2.00). This also means that the team total under bet has cashed 66.6% of the time and now they shoot on Pekke Rinne who leads the NHL in both Save% at .935 and GAA at 1.81.
I'm running out the door for work, Train. All I can quickly say is I was leaning the under in the ARZ/WASH game just to keep riding the hot play of the rookie kid, Hill, then I saw that Copley might be getting the nod so my lean moved towards the Yotes as well. WASH has lost 2-straight now and as I mentioned in a diff post, teams that come down from long winning streaks sometimes follow up with mini losing streaks once they accrue that first loss. That's not a stat, just an observation I've noticed over the years. And Toronto Id say the best bet is the Leafs TT if Bernier is getting the nod for Detroit. Just top of my head stuff. Gotta go. Good luck tonight!
VGK -1 1/2 -105 *half unit* 
MON/OTT over 6 1/2 -125 
BOS/TB over 6 -105
TB -1/2 -125
TB TT over 3 1/2 -115 *half unit*
VAN TT under 2 1/2 -105
Today 2-4 -$119.00 My usual poor luck with empty net situations reared its ugly head again. An empty netter in Vegas or Tampa and its a 4-1-1 day. Ah well. On to tomorrow. I was off on my lean of Arizona and the under too that Train asked about. My bad 
Its -1.5 so the team would have to win by 2 goals.
Its something to look at when the juice is entirely too high on any given favorite, but you run the risk, as I did of the team winning but only by one...as Vegas did.
The Vegas line was -260, I think. Puck line dropped it to -105 and in many situations you can get + money on it.
Its -1.5 so the team would have to win by 2 goals.
Its something to look at when the juice is entirely too high on any given favorite, but you run the risk, as I did of the team winning but only by one...as Vegas did.
The Vegas line was -260, I think. Puck line dropped it to -105 and in many situations you can get + money on it.
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 63-62 +$454.00
12/3-12/9 8-6 +$413.00
This whole job thing is making it hard to gamble! I’m late but I must post lol! Gonna roll with WIN -1 ½ +125 here as The Jets have already played the injury ravaged Blues 3 times this season and have won all three meetings. They’ve scored no less than 5 goals in each contest winning games 5-1, 5-4 and 8-4. Jake Allen, who is projected to start has gotten mauled thus far by Winnipeg compiling an .833 Save% and 4.92 GAA in three appearances. That plus the fact the Jets offense has been on fire of late also helps. Winnipeg is 5-1 in their last 6 and have scored 28 GF (4.66). Hot offense versus a goalie they’ve owned in the early going also means TT over 3 ½ -115
Had a lean on the under of CAR/ANA but Mrazek looks like he’ll be in net. If he’s in then I pass, if McElhinney gets the nod, then consider it. Lean hot ANA+103, who have won 7 of 8, also if Mrazek does indeed start. Also consider CAR TT under 2 1/2 -115 as they've scored only 5 goals in their last 5 games and continue to hold the league-worst team shooting percentage at a measly 6.5% and John Gibson holds a .931 Save% and 2.13 GAA on home ice. Know what? I just talked myself into two bets. Plays in bold! Wait on those goalie confirmations, though! Me? I'm screwed cause I gotta lock in now.
Gotta serve booze. Good luck, people!
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