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Cycling: 2009 Vuelta a Espana

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Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #26
Gilbert or Ballan or Devolder or Albasini takes tonight's stage. But you're right. I may wait for live betting too!
 
Captain
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Posted: #27

1.5 units Greipel @ $26
2.5 units Farrar @ $12
1.5 units Gilbert @ $12
1 unit Ballan @ $17
.5 unit Devolder @ $41

6 units Farrar over Boonen @ $2.35
5 units Farrar over Ciolek @ $1.85
2 units Ciolek over Bennati @ $2

Should still be a bunch sprint. Farrar and Greipel should be battling it out unless Farrar is feeling the pinch of Eneco which he just may well be.

 
Captain
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Posted: #28
We await confirmation on Farrar's position compared to Boonen and Ciolek. If it goes in my favour I've just made up for the TDF and the loss yesterday thanks to Greipel!
 
Captain
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Posted: #29
Greipel and Farrar did not deserve to be at those odds today. Mind you that crash could have screwed everything up but looking at the stage, this was always going to end in a bunch sprint (well it was until the crash happened)
 
Captain
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

1.5 units Greipel @ $26
2.5 units Farrar @ $12
1.5 units Gilbert @ $12
1 unit Ballan @ $17
.5 unit Devolder @ $41

6 units Farrar over Boonen @ $2.35
5 units Farrar over Ciolek @ $1.85
2 units Ciolek over Bennati @ $2

Should still be a bunch sprint. Farrar and Greipel should be battling it out unless Farrar is feeling the pinch of Eneco which he just may well be.

Stage 1: no bet
Stage 2: +4.85 units
Stage 3: -10 units
Stage 4: +42.39 units

How the tables do turn!

 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #31
Your luckiest day ever ! You backed up the same guys as usual but they gave much better odds, good for you. There was no doubt Greipel would take this stage after the amazing crash.

Both my picks lost due to the bad temperature.

Went -5.1 units 0-2

Overall : 8-6 +13.2 units

I read that Mosquera might go back home.  If he stays in, he'll be good fading material.




 
Captain
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by n1ck:

Your luckiest day ever ! You backed up the same guys as usual but they gave much better odds, good for you. There was no doubt Greipel would take this stage after the amazing crash.

Both my picks lost due to the bad temperature.

Went -5.1 units 0-2

Overall : 8-6 +13.2 units

I read that Mosquera might go back home.  If he stays in, he'll be good fading material.

It's a rest day so they are all lucky.

Yes, it was a lucky day but persistence does pay off. Like I say I'm not going to pass up odds of 26 and 12 on the two fastest guys there because the books think it won't be a sprint finish.

It was luck on the head to heads. Luck Farrar got back on his bike first hahaha

 
Captain
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Posted: #33
Ridiculous having a rest day in the first week.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

Ridiculous having a rest day in the first week.


Don't think those that fell yesterday are saying the same .

Well done with the stage 4. Rough ride until then but BOL the rest of the way .
 
Captain
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Posted: #35

Stage 5

3 units Boonen over Ciolek @ $1.80 - Basically Boonen & Quick-Step have looked stronger than Ciolek & Milram despite not having a win. Ciolek could still be hurting from his crash on stage Four
2 units Bozic over Ciolek @ $2.20 - Bozic has looked excellent and been consistent in the last few sprint stages.
7 units Freire over Bennati @ $1.65 - Bennati has looked rubbish. Freire is edging closer to a win. Two riders going two different directions.

Good luck!

 
Captain
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Posted: #36
For guys that like their underdogs, Bozic is a good bet tonight!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #37
I had 2 plays in mind yesterday: Freire over Boonen @ 2.10 and Ballan over Gasparotto @ 1.78 but I wasn't sure about today's finish so I haven't placed any.

It might pick up something on live in play.
 
Captain
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Posted: #38

I have a rider in mind for tomorrow.

I'll reveal it then. I think a break might go tomorrow. The peloton may not want to exert themselves too much before a 30km time trial and the first summit finish the day after the time trial?

 
Captain
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

Stage 5

3 units Boonen over Ciolek @ $1.80 - Basically Boonen & Quick-Step have looked stronger than Ciolek & Milram despite not having a win. Ciolek could still be hurting from his crash on stage Four
2 units Bozic over Ciolek @ $2.20 - Bozic has looked excellent and been consistent in the last few sprint stages.
7 units Freire over Bennati @ $1.65 - Bennati has looked rubbish. Freire is edging closer to a win. Two riders going two different directions.

Good luck!

Gotto love disorganised sprints. I've come to the conclusion Farrar's team isnt' good enough to deliver him to the line. Either that or he is buggered after his last few weeks. So keep that in mind for head to heads!

wwl

Stage 1: no bet
Stage 2: +4.85 units
Stage 3: -10 units
Stage 4: +42.39 units
Stage 5: -2.2 units

Vuelta Overall: 35.04

 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #40
That's something I couldn't understand when I placed my bet on Greipel to win over 0.5 @ 1.50 . Why Farrar was so low ( @ 1.20 ) He is riding his 3 grand tour and added Eneco Tour to his caldendar, that might be a bit too much.

He might have something left, he needs a win so watch out.

Probably only betting in live action tomorrow, not sure of anything right now.

By the way, what's going on with Ciolek ?
 
Captain
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Posted: #41
Don't know what is wrong with Ciolek. He only won stage two because of the disorganisation of the sprinters teams.
 
Betting live is the way to go today. A break could do it.
 
Stage 6
 
1 unit Pierrick Fedrigo @ $81
2 units Enrico Gasparotto @ $26
 
I'll also bet live at bet365.
 
Should be a breakaway tonight. Gasparotto has come out and said that he was targeting Stage 5 or Stage 6 as they are both his best chances to win. He didn't try yesterday, so he'll try today. I'm pretty confident Fedrigo will be in the break.
 
I'm looking at Kolobnev over Kreuziger in the head to head @ $2.27 at Pinnacle. Basically Saxo Bank might send him in the break. This finish also suits Kolobnev at the moment. But I'm content to keep it to 3 units at the moment as it wouldn't surprise me if one of those two riders I selected won. Go the value before you go in play.
 
Basically there is a time trial tomorrow and the first mountaintop finish on Sunday. Who wants to ride hard today? Cancellara can sacrifice his yellow jersey because he knows he will be able to reclaim it tomorrow.
 
This shouldn't be a stage for the sprinters!
 
Captain
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Posted: #42
4 units Breschel over Hinault @ $2.05
 
Prospect
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Posted: #43
I have a couple of questions for you hope you're watching the race.

Gilbert is at 1.65 over Cancellara, he will attack for sure and Cancellara should take it easy for tomorrow's stage but can he hold on and finish top 50 if his attack fails ?

Who's Roger Hammond, can he beat Breschel ?

Is Ciolek injured or can he reach the line top 10 ?
 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #44
2.5 units on Ballan over Breschel @ 2.15


 
Captain
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

Don't know what is wrong with Ciolek. He only won stage two because of the disorganisation of the sprinters teams.
 
Betting live is the way to go today. A break could do it.
 
Stage 6
 
1 unit Pierrick Fedrigo @ $81
2 units Enrico Gasparotto @ $26
4 units Breschel over Hinault @ $2.05
 
I'll also bet live at bet365.
 
Should be a breakaway tonight. Gasparotto has come out and said that he was targeting Stage 5 or Stage 6 as they are both his best chances to win. He didn't try yesterday, so he'll try today. I'm pretty confident Fedrigo will be in the break.
 
I'm looking at Kolobnev over Kreuziger in the head to head @ $2.27 at Pinnacle. Basically Saxo Bank might send him in the break. This finish also suits Kolobnev at the moment. But I'm content to keep it to 3 units at the moment as it wouldn't surprise me if one of those two riders I selected won. Go the value before you go in play.
 
Basically there is a time trial tomorrow and the first mountaintop finish on Sunday. Who wants to ride hard today? Cancellara can sacrifice his yellow jersey because he knows he will be able to reclaim it tomorrow.
 
This shouldn't be a stage for the sprinters!

Stage 1: no bet
Stage 2: +4.85 units
Stage 3: -10 units
Stage 4: +42.39 units
Stage 5: -2.2 units

Stage 6: +1.2 units

Vuelta Overall: +36.24

 
Captain
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Posted: #46
Sorry I didn't answer! I was watching, but didn't go on here!
 
Get them tomorrow in the time trial.
 
Veteran
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Posts: 3552
Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by n1ck:



Is Ciolek injured ?


Let me answer that question =  YES      ( and here is where I say " I told you so " )
 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #48
All my live bets would have been good, anyway I picked up 2.9 units on Ballan over Breschel.

Your pick ended up winning but not the way you expected it.  Hope you'll play rocket Cancellara tomorrow

Today : 1-0 +2.9 units
Overall : 9-6 + 16.1 units

To Eli...I angree

 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #49
I'm taking a risk on the upcoming stage.  There's supposed to be light rain all day long.

I've found 7 interesting matchups, I'll play 3 units on each of them:

Tuft over Rabon @ 1.518
Kreuziger over Valverde @ 2.63
Basso over Gesink @ 1.457

Valjavec over Mosquera @ 1.847
Mosquera has some trouble with his ankle.

Sanchez over Danielson @ 1.71
Konovalovas over Mouris @ 2.07
Grabsch over Millar @ 1.662

Enjoy the race and watch Cancellara's power



 
 
Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #50

10 units Cancellara @ $1.45
1 unit Grabsch @ $9

7 units Valjavec over Mosquera @ $1.57
3 units Konovalovas over Mouris @ $1.95

3 units Tuft over Rabon @ $1.50

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