CD Newsletter: Playoffs??? Edition

The Detroit Lions are 6th best by weighted dvoa. They did not make the playoffs. 

Teams who made the playoffs with a worse weighted dvoa ranking than the Lions:

Dallas #7

Baltimore #8

Miami #12

Jacksonville #13

Seattle #15

Chargers #16

Giants #18

Tampa Bay #25

Minnesota #28 

Even vs the Bears B and C players yesterday, the Vikings looked like ass.

Mr. Biscuit, I'm learning Cowboys with ya. I'm also still leaning hard on the Giants. Both the Vikings and Giants are fugazi. Why would anyone want to bet the team with a minus next to the spread in such a game?

Just the facts Winky ...

Just the facts Winky ...

@undermysac

 Just gotta be on right side of the fix

Just to paint the rest of the playoff teams with a weighted dvoa ranking...

SF #1

Buffalo #2

KC #3

Cincinnati #4

Philadelphia #5

^ These are the real players for the SB. I'm sure that futures odds reflect them accordingly. 

Speaking of futures, my Seahawks are still alive for another week. I'm pretty sure they aren't beating the Niners, but 10 points is frigin steep.

The bucs center who already filling in for Ryan Jensen got banged up last game...

Is Mike Williams out? Any other important injuries we missed??

Any cowboys injured? How their OL health? You know Brady gonna bring his A game for playoffs 

Not many good defenses left....49ers ravens and eagles all good in that order....the cowboys d seemed to tail off near end of year? 

Miami beat to hell....bills rallying around damar for rest of season obviously....they have some all-time motivation

Had a feeling books would love Herbert....I'd give Jax the edge on D...have 1 prop I will lock in if the line is right

Minne/giants who can u trust....lean home team but...don't really trust em

how do vikes handle mobile QBs??....Daniel Jones usually busts a long run every game he sneaky mobile......

https://www.totalprosports.com/nfl/cameras-caught-jags-owner-sleeping-then-cheering-td/?fbclid=IwAR3HhFYk3QIiYJTGFAkex9mWAKJOHY2CZF0hezYbOfGupb2cFk_mX7VrwwY

Did I see Getty walking up behind Kahn and hitting him with smelling salts?

Sea/sf a terrible matchup for hawks as their run D terrible and they lost their leading tackler week 17 (jordyn brooks)

10 points a ton though...saw 10.5 some places ...even if SF gets huge lead the backdoor would be open all game especially near the end if it's a 10-17 point game and 49ers go into prevent

Of course they could put up a stud defensive effort and allow under 17 points. Best d in league

I look forward to sharing this week with you and your musings

@dubz4dummyz

 Thanks for the reminder that Daniel Jones is mobile. Him and Saquon rested week 18, they will have fresh legs.

The Vikings secondary can be had by nearly any qb. Danny Dimes is capable, just wish he had better weapons. 

@bigred84

 Unlike most NFC North games, the Bengals/Shrimps tend to be very one sided affairs. The average margin of victory in the last 8 games has been 20 points. (5 Shrimp wins, 3 Tiger wins). If either one clobbers another again I'll bet it's Cinci. 

UGA 41

TCU 20

Probably. Biscuit posted UGA -13 earlier. It's a great college team vs. an NFL ready team. Georgia won't be asleep at the wheel like they were last week.

Intial gut says Brady +3...Dallas stumbling a bit of late while the bucs are starting to find rhythm a bit...bucs run d decent to limit pollard/zeke...

Could wait for the public to bet up the over and the cowboys...

Battle of the public  cowboys vs Brady

@Getty3

 I read somewhere that the Jags last successful first down vs the Titans happened with 5 minutes left in the 3rd quarter, where they were down 10-16.

Alas, they still won 20-16.

A very strange way to win. Make anything of it? Herbert is a little better than Dobbs last I checked. 

Pending TCU +18.5 and Over 57 from yesterday on 6 team tease

New 4 team tease

TCU +19.5

SF -4.5

Cincy -0.5

Dal/TB Under 51.5

Per...

Lindsey Thiry
@LindseyThiry
·
25m
Brandon Staley says WR Mike Williams has a contusion and that he is expected to return to practice this week.

TCU can win SU

Here's a nice tidbit for you guys, Icon might not like this.

The Chargers have 10 wins this year. The combined record of those teams they beat is 53-105.

The only team they beat that wasn't under .500, is the 8-8 Miami Dolphins. 

Something I posted in last week's thread.

So the Jags are 9-8, an above .500 team. Let's look at the Chargers losses this year.

@KC, vs Jax, vs Seattle, @SF, vs KC, vs LV, @Den.

The last 2 losses they've received were vs below .500 teams. 

I'll stand on that island with you 

@undermysac

 Logan Cook punted only 4 times but for a 51.3 average and every one was downed inside the 20 yard line. Jamal Agnew accumulated an astonishing 187 yards in return yardage. Special teams masterclass by the Jags. 

@undermysac

I don't have an opinion on the Chargers-Gettys game (yet), but any stats from this season for SD have to be weighed with the health of the team in any given game.

From missing both of your stud WR's, to their best (arguably) defensive player, to the O-line injuries, to the QB's cracked ribs.

The health of the Chargers will have as big an impact on this game as any other factor.

PS; yes, I referred to them as 'SD'

I think they proved their point last week. I don't see them having any gas left in the tank. We shall see. 

@Hugh_Jorgan

 I'd be remiss if I did not acknowledge that the author of this thread also referred to them as San Diego. It makes me happy.