CD Newsletter week 12

This is mind blowing. Before yesterday NFL teams which had 250+ passing yards, 100+ rushing yards, less than 25 penalty yards, no more than 1 turnover, and won time of possession had won 57 straight times. The Redskins did all of these things and lost...by 35. 

Cowboys CB Daron Bland has more TDs this year than all the Jets or Giants WRs combined, and the same as all the Patriots WRs. 

RR going for it on his own 30  on 4th and 1  ....

With 11 mins to play doomed the Deadskins...]

Defense laid down after that decision ....

Hopefully he has coached his last game for them...

This is why we love football. How the fuck do you not cover +13.5?!!

goes to show 

ya don't ever know

Every Patriots WR not named Kendrick Bourne has combined for a single TD pass all year. Bourne has been on season ending IR since October and still leads the entire team in receptions, receiving yardage, and receiving TDs. 

Well Jack Del Rio out as DC in DC. I'm sure he could care less. He and the entire coaching staff are lame ducks anyways. Matter of when not if...

Ofcourse you like the Falcons. Is it Desmond Ridder or their outstanding defense that sways you?

Atlanta is 2-8 ats this year.

I swear that all their lines this year have never been greater than +2, or -2. Correct me if I'm wrong.

They are 29th in total dvoa. 25th offense, 26th defense, and 28th in special teams dvoa. All this with the 27th ranked sos.

24th in epa per play on offense, but 11th epa per play on D. The nerds disagree about their defense. My eyes say that they suck personally. 

They are -28 in pt differential. 

Now the Saints are only 5-5 on the year(Falcons 4-6). The Saints also suck ats(2-7-1).

The Saints are 18th in total dvoa. 20th offense, 11th defense, and 11th special teams dvoa. 28th sos, 1 slot worse than the Falcons.

19th epa per play on offense, and 6th epa per play on defense. 

They are +16 in pt differential. 

If I had to guess, on any luck rankings, the Saints have been slightly unlucky, and the Falcons have been lucky. 

The icing on the cake though has to be the quarterback position. The Saints get Carr back.

Carr is a bit better than Ridder in almost every area to look at. If you watch Ridder play, the guy is a 2 read qb at most. He never sees the entire field.

Just my 2 cents.

Just a standard bump to the top of the page as the covers mains just barfed in the box 

@undermysac

  Seriously bud you did not have to go thru all that trouble i knew they are better on paper and in actuality, but would you not agree with me that often the better team does not win and or cover. 

this is literally the most average game of the season imho, either of these teams would be in last in a real division instead of trying to lock up the 4th seed and a home playoff game 

Other than the Newsletter this morning,i'm just now looking at the lines and they sure have been active. 

@1129ken

Always appreciate your input.

May you and yours have a healthy holiday season

Weeks ago you claimed that it had already happened.

You were wrong.

Skins got crushed Thursday, and RR did not get fired.

Wrong again

Dude it took only 5 minutes on my phone, no worries. So looking at the results of today's Black Friday game, I'd expect the line to reopen Jets +3 or +3.5 vs Atlanta next week. Depending what happens between the Falcons and Saints. Look ahead was +2.

With all due respect, this perception is kind of what anyone would think. From a peripheral view, so would I. And maybe that's why the Falcons and Saints keep playing games with near identical spreads. They're always in games that are pk, +1.5, -1.5 or so, never seeming to surpass 2. And both their sos rankings are nearly identical, so it makes sense.

That's why I posted that stuff. Maybe an edge, maybe not.

GL

I appreciate the post but in my mind it’s the very definition of a coin flip game, and yet it’ll be a fun watch since both these teams are playing to win their division here. Just feel over the course of betting for years and years taking the home team at the small number would be profitable so I guess not really a coin flip like I think who knows, and there’s no “due respect” to me I’m a lowly jets fan 

@philschnaars

 I had to chuckle even though its more sad than funny.But hey it could be worse, you could be a Bears fan. 

Ohio St. / Michigan starting at noon seems odd.

The Jets offense was once again an exceptional watch today. Nate Hackett hit the Peter Principle as a high school coach but here he is running another NFL offense into ruins. If I were Saleh I'd fire him and tell Aaron Rodgers he can afford to pay him to be his ayahuasca infused sensei if he chooses. No hard feelings. 

Ty Conklin asked if he felt the offense was getting closer to where it should be  "Is that a trick question?"

Garrett Wilson "I don't know what to tell you. I don't know what to say to the fans. I have no words. I'm out."

@Biscuiteater1

Undefeated Ohio State and Michigan at the Big House in late autumn at high noon is why the Midwest is the cradle of college football. It doesn't get any better. Americana at it's finest. 

anyone have a Texas style dicksmash play for mañana ?