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CD Newsletter Week 14

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Legend
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Posted: #51

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Jaguars @ Cleveland -3 (o/u 31) What a terrible turn of events for the Getty's last night. Losing Kirk for the year, and losing Fabio for the next few weeks. My question is, what is it about their home stadium that they don't like? They are 8-4 and all their losses are at home. Wasn't Duval County supposed to be intimidating, or cool, or a gnarly place to play or something? Guess it's not a thing at all. They'll have to visit the Dawg Pound this Sunday vs Joe Flacco. Wtf is happening? Who is playing qb for the Jaguars again please remind me. I trust Getty, so I would take the points on the Jags for the hell of it. The line is actually heading to 3.5 according to the juice. At that # you have to. I feel like over analyzing this game would just lead you to nowhere. Bet it, or don't.
They say its a high ankle sprain for Fabio and my guess is he will be back in 3 and depending on severity maybe 2 and the angle here is Jacky rallying around the flag. Now you can poke fun at Joey Flacco but if he has open receivers he will get them the ball so if they do get production from the rb's they will be tough.

 
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Posted: #52

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

https://www.freep.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2023/12/05/detroit-lions-alim-mcneill-knee-injured-reserve-knee-four-games-out/71816550007/ DT Alim McNeil on IR. This dude clogged up the middle pretty well from what I noticed. He would get more double teams than Hutchinson.  Pff grade of 88.1 I'll be taking a ride to the casino to bet on the Bears tomorrow.
maybe you should wait for the hook. reallyhappy

 
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Posted: #53

@Biscuiteater1

 Hook is gone and I like low juice. But we won't need the points, Bears get a W this Sunday. 

Didn't you read my initial write up?

an_shake

 
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Posted: #54

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

@Biscuiteater1  Hook is gone and I like low juice. But we won't need the points, Bears get a W this Sunday.  Didn't you read my initial write up?
 sad......i'll take the hook @ -10 or less. reallyhappy

 
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Posted: #55

FWIW  Action Network has the most info regarding bowl game portal action, opt outs, etc for the bowl season, that i could find. cloverpeace_5

 
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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: @Biscuiteater1  Hook is gone and I like low juice. But we won't need the points, Bears get a W this Sunday.  Didn't you read my initial write up? ......i'll take the hook @ -10 or less.

Won't happen. The best line you'll get the rest of the week is +3.5(-120)

 
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Posted: #57

Here's a nice tidbit. 

Last week if the Jets would of decided to punt on all of their possessions, they would of won 5 to 3 vs the Falcons. 

reallyhappy

 
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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Jaguars @ Cleveland -3 (o/u 31) What a terrible turn of events for the Getty's last night. Losing Kirk for the year, and losing Fabio for the next few weeks. My question is, what is it about their home stadium that they don't like? They are 8-4 and all their losses are at home. Wasn't Duval County supposed to be intimidating, or cool, or a gnarly place to play or something? Guess it's not a thing at all. They'll have to visit the Dawg Pound this Sunday vs Joe Flacco. Wtf is happening? Who is playing qb for the Jaguars again please remind me. I trust Getty, so I would take the points on the Jags for the hell of it. The line is actually heading to 3.5 according to the juice. At that # you have to. I feel like over analyzing this game would just lead you to nowhere. Bet it, or don't.
Joey back on practice squad, DTR to start. 

 
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Posted: #59

sad

 
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Posted: #60

sad

 
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Posted: #61

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

@Biscuiteater1  Hook is gone and I like low juice. But we won't need the points, Bears get a W this Sunday.  Didn't you read my initial write up?

I’ll join you on the Bears+3 & ML.  peace_5

 
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Posted: #62

https://www.joebucsfan.com/2023/12/todd-bowles-reveals-masterplan-to-defend-bijan-robinson/

Who would of thought that Todd Bowles had a personality?

Ok, like I said for the opener of the news letter, I really don't want to look into this game at all.

 
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Posted: #63

@undermysac

 

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Here's a nice tidbit.  Last week if the Jets would of decided to punt on all of their possessions, they would of won 5 to 3 vs the Falcons.

Had the Dead Under and you had to Love that Sacrifice Bunt in the First Inning.

 
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Posted: #64

https://www.prideofdetroit.com/platform/amp/2023/12/6/23990853/how-detroit-lions-plan-replacing-alim-mcneill-dan-campbell-quotes

Reading between the lines, looks like they are going to throw a bunch of shit at the wall and hope it sticks.

If you remember in week 11 when the Bears faced the Lions, it was the first time they had their projected 5 linemen staring. Tevin Jenkins moved to left guard to allow Nate Davis's return from injury retain his RG position. And Lucas Patrick also returned from injury in that game to retain his spot at center. 

Since then they played Minnesota. And now had their bye week. Full force for 3 weeks, now going against a busted up interior for the Lions.

Also, it will be starting running back Khalil Herbert's 3rd game back. He hasn't been himself since getting hurt. He also returned vs Detroit with the new o line rotation. Hopefully the bye week has him healthier. 

D'Onta Foreman got hurt vs Detroit(ankle), and missed the Vikings game. He was a full participant today. I think he has provided the most thump of all the Bears RB's when healthy.

 
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Posted: #65

Last week Taysom Hill had 13 rushes for 59 yards and a TD vs the Lions. They honestly might of won that game if they used more Taysom Hill. Carr got battered, then Jameis did Jameis things.

Last time the Bears played the Lions Justin Fields ran 18 times for 104. About half of these runs were by design, and the other half were impromptu scrambles.

In his career vs the Lions(4 games), he's rushed 44 times for 392 yards and 2 td's. That's a healthy 8.9 yards per attempt. 

 
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Posted: #66

https://theathletic.com/5114964/2023/12/06/justin-jeffersons-vikings-return/

 
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Posted: #67

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

 

Here's a nice tidbit.  Last week if the Jets would of decided to punt on all of their possessions, they would of won 5 to 3 vs the Falcons.

That is a rather spectacular tidbit peace_5

bigreds daddy
 
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Posted: #68

Dorian Thompson Robinson Jones Smith starting for the Browns is the best news I have heard. You basically play right into the Jaguars strength on defense which is their run support at the 2nd level. Love Jax this week. 

 
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Posted: #69

Placing a rather large bet on a bowl game being held at Ford Field Detroit. And a couple nfl bets as well. I'll report back soon.

an_bomb

 
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Posted: #70

@undermysac

 peace_5 an_popcorn

 
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Posted: #71

Bowling Green +4(-110) *1.25/1.14

Bowling Green ML(+158) *.25/.40

Well, decided not to go that big. Still may add more. Great spot. Game is on December 26.

Bears +3(+105) *1.50/1.58

Bears ML(+150) *.50/.75

Vikings @ Raiders U40.5(-110) *1.00/.91

an_cheers

 

 
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Posted: #72

@undermysac

 
care to elaborate on the BG bet?

 
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Posted: #73

@BIGDTITLE

 19 Gophers have entered the draft portal, including their qb.

BG has a bad ass secondary. #15 in the country in passing yards allowed per game. #1 in opponent interception %, #1 in takeaways per game, and #9 in sack %.

Minnesota has allowed 95% scoring in the Redzone this year.

They both played Michigan. BG lost by 25 but started they're backup qb since Bazelak was hurt. Minny played Michigan and lost by 42.

I'm on the shitter. I have to bet more on this game.

 
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Posted: #74

an_horse

 
 
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Posted: #75

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

@BIGDTITLE  19 Gophers have entered the draft portal, including their qb. BG has a bad ass secondary. #15 in the country in passing yards allowed per game. #1 in opponent interception %, #1 in takeaways per game, and #9 in sack %. Minnesota has allowed 95% scoring in the Redzone this year. They both played Michigan. BG lost by 25 but started they're backup qb since Bazelak was hurt. Minny played Michigan and lost by 42. I'm on the shitter. I have to bet more on this game.
they should not be in a bowl with 5 wins. peace_5

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