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Half my NBA season's bankroll is going on this teams' 1st game and a MEGA WRITE-UP accompanies it!!

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Posted: #26

With you on Blazes -4.5

 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I would feel comfortable taking POR up to -7.5 for sure personally

-7.5 on the road for a mediocre team that hasn't won in Phoenix in their last 4 tries?  Portland only won 5 times by double digits on the road last season.  They also lost 13 straight games to end the season last year.   
 
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Posted: #28
talent-wise its a no-brainer,i think if bothe teams play to their potential blazers coast in without breaking a sweat...but as we all know straaaange s h i t can happen on any given nite in nba..we see it every season,so hard to cap the motivation of these dudes...i love the play and will bet it myself based purely on the trainwreck of a roster phoenix has but please for the love of everything thats good,DONT drop a half bankroll on it.....not sure how much you value money but obviously you will feel absolutely ill if sum weirdness goes down and suns are competitive......remember the players,as bad as they are,will still be trying hard.they are not instructed to tank.its just that management creates an environment were they are destined to lose due,predominantly,to over-all lack of ability.....but the players still bust their balls.they got ego's and want bigger paychecks no matter wat kind of scrub they are
 
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Posted: #29
Plumlee is actually a fine young player.  Suns sans Gortat have big man problems. True.  Suns still have not solved all the problems with 2 quality point guards that really need to work together.
The good news for the Suns is
They finally have a good coach.
Line up is seriously underrated.
Bet itself seems reasonable.
Suns still went 5-2 in the preseason.
Bet amount is silly.
GL
 
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Posted: #30
For someone who claims sports is fixed its hard to believe youd put half your bankroll on a game.
 
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Posted: #31
hey scal, best of luck to you.  either i didn't read right; but you didn't mention goran dragic.  you didn't mention that a horrible phoenix team beat portland easily at home twice last year.  the game in portland was a three pointer.   you didn't mention that phoenix, under hornacheck, was strong in the preseason (as was portland).  oh, and that portland's only loss in the preseason was to phoenix at home.  both teams will show up in the first game.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:


I don't feel like creating useless threads.  You can go ahead and make one all you want.  You haven't picked a winner in years and now you're risking half your bankroll on a play in game 1 of the regular season.  It's such a desperate attempt for attention.  It's quite comical, actually.  

I haven't picked a winner in years....

When you create a thread and explain your pick in detail, it's because you are DESPERATE for attention on an anonymous gambling website (and this humble harry who intructs me on the virtue of humility probably posted a pic of his five dollar footlong on Facebook with the words "oh la la! lunchy munchy!" under it, two minutes ago)...

The classic lemming of the covers masses folks, live and in color...you'll find him in almost all my threads with the same schtick 
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by t2005:

SCALA 
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

If you lose this play, you will leave covers for a while or go to one of your other several aliases to try to stir up some other bullshitt and attention you seek.  Anybody with half a brain can see through you and anything you spew when you decide to give your 2 cents on a play.  

Several aliases....

Name just ONE alias....

This should be interesting...
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I would feel comfortable taking POR up to -7.5 for sure personally

I would have to lay the number but I would not do it comfortably given I had this game pegged at 3 and now would have to lay 3.5 point premium.

It better not even sniff 7.5 by the time I get to it.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

Scal, Im on it bro.Half your bankroll? Cast Iron balls getrdone..Great write up...NBA is here baby!love baskets & CBB is right around corner.



Yes half. What's my read on Chicago/Mia tonight? None.

What's my read on orl/ind tonight? None.

You can see what kind of read I have on this game and I am not letting it get away cheap.
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by The Hawk:

Scal, great write up. Most only focus on how the team they're betting on will win. But, you included as to why the Suns are primed to lose. A detailed look at both sides.

With such detail, I have to ask. Do you follow the Blazers really closely, or do you just hate the Suns, or both?

GL



I just happened to follow the Blazers in the second half of last year much more than normal since they were getting spotted very large numbers on the road and at home and after they had the worst finish to a season in team history, I was looking for this first game with baited breath. 

The Suns are famous for cutting payroll at any  cost and look what they did to an already terrible team. I couldn't ask for a better road game outside of the Sixers (which wouldn't be as good given the easy coast travel actually).
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by JNguyenCali:

Thanks , on it ( at -4.5 )

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by jdawgqn86:

Word up, taking it at -5.

Already up to 5. This is torture waiting to get in on this
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

talent-wise its a no-brainer,i think if bothe teams play to their potential blazers coast in without breaking a sweat...but as we all know straaaange s h i t can happen on any given nite in nba..we see it every season,so hard to cap the motivation of these dudes...i love the play and will bet it myself based purely on the trainwreck of a roster phoenix has but please for the love of everything thats good,DONT drop a half bankroll on it.....not sure how much you value money but obviously you will feel absolutely ill if sum weirdness goes down and suns are competitive......remember the players,as bad as they are,will still be trying hard.they are not instructed to tank.its just that management creates an environment were they are destined to lose due,predominantly,to over-all lack of ability.....but the players still bust their balls.they got ego's and want bigger paychecks no matter wat kind of scrub they are

All valid points 


 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by tuck321:

Plumlee is actually a fine young player.  Suns sans Gortat have big man problems. True.  Suns still have not solved all the problems with 2 quality point guards that really need to work together.
The good news for the Suns is
They finally have a good coach.
Line up is seriously underrated.
Bet itself seems reasonable.
Suns still went 5-2 in the preseason.
Bet amount is silly.
GL

You have the wrong Plumlee brother. The halfway decent one is on the Nets (and even he's not anything to write home about). Miles is not an NBA center.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by jtoler:

For someone who claims sports is fixed its hard to believe youd put half your bankroll on a game.

All sports can be fixed to a degree. Who can deny that with the officiating? Ya live with it. Do I think this game will be 'fixed'? No. Why would it? Will there be awful calls? Yes. That's the NBA.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by stevenp:

hey scal, best of luck to you.  either i didn't read right; but you didn't mention goran dragic.  you didn't mention that a horrible phoenix team beat portland easily at home twice last year.  the game in portland was a three pointer.   you didn't mention that phoenix, under hornacheck, was strong in the preseason (as was portland).  oh, and that portland's only loss in the preseason was to phoenix at home.  both teams will show up in the first game.



Goran Dragic runs their point.He doesn't need mentioning.

Go look at the starting lineup for the team that beat Portland in the preseason and tell me how many guys are still with the team.

Last season was a debacle for the Blazers filled with injuries so the only relevant thing to me that is worth mentioning this year is the losing streak they are trying to snap.
 
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Posted: #44
Nice write-up.

The number is moving man, but I think that is based on the trade of Gortat rather than "public" money coming in.  Gortat trade doesn't happen it may be 3.5 at worse.

Since it is rising though, I may just have to go hammer it today.

Good Luck
 
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Posted: #45
Great write-up, scala.
Whether it hits or not, it's always a great pleasure to read a strong argument such as yours. I am definately on it. Let's cash it.
Btw, my company sent me to Australia for a six-month assignment. I wanted to come to the States hoping to see an MLB or NBA game. Well, Australia is a nice place to stay, but I don't think I get used to these cricket or rugby thing. Lol. Just stopped here to tell you how I am going. Hope to see you more of your picks as the hoops season is on the way. Good luck.
 
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Posted: #46
Also, it looks as though a former competitor of mine, a rival foe, hailing from Madison Memorial HS, Mr. Wesley Matthews has been cleared and looks to see action Opening night.

Always a fan of Wes.  True competitor who leaves it out on the floor. Looks as though he's got the irregular heartbeat under control.  

 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by Revo23:

Nice write-up.

The number is moving man, but I think that is based on the trade of Gortat rather than "public" money coming in.  Gortat trade doesn't happen it may be 3.5 at worse.

Since it is rising though, I may just have to go hammer it today.

Good Luck

Even with the Gortat trade, I was still hopeful for 3/3.5 when it opened at my book which could be found on the web even after the trade only to be pushed higher. In theory, Gortat is worth .5 pt at best. Maybe on a team as bad as the Suns he's a full point at most but certainly nothing more (and a full point is a big stretch imo).
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by SeoulCapper:

Great write-up, scala.
Whether it hits or not, it's always a great pleasure to read a strong argument such as yours. I am definately on it. Let's cash it.
Btw, my company sent me to Australia for a six-month assignment. I wanted to come to the States hoping to see an MLB or NBA game. Well, Australia is a nice place to stay, but I don't think I get used to these cricket or rugby thing. Lol. Just stopped here to tell you how I am going. Hope to see you more of your picks as the hoops season is on the way. Good luck.

Wow! Australia. That sounds great. Yeah, they may eat nothing but Vegemite but look at the place, where is the food? It is virtually desert in some places. 

Drop in and let me know how that place is (attractions, weather, scenery etc.) after your trip is finished. I'd be interested in visiting there one day and would value a solid, informed opinion.


 
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Posted: #49
KingRGIII
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by Revo23:

Also, it looks as though a former competitor of mine, a rival foe, hailing from Madison Memorial HS, Mr. Wesley Matthews has been cleared and looks to see action Opening night.

Always a fan of Wes.  True competitor who leaves it out on the floor. Looks as though he's got the irregular heartbeat under control.  


THANK YOU!

I had info he wouldn't play because of the irregular heartbeat just because the team was being extra cautious, but it appears otherwise. 

Guys, he can drop 14-16 and can hit the three. This is a big plus to the starting five.

That gives a starting five vs. the Suns of:

Aldridge
Lillard
Matthews
Batum
Lopez

Compare this to the starters at the end of last year which lost every which way till Wednesday:

Claver
Hickson
Leonard
Barton
Lillard

Talk about an upgrade.

Remove the 'almost' healthy in the OP. They are healthy (outside of a first rounder who wouldn't see minutes).
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