Betting on Politics

did you see what is the religious of Hillary? methodist?

besides vt sanders could win in massachussettes. the democrats must be getting a little worried with turn out so low in the early primary states........

I think people who don t want trump choice for republican need to make their choose between cruz and rubio

the republicans are in division Mitch McConnel establishment gop vs tea party Hostile take over. the dominoes started to fall with cantor house majority whip loosing in the primaries.

Wow this got sidetracked,  where is the betting talk?

i got bernie locked to winning vt. 10,000 pays 137.46 but to me money in the bank

either wipes 10% or it moves me along to a goal

It's impossible in here to not have people throw in their political opinions. I try, but...

As far as betting, I'm not doing anything just yet. Probably going to start loading up on Hillary to win the general. Looking at the electoral college and the Republican Party right now, she's got a much easier road than Trump. Trump is going to have a hard time winning when some of the republican senators won't support him.

Not sure what the odds are going to be tomorrow, but that's where I'm looking. I've already got one ticket on her, but I'll have more coming soon.

I've gone over the electoral college several times, and read a lot on it (it's funny how democrat and republican polling are sure the swing states will go in their favor), but based on the articles I trust the most they seem to lay out the most likely plan for her.

This isn't a political statement...just a betting opinion. I have republican and democrat bets, and I will have states betting for both sides. All betting opinions welcome, but please keep it to betting markets. (Handshake emoji)

i am poor at this i apologize alan   i am emotionally invested in defeating Hillary. not the ambassador but the former seals that died.

Does Cruz odds @51 is not big value??

trump 2-1

Romneys on the board at +7000 he planning a run for the white house?

I've heard enough chatter and thought about things to consider where the Republican race is at and the Democratic one.  It's rare people agree with me so that's fine.  I'll just provide my input as I believe the races have shaped up. 

Republican: Trump is going to win the nomination and in fact, I actually think it'll be with a majority, rather than the convention everyone believes will occur.  It does depend somewhat on whether he wins some important states.  Even if it does manage to go to a convention, do the top strategists in the GOP party really think it's wise to piss off the voters and tell them that they don't matter? 

Nominating someone like Rubio who might win 10 to 15 states at best and I'm being very generous with that, isn't going to convince the American people the right decision is being made.  They will revolt and chaos will ensue.  I saw footage from 1968 when the Democratic National Convention resulted in violence.  Perhaps the Republicans should be trying to unify behind Trump.  I think they made a mistake in waiting so long to attack him and to overtly tell voters that they don't know what they're doing when they support him. 

Democrats: The media has been telling people for months that Hillary is the correct choice.  I think Americans are smart enough to see how the process has played out.  I almost believed what I was hearing, in fact, I jumped to conclusions and completely wrote Bernie off after Nevada and South Carolina.  Then I thought about it more and considered what did the campaigns expect to get out of Super Tuesday?  Well, according to what I heard, both campaigns pretty much hit their marks on that day.  Bernie was never going to win southern states and the campaign didn't even bother to spend money in more than half the states contested.  They essentially conceded places they thought spending their money would be wasted.

What's interesting is that Hillary beat Obama 55% to 38% in Massachusetts back in 2008.  Bernie lost to Hillary 50% to 48%.  Also, as one of the advisors for Sanders mentioned, he won some of the states that are considered battleground states.  It brings me to a couple of points to elaborate on what I talked about in a previous post.  The discussion about how Sanders polls with Hispanics and African-Americans might actually be overblown more than I realized.  As the candidates move into the midwest and western states, some that aren't nearly as diverse in terms of electorate, how will Hillary fare?

She's not beating Bernie with young voters or independents, both things I did believe were a problem.  What I failed to realize is that Hillary hasn't really narrowed the gap enough, just as Bernie has been trying to do with minorities.  She has more work to do.  In states that Bernie campaigns heavily in or spends money in, he'll narrow the gap somewhat with the Hispanics and African-American.  The numbers only look so extreme in some of those southern states because his campaign didn't bother.  I think they'll try in the rest of the states, which is when we'll really get a better idea of how things shake up. 

I admit I still consider Hillary the frontrunner but Bernie could win enough states to possibly get a convention, maybe even exceed my expectations if voters are persuaded enough when he visits their states.

(As an aside, I believe that John Lewis was asked by Hillary Clinton to do a political favor for her in order to solidify her support with African-Americans.  She asked him to question the legitimacy of his record on civil rights.  I feel this way because of a few things.  His countenance had an expression of being slightly uncomfortable when he delivered his endorsement for the PAC in Congress that day. 

He did not speak with conviction about being so sure that Bernie lacked authenticity.  In fact, if he really thought that was a possibility, why would he suddenly bring it up then?  Wouldn't he bring it up months before when Bernie was starting to emerge as a contender?  I especially wondered about this when Lewis said he's worked with Sanders before in the House and knows him.

I came to this conclusion after Rachel Maddow asked Lewis to clarify his remarks about Sanders, which really should have been done the next day if the media was covering this race fairly.  He said that he only meant that he didn't meet Sanders during those times, not that he didn't actively protest back then.  That made me realize what I had a hunch about weeks ago may actually be right.)

I see Cruz has some momentum and I suppose there must be value in some primaries with him but I I'm fairly confident the establishment isn't going to get behind Cruz if this does go to a convention.  They want Rubio.  Republicans/conservatives can tell me if I have this wrong, though. 

Bernie at plus money on the Ohio and Illinois primaries are good bets right now. Polls used to show Hillary with huge leads, but recent polls show its real close. I think it's worth the shot. I wouldn't take much better odds but right now it's a pretty good value.

Field wins Republican Nomination at +260 ?

Yeah, I read your post before the results and agreed with what you're saying.  I didn't expect Rubio to suspend his campaign, though.  He did worse than I ever thought from the beginning.  I had been telling my friend for months he had no chance to be the nominee. 

I also think it's over for Sanders but I will say that he probably made a path for a socialistic candidate to come along in the future.  He did pretty well considering nobody knew about him before.  I think these voters who are siding with Clinton because she can get things done and is more practical are delusional.  The GOP won't negotiate with her at all and without a 60-vote majority in the Senate, none of the policies she's pushing for will pass.  Of course, most voters are uninformed so they don't even realize it.

do you see how many possibilities are possibles? that is just " Hillarous" 

the only big value is on KASICH  GOP and president bit with little stake because with the broken convention nobody nows realy what could happen