Betting on Politics

https://electionbettingodds.com/

HRC has 70% of winning US Presidential election in the CNN/Pivit, while one offshore book has HRC -200 of winning next US president. It can certainly change from day to day until November, HRC will have better chances of defeating GOP nominee if she should face Donald Trump rather than Ted Cruz. John Kasich will give HRC the toughest challenge among current three GOP presidential runners. 

Thank God for gamblers and business men at least we put. Up money to risk for a reward. We have at least enough nutz to chance our money for a better future but a lady pointed out to me. That expectations is a future of grievances. For if you plant and expect to harvest you be as God and look at us for just a mom 

https://politicalwire.com/2016/04/09/trump-already-outmaneuvered-in-indiana/

Chances are, Donald Trump will sweep these upcoming Northeast GOP primaries, such as New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland..., before loses Indiana and Nebraska primaries to Ted Cruz. 

All the same organizers for Bush 2 dusting off the trousers and helping Cruz, the TEXAS Senator. Cruz = Bush 3 (what Jeb couldn't be). That insider clout has been maneuvered over to Cruz. They are getting funded by PACs that helped Bush, and are probably cheating in these caucuses in small states. Unlike ability hard to measure, but Cruz 's connections and his creepiness at times are contrasting with Trump's 'Pat Buchanan type populism' and confidence on a big stage. Trump will be ahead in delegates in July. That's a good wager imo.

In CNN Pivit, Donald Trump has 99% of beating Ted Cruz in the GOP New York Primary, no wonder Trump is -10300 to win New York Primary. Comparing to Trump's -10,300, Golden State Warriors are "only" -5,000 to beat Memphis Grizzlies tonight and breaking Chicago Bulls' old regular season wining record.  

By the way even with contested convetion looming, Donald Trump has better than 50% of winning GOP presidential nomination. And HRC tops 70% of becoming next US president.

So you're saying Trump is sure money to win new York?.

I tend to think of this as a general thread about the election so I figured I'd post in here.  As usual my thoughts about the races don't match anything the media or intellectuals are discussing.

To me, it appears that Trump is intentionally not trying to win over delegates in these states with underhanded tactics like Cruz is doing.  How can I possibly come to that conclusion?  Well, consider the message Trump has been repeating and go listen to Reagan's speech in 1980 about being an outsider.  You'll notice striking similarities in terms of what they're saying. 

Is Trump anything like Reagan?  No, of course not.  Their demeanors aren't anything alike or policies as well.  However, I believe Trump is tacitly telling voters that by voting for him in the upcoming states, the people will be supporting someone who isn't going to screw over Americans while Cruz is a typical sleazy politican whose best interests are really for himself.  It's an argument that I think Trump is going to win.

On the Democratic side I thought it was very telling in the last part of the debate.  Bill Maher asserted it was a typical debate as usual and nothing noteworthy happened.  WRONG!  Hillary was asked about Social Security and if she'd lift the cap on it for taxable income to contribute.  Instead of saying yes or no, she suggested that there were several avenues and that because it's nuanced, she's not really sure what she'd do at this time.

That's rather interesting for someone who's been attacking Bernie on breaking up the big banks and supposedly having no plan to do it.  She's saying it's okay for her to be a hypocrite and meet with advisors to discuss the possibilities for SS but Bernie can't do that with the big banks. 

Even more troubling for me is the real story is Hillary doesn't have a plan for SS!   The media should be hammering for that and Americans should be concerned.  That is a major issue she isn't even prepared for at this time to address properly. 

In CNN's Political Prediction Market, Trump has a 27 point lead over Cruz. The online prediction tool allows Internet users to predict the outcome of the 2016 election....it has Trump at 62% odds of winning the GOP nomination.

Trump has his odds for the nomination at 62%, opening a 27-point lead on Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, whose chances are at 35%...

Trump is making progress.https://www.electionbettingodds.com/conv.html

Super PACs are gearing up for a brokered convention in Cleveland. The delegates there are the target for the establishments insiders. These men are usually long serving party men. Some are in local and state governments and even elected judges. All needing campaign donations s9oooo,..... If trump or Cruz can pull off the brokered convention it is less than 50% chance in my opinion. Kasich could very easily be the GOP nominee in the second balloting system.

Pretty close to a L0*k...  Hillary to win NY Dem primary, -1670.

This is not sports betting as Hillary's voters can't have a bad day or Sanders' voters pull an upset and change the mind of HC's voters on Tues.  NY is a close voting system, ie. only Dem-registered voter can vote and that was close a month ago. Sanders' upset in MI came from independents and they can't vote here.

Every poll has shown Clinton leading by 10%+ and it's her "home"state, 2 Senate wins and beating Obama 58 - 40 in 2008.

If you have extra cash at Bookmaker, it's "easy" money.

"Every poll has shown Clinton leading by 10%+ and it's her "home"state"

She's a carpetbagger from Chicago via Arkansas,,Bernie is the real homeboy...not her.

Dude, relax!!!

1.  I know she's not originally from NY, hence the quote.

2.  Topic of this thread is betting on politics, not discussion on politically views.  There are tons and tons of those threads around.  Let's voice your opinions there.    I don't discuss politics that much with friends much less with strangers on the Internet whose views are 100% set and biased (me included) based on their own social / financial background.  Every single one of those thread resort to name-calling within 10 posts.  It's waste of my time to involve with that.

3.  I welcome responses regarding my bet or postings of new bets.

Gmitran my mans,,I am relaxed..that's why I pointed out,, that handicapping one of the reasons Hillary has an advantage is because New York is (in quotation marks) her "home state".

This can't be an advantage over Bernie,,, who is a real homeboy born in New York..

Other than that I think the rest of your points are valid.

We can debate who's more "homey," but history has shown that HC has won 3 statewide races, including one against future president so voters have no problem voting for her.  Not debating that's right or wrong, all I know is they will very likely again and that's all that matter in this thread. 

Hillary has been a lock before they even debated in New York.  Traditional Democratic voters are not intelligent enough to vote for Bernie over Hillary, even though I agree with some of the experts that the Democrats will likely nominate someone more progressive than Hillary the next time around. 

New York and Connecticut are closed primaries, I believe.  They also care too much about gun control, even though Hillary is a hypocrite about the matter if they did any research.  I haven't been fascinated at all by the primary in New York because I thought it was over before it started.

If Bernie can move to a 15-1 or -1500 a value is gained in my opinion but if the odds reduce to -750 then insider info is making huge wager on Sanders if then it stays within 750-1500 hrc wins. New York.

Other side Trump wins. And what ever dead money that emotionally bets Cruz and lasich is just scoopable. Thanks come again type of thing.

Easy win! 

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/week.html

Trump now has close to 70% of winning GOP nomination after last night's NY Primary blow out. 

Trump is probably unlikely to win a general election but I do want to point out that (I) voters are more likely to go with Trump than Hillary.  I'm pretty confident about that.  What's funny is the Democrats listen to Bernie about most of the issues and debate them but his most important point is ignored, which of course is that independents support Bernie much more than Hillary and that's why he does better against Trump in a general election. 

Democrats are also ignoring that a lot of Hillary's wins are in states that are probably going to vote Republican in the general election.  I think if the Republicans had a better candidate, they'd give her a run for her money.