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Captain
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Posted: #301
The RealClear Politics aggregator has HRC up by 2.7%, but the poll with the smallest MoE (NBC News) has HRC ahead by just 1%.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Chalk bettors better not be counting their chickens.
 
Captain
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Posted: #302
This article says that the GOP united, if only for one night:

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/19/us/politics/republican-national-convention.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=b-lede-package-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0

Christie can still be a useful "attack dog" without being on the ticket.
 
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Posted: #303
As I said earlier in this thread, the best time to take HRC is now, after the convention. History shows the conventions create a 6-8 point bump 

After hers, the polls will have her 10 points ahead. 
 
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Posted: #304
Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

As I said earlier in this thread, the best time to take HRC is now, after the convention. History shows the conventions create a 6-8 point bump 

After hers, the polls will have her 10 points ahead. 

"History is an accurate predictor of the future." The gambler's first fallacy.
 
Legend
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Posted: #305
Was trying to lock in on "Ted Cruz to endorse Trump" for tonight if any, but i just found out all of the politics category being taken off the board from 5dimes as of now. 
 
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Posted: #306
Quote Originally Posted by Relax_Dude:


"History is an accurate predictor of the future." The gambler's first fallacy.

I've never known an intelligent gambler or even person or does not take history into account when gambling or making any decision actually. 

Then again, you don't strike me as qualifying as an intellectual. 
 
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Posted: #307
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Was trying to lock in on "Ted Cruz to endorse Trump" for tonight if any, but i just found out all of the politics category being taken off the board from 5dimes as of now. 

Politics category is opened again, but there is no such thing as "Ted Cruz to endorse Donald Trump GOP Nominee" prop.

BTW, to win Election

HRC -245

D. Trump +220

 
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Posted: #308
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


Politics category is opened again, but there is no such thing as "Ted Cruz to endorse Donald Trump GOP Nominee" prop.

BTW, to win Election

HRC -245

D. Trump +220


I'm thinking the best time to bet (if you like HRC) is before she chooses her VP Friday. My guess is it will be -210. 

After the DNC, will be -450 or so. May fluctuate but likely won't see -210 again. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #309
The Trump campaign is a mess:

https://politicalwire.com/2016/07/20/the-trump-campaign-is-a-mess/

The Republican GOTV effort also has plenty of work to do.  Most articles I have read claim they are far behind the Democrats.
 
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Posted: #310
Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:


I'm thinking the best time to bet (if you like HRC) is before she chooses her VP Friday. My guess is it will be -210. 

After the DNC, will be -450 or so. May fluctuate but likely won't see -210 again. 

I had a thread on this forum regarding on my HRC bets, a small one at +110 which i took in 8/29/15. Also a larger amount at my local at -240 that i placed back in Mar 12 of this year and some second legs of HRC two team parlays pending. So, pretty much i like HRC's chances in this election. May add more if i do see close to -200.  
 
 
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Posted: #311
Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

As I said earlier in this thread, the best time to take HRC is now, after the convention. History shows the conventions create a 6-8 point bump 

After hers, the polls will have her 10 points ahead. 
Convention poll bounces almost always dissipate.  Anyone contemplating placing a wager should take that into account.
 
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Posted: #312
Hey Van,

Curious to hear if you see any value on the props for Trump's acceptance speech on 5D.

There's another thread discussing the "does not say 'black lives matter'" bet. Any thoughts on this one in particular?
 
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Posted: #313
Every person I talk to always has something negative to say about Trump. The GOP convention is now. and there is not much positive to say about the republican nominee. The Dems are going to have the last say and that we be on the pubic's mind. All Hillary needs to do is remember to bring her husband to the convention and this thing is a WRAP. You have to be crazy to think Trump actually will sniff the White House. Hell he probably could care less about being elected anyway. Cruz wants to vote for Hillary as well. my god. this election is so fixed its not even funny and you guys are holding on to your underdog Trump. I am voting for Trump because I hate the system. but I know what the global agenda is and it says Hillary is in the White house.
 
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Posted: #314
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

The RealClear Politics aggregator has HRC up by 2.7%, but the poll with the smallest MoE (NBC News) has HRC ahead by just 1%.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Chalk bettors better not be counting their chickens.


. The polls show things like this because they want to ensure that people are SCARED enough to think that Trump is keeping it close to ENSURE that they go and vote for the other candidate. That is the key. Fear of Trump actually making it in will prevail.  Female presidents inserted into recent Hollywood movies is no accident. It's preparation and subliminal mind control.  The Cleveland Indians have a much much much better chance at winning the world series that Trump has in getting elected into the White House office. Wait until after Trump speaks at the GOP to get the best price on HRC my friends. Predicto out
 
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Posted: #315

Predictorama

Bill Clinton's presence hardly gives HRC a "WRAP" on the presedentcy..to the contrary; you sound highly hypocritical, and confused in your opinionated commentary, do you really believe Trump could care less about being the next U.S. Presedent? or that Cruz leans towards voting for Hillary? you're voting for Trump because you hate the system? the election is fixed?

the global agenda? where on earth are you coming from?

take your meds and go to sleep, you sound beyond ridiculous....

to each his own...

 
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Posted: #316

*typo

president

 
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Posted: #317
Bovada...

Trump says "Crooked Hillary" tonite.  Yes -175, No +135.  Very low max limit but just don't see how he does not say it.
 
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Posted: #318
Trump says "Lying Ted"  Yes -220, No +155.  Playing No even after last nite Non-endorsement.  Just can't see him dissing someone from own party at Convention.  Then again, nothing has gone as-usual in his campaign.

Trump reps saw the transcript of Cruz's speech beforehand, that's how this goes.  In the other speeches, media was given transcript of what each speaker was going to say.  That's how they knew Carson went off-script with the Lucifer comparision.
 
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Posted: #319
I think it's fair to say that nobody will ever have to mention the word "Cruz at any GOP Conventions, tonight or in the future, assuming that there are future GOP conventions. 
 
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Posted: #320
Quote Originally Posted by gmitran:

Bovada...

Trump says "Crooked Hillary" tonite.  Yes -175, No +135.  Very low max limit but just don't see how he does not say it.


is that really the line?  i haven't watched a minute of this circle jerk (cruz's speech notwithstanding) but it's impossible to avoid the circus on twitter and elsewhere.  anyway, apparently, every other word is hillary at this thing so this seems like tremendous value. 
 
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Posted: #321
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:



is that really the line?  i haven't watched a minute of this circle jerk (cruz's speech notwithstanding) but it's impossible to avoid the circus on twitter and elsewhere.  anyway, apparently, every other word is hillary at this thing so this seems like tremendous value. 


Still up now.
 
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Posted: #322
did you play it?
 
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Posted: #323
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Predictorama

Bill Clinton's presence hardly gives HRC a "WRAP" on the presedentcy..to the contrary; you sound highly hypocritical, and confused in your opinionated commentary, do you really believe Trump could care less about being the next U.S. Presedent? or that Cruz leans towards voting for Hillary? you're voting for Trump because you hate the system? the election is fixed?

the global agenda? where on earth are you coming from?

take your meds and go to sleep, you sound beyond ridiculous....

to each his own...


You will understand where Im coming from better when you witness the monster speech he will have at the democratic convention. Then you will bow down and call me a genius. People will love seeing Bill Clinton speak. It may be the difference. Now on to the agenda. There is an agenda of the NWO and the script says HRC gets IN the White House....Maybe this is why they inserted female presidents into recent Hollywood films like Independence Day Resurgence and Hunger Games. Hang on to you Your BIG underdog Trump and see what happens in November buddy. HRC is a lock like no other in American History, I am telling you Trump can't happen as president. IT CAN NOT HAPPEN!!
 
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Posted: #324
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

did you play it?


Yes.
 
 
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Posted: #325
i'm going to continue not watching a minute of this clusterf*ck but i'll check back tomorrow to see how you did. 
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