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UPDATE: 'Race for the White House'

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Posted: #251

Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:

Quote Originally Posted by sundance: Blockbuster! 31% of black voters intend to cast their votes for President Trump in latest poll from Rasmussen. Trump wins in a landslide with 'only' 25% of the black vote! Americans leaving the plantation in huge numbers! Tuesday, 3 November is potentially the end of the Democratic Party!  No chance. If you think 31% of Black voters are honestly voting Trump you are either high or braindead. This further solidifies why Rasmussen is a complete joke of a poll.
After reading some of his posts,brain dead gets my vote.Ive seen a ton of high people,but high and delusional are 2 completely different things.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #252

Very interesting results when you type #electionpoll on Twitter: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23electionpoll&src=typed_query

 

 

What's funny is that the guy who made this Twitter poll is a Biden supporter.

 
Legend
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Posted: #253

Oct 30:

Note: Hillary was +3.0 pts within 4 days of 2016 election, and finished +2.1 pts
At the same point, Joe Biden is up +7.5 pts...

 

With 3rd party candidates (ie, the actual 2020 outlook):

+7.5   @270 to win           ......UP 0.1 since yesterday
+7.8   @RealClearPolitics

 
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Posted: #254

Notable: Trump has taken the RCP average lead in Arizona for the first time since March.

It’s happening.

an_dance

 
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Posted: #255

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Oct 30:

Note: Hillary was +3.0 pts within 4 days of 2016 election, and finished +2.1 pts
At the same point, Joe Biden is up +7.5 pts...

 

With 3rd party candidates (ie, the actual 2020 outlook):

+7.5   @270 to win           ......UP 0.1 since yesterday
+7.8   @RealClearPolitics

thats largely being overlooked by the rump lickers

biden is up way more than clinton was at this point

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #256

Late, October 31: 270towin poll of polls

trump must win SIX of these at least !

Joe Biden's "swing state" lead...

-2.0  OHIO (trump leads Ohio)
+0.5  Florida
+0.8  Arizona .....has narrowed significantly
+1.2  Georgia
+1.5  N.Carolina
+4.7  Pennsylvania
+7.1  Michigan
+7.6  Wisconsin

 
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Posted: #257

Trump will win Az, Fl, Ohio, NC, GA, and Penn 

He needs to pull the upset by taking either Wisconsin or Michigan 

2016 Michigan was 47.5% Trump and 47.27% Clinton 

2016 Wisconsin was 47.22% Trump and 46.25% Clinton 

 

 
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Posted: #258

Clinton was a much stronger candidate than Biden 

 
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Posted: #259

That’s why Obama was in Michigan this weekend 

an_light

 
Legend
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Posted: #260

Quote Originally Posted by I_Need_A_Detox:

"Clinton was a much stronger candidate than Biden"

                                             --   by I_Need_A_Detox     

 

Clinton had bad NEGATIVE favorability rating of -12 pts.

Biden's is net POSITIVE  +11

Note: Hillary was +3.0 pts within 4 days of 2016 election, and finished +2.1 pts
At the same point, Joe Biden is up +7.5 pts...

With 3rd party candidates (ie, the actual 2020 outlook):

+7.5   @270 to win           ......UP 0.1 since yesterday
+7.8   @RealClearPolitics

 
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Posted: #261

Who cares about favorability? Trump was -22 in 2016. Now he’s -9 in the latest poll (NBC/WSJ). 

 
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Posted: #262

Late, October 31:
FiveThirtyEight website, average of polls:

Biden only needs to win 3!

Joe Biden's "swing state" lead...

-1.0 OHIO (trump leads Ohio)
+1.6 Georgia
+1.7 Florida
+2.4 N.Carolina
+3.1 Arizona
+4.9 Pennsylvania
+8.1 Wisconsin
+8.1 Michigan

 
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Posted: #263

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Late, October 31: 270towin poll of polls

trump must win SIX of these at least !

Joe Biden's "swing state" lead...

-2.0  OHIO (trump leads Ohio)
+0.5  Florida
+0.8  Arizona .....has narrowed significantly
+1.2  Georgia
+1.5  N.Carolina
+4.7  Pennsylvania
+7.1  Michigan
+7.6  Wisconsin

all biden needs is those 3 in the rust belt .  all the others will b a bonus

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
Legend
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Posted: #264

Late, October 31:
Real Clear Politics website, average of polls:
*NOTE: RCP is a right-biased website

Biden only needs to win 3 of these!!

Joe Biden's "swing state" lead...

TIED OHIO
TIED Arizona
+0.6 Georgia
+1.2 Florida
+2.0 N.Carolina
+4.0 Pennsylvania
+5.7 Wisconsin
+7.0 Michigan

 
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Posted: #265

US stockmarket predicts a Biden victory.  The incumbent president has lost 88% of the time when S&P 500 fell in the 3 months leading up to election.  No incumbent has ever won a second term when there has been a recession in the 2 years before election. 

 
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Posted: #266

Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

US stockmarket predicts a Biden victory.
The incumbent president has lost 88% of the time
when S&P 500 fell in the 3 months leading up to election.

No incumbent has ever won a second term when there has been
a recession in the 2 years before election.

 

   Solid info!! thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #267

Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

US stockmarket predicts a Biden victory.

The incumbent president has lost 88% of the time when S&P 500 fell in the 3 months leading up to election.

No incumbent has ever won a second term when there has been a recession in the 2 years before election.

 

rump will lose and lose badly  but he wont leave peacefully

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #268

Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

US stockmarket predicts a Biden victory. 

The incumbent president has lost 88% of the time when S&P 500 fell in the 3 months leading up to election. 

No incumbent has ever won a second term when there has been a recession in the 2 years before election.

                   an_light

 
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Posted: #269

CNN Projection:
President Trump wins Alaska an_light
   and all 3 electoral votes!

 
 
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Posted: #270

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

CNN Projection: President Trump wins Alaska    and all 3 electoral votes!

 

biggest state in the union goes all in for rump !  thumbs_up

rump might win now an_boggienight

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
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