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San Francisco at Arizona (11/10/2008)

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Prospect
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Posted: #201
Quote Originally Posted by Bengalfan9:

UNDER, UNDER, UNDER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
San Fran will run the ball and keep the ball out of Arizona's hot offense, running time off the clock without scoring... this will be a LOW SCORING GAME!!!!!
 
I'm still not sure about the side on this but I'm HAMMERING the UNDER!!!!!!!!!!!
 
UNDER

 San Fran has dominated how many games with the run this year? Yeah, hammer away at that under buddy.

SF/AZ Over 47.5 is the pick tonight

 

 

 
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Posted: #202
Staying away.... but like the road dawg in this one..... just have a feeling it's not gonna happen the way it's supposed to
 
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Posted: #203
Quote Originally Posted by Fpronk:

 This thread has alread been ruined but immature non-sense. Stick to the game...and get of the insults. None of the serious gamblers/cappers have any interest in these childish antics.
 
Stick to the game please.

 

I agree....If you want to chat got to a chat room.

 
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Posted: #204
1 MORE THING I FORGOT, THE HOME FAV HAS COVERED IN ALL 4 OF THEIR MNF GAMES...
 
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Posted: #205
Quote Originally Posted by Boned860:

OK, my 2nd post on covers. I've been following and reading here for a couple of years now.

Going into last week starting Tuesday, I neglected to calculate numbers and just betted against the public in most games....boy did i pick the wrong week to do this. Some examples:

Everyone and their mothers was leaning on Carolina which was about 68%...well, who won that game and last night was 58% on the Giants...tell me again who won that game. Oh...Baltimore against Houston, Jacksonville. NCAAF: Buffalo, Nevada and many others. Sometimes we look to deep and neglect to see whats right in front of us. Ask yourself and don't think about vegas, books and all the Cappers write-ups....on 11/10/08 will Arizona beat San Fran who is starting a back-up QB at their hostile desert home by 9.5 points? I say yes!

Besides Arizona is 4-0 ATS last 4 games, while San Fran is 0-5 ATS last 5 games.

The over is 3-0 in Arizona, 7-2 Arizona last 9 games.

My picks: Arizona -9.5 and the Over 47 BOL!

 

OK! I've been fading the public all week and lost but I have a theory that hasn't failed so far this season!

My Final picks: San Fran and  small play on the Over.

If this theory holds true again I will gladly share it.

 
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Posted: #206
All trends ATS point to the over between these two teams.  As long as San Francisco can establish there running game and not get too far behind I think they stay within 2 scores.
 
Arizona is by far the better team here but the safe play tonight is teasing SF and the over.
 
6 point teaser
 
SF +16.5
Over 42
 
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by Boned860:

OK, my 2nd post on covers. I've been following and reading here for a couple of years now.

Going into last week starting Tuesday, I neglected to calculate numbers and just betted against the public in most games....boy did i pick the wrong week to do this. Some examples:

Everyone and their mothers was leaning on Carolina which was about 68%...well, who won that game and last night was 58% on the Giants...tell me again who won that game. Oh...Baltimore against Houston, Jacksonville. NCAAF: Buffalo, Nevada and many others. Sometimes we look to deep and neglect to see whats right in front of us. Ask yourself and don't think about vegas, books and all the Cappers write-ups....on 11/10/08 will Arizona beat San Fran who is starting a back-up QB at their hostile desert home by 9.5 points? I say yes!

Besides Arizona is 4-0 ATS last 4 games, while San Fran is 0-5 ATS last 5 games.

The over is 3-0 in Arizona, 7-2 Arizona last 9 games.

My picks: Arizona -9.5 and the Over 47 BOL!



You sure did pick the wrong week, last the 4+ weeks was profitable fading the public. Wouldn't it be ironic if the game you decide to ride with the public this week turns out to be the one where the public craps in their pants?
 
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Posted: #208
Don't be bamboozled by these farce 49ers bookie bettors !
 
They will try to bamboozle you into thinking the public is wrong.
 
The wise guys have bet it up to 10.5 and the middle pushers are betting to middle the number at 10.
 
Take Zona and don't get bamboozled with the 49ers hype !! 
 
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Posted: #209
Over 47.5
 
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Posted: #210
 
yeah 10 point, last 2 of 3 bets... Like playing conservative here with a bigger bet on 3 safe(r) bets
 
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Posted: #211
I hate it betting the second divisional matchup-but, being it's MNF I have to believe the Cards will try and show what they can do. I think the 9rs show up to play though and try and pound the ball. AZ D is not great but I think will hold SF to fieldgoals while they put up TD's. AZ 34-20 on a late TD to cover.
 
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Posted: #212
LOL! Handicapped....That's why i've changed my pick to San Fran! I'm going to ride the fade atleast for this week! I also have a theory behind San Fran covering...It's something i picked up on the ESPN sports ticker. So far it hasn't failed me on a big Nat TV game for the past couple weeks....I know i said season in earlier post but i meant last couple weeks.
 
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Posted: #213
Here is the biggest stat of all:
 
When 80% of this board is on a team....go with the opposite team
 
I have won huge $$$$ doing this
 
SF +10
 
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Posted: #214

Quote Originally Posted by PHILLY-MAN:

hey fpronk, i really appreciate your info and reasoning on your games..  nice pick with giants , tough one on the under...  im sayin that because so many in here just write 49ERS OR CARDS without no reasoning or thought at ALL..  gl with your plays....

Philly, thanks for the mention and I am glad you like the write ups. I try to stick to the facts, valuable news, maybe some trends, and my own opinion. I'm hear to help and let people decide on their own who to pick.

 
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Posted: #215
Line should be moving more than .5 with 75% of the public on AZ.
 
Although it is hard for me to say SF is going to cover tonight.
 
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Posted: #216
So, supposedly 80% of the public on AZ but the line only moves a half point...something about that seems strange to me...am I wrong or am I missing something?
 
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Posted: #217
Quote Originally Posted by Frank_The_Tank:

One of my favorite Monday Night plays involves home teams returning off back-to-back road games. That's because, since 1980, teams in this situation are 54-36-1 ATS (against the spread) – or 60 percent ATS on the blind. But when you add one more factor, those numbers get even better.

Play on any NFL Monday night home team off back-to-back road games versus an opponent coming off a home game. When you follow that criteria, the record improves to 39-20-1 ATS. Better yet, make sure you are playing on a worthy team (win percentage greater than .400) and we improve those numbers to 32-13-1 ATS.

Best of all, put the worthy home team up against an opponent off a division home game and we soar to new heights, going 20-3-1 ATS.

This makes your play: Arizona Cardinals -9.5

4 what its worth......... best post so far....... thanx

 

 
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Posted: #218
Quote Originally Posted by mleavers2000:

Did a little more homework....

The line did open at AZ -11, then dropped below 10 and finally came back to AZ -10. I still think SF is the play here. The underdog in this series is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. See info below.



San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals Pick and Preview

November 10th, 2008

NFL Betting Preview
San Francisco 49ers (2-6) at Arizona Cardinals (5-3)
Monday, 8:35 pm Eastern – ESPN

SBG Global Opening Line: Cardinals  - 11   ,  Total  49

 

I don't know anywhere the lined opened at 11...I don't deny your post but I didnt see it anywhere.

 

https://www.covers.com/sports/odds/lineHistory.aspx?eventId=25329&sport=nfl

 
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Posted: #219
 i have to question a coaches mental wellness when he makes headlines, not for football wizardry on the sidelines, but for droppin' his pants to his knees in San Francisco. ( not that there's anything wrong with that)
                                                         

I truly think Singletary should seek professional couseling. if the coach drops his pants  and puts that arse out there when he loses, what's comin' out with a win  in San Francisco tonight, Big 'Ol Football Hall of Fame Black Snake ?  

Singletary is truly one of the best old school players ever, but he has the niners in a public shit storm,consider a rookie QB on the road and everything seems  to be ready for a ..............................................SF COVER!

be afraid,be very afraid,terrified, fearful,terror struck. don 't make that call to the man, don't click over to the off shore, don't even watch.  run, run for your life forrest, run you sumbitch!


 
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Posted: #220

I just dont see how AZ gonna lose this one. 1 experience SB QB, 2 excellent Recievers, 1 lead the NFL in TD, and 2 good and powerful backs. This team have all the ingredient for show time @ home on Monday Night.

Unless Steve Young decide to leave the commentator booth and suit up. Anyone who decided to SU or ML for SF, please decided on a charity and call them tonight, atleast your donation is tax deductable.

 
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Posted: #221
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

Crap I should of known the local was going to juice up the 1st half line. Not too comfortable with it but I guess I'll live with it. If I lose then I'll have to drop my pants at halftime and take my spankings from the wife, but that might just be something I might enjoy 
 
Cards at the half -6.5
 
Aloha and good luck to all

Mind if I ride shotgun? Got mine at -115.

Cardinals -6.5 at the half

 

 
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Posted: #222
ARIZONA   -9.5 ALL DAY!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #223
yes arizona low lets go!!
 
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Posted: #224
Agree!
I like the way you talk.
 
 
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Posted: #225
Quote Originally Posted by Fish Naked:

Mind if I ride shotgun? Got mine at -115.

Cardinals -6.5 at the half

 

There is always room for you my brother Buckle up my friend this may get bumpy a lot of people on the Cards tonight.

Good luck

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