bamaontop

@jwheels86

 if you think the only way Georgia loses is because of their coach you don't deserve to be giving out any opinions on ANY threads bud.

I don't know why people throw up stats from non-power 5 teams like Cincinnati and ignore who they played to obtain stats like that. Other than Notre Dame they played, and struggled, against weak teams or teams nowhere near Bama's caliber. Cinci had the 87th hardest schedule in FBS while Bama has the 4th (according to ESPN)

@stakkibotris

 O-line came to play. Bama by 17

@GamblinDAWG

 L

@jwheels86

 L

@jwheels86

we will see come sat

I’m a die hard bama fan but would like to say I’m also good at being unbiased. Look, I’m aware of the absolute dominance Georgia has performed all year. I saw that they’ve only allowed like 69 points all year, 14 coming from pick-six’s on offense. At first look everyone would think, “Oh -6.5 Georgia? That’s an easy one” I challenge you to critically think about every factor. Who’s the head coach of the team playing Georgia? The greatest head coach in CFB history. Where are they playing? Atlanta. Aka Bama’s second home field (where they’ve beat Georgia the past idk how many times). Another factor no one’s talking about is how Bama has experience fighting hard to win a lot of these games down the stretch. Georgia hasn’t been tested all year. What if Bama is up at the half or in the 4th? Georgia might not know what to do. Look I’m not saying to take one side or the other, I think the best play is no play. Bama is built for these big games and Georgia hasn’t performed in them the past few years. I understand this is a different team, and if any Georgia team can win the championship, it’s this one. Bama (as an entire team) made a decision late in the 4th last week that they wanted to keep their hopes of a championship alive and they overcame extreme adversity to comeback and win. I believe that is one of the scariest things about a team. Will they carry that over to this week? I believe the locker room is all on the same page and Saban will have them we’ll prepared. The only worry I have as a Bama fan is the O-line. They’re horrible this year and if they don’t come out playing hard, Bryce isn’t going to have time to throw (which is the only option with our current run game). It should be a game for the ages.

Throwing a bunch of dog ML’s this week so expecting my record or return to be down, but liking my max bet and most 2 unit bets. 

If you wanna know why I picked what I did ask

Saturday Bets:

@PeAceMaKer7690

 right

Wtf did I just watch…

Friday:

Nevada ML (+115) 1U

Locking in some Saturday plays and wanted to give some analysis' on 3 small Dogs I have winning outright in order of confidence.

Navy +4 & ML (+160)

This is more to do with ECU than it is Navy. ECU was a sharp dog last week and pulled the outright win against Memphis and now they have Navy before their biggest game in years, Cincinnati next week. This is a classic sandwich game. For Navy, they last played Notre Dame and had a bye last week. They are healthy and have had 2 weeks to prepare for ECU. You know they are going to come into this game well-disciplined like they always are, while ECU will be anxiously awaiting the upcoming Cincinnati game. Navy has had 3 one-score losses to Houston (who is proving to be something), Cincinnati, and SMU; all offenses far better than ECU. I like Navy to come out with energy, take control of this game and not look back. I've got Navy +4 and ML +160.

Iowa State +4 & ML (+150)

I cashed Baylor +5.5 & ML last week against Oklahoma. Although I don't like this matchup as much as Baylor's, I still see it as a play. Iowa State has had Oklahoma's number the past few years. Oklahoma is clearly having issues and I feel like the locker room doesn't have a clear leader to turn to at the QB position. They just took a huge blow to their confidence after the Baylor loss that essentially killed their playoff chances. Not saying this is a team that quit like Texas, but I can see them coming out and making one or two mistakes and losing confidence fast. I also think that Caleb Williams might have a similar game to Baylor (many rookie mistakes and missed opportunities). This is also an 11 am kickoff and Oklahoma hasn't done well coming out to start these games recently (Baylor & Kansas). Iowa St. is usually a well-coached team that sticks to its style of play and can control the pace of the game and I like that they have a respectable win against Oklahoma State. Senior, Brock Purdy, is facing Oklahoma for his third and final time. He lost by 1 in '19 and 6 in '20. I feel he is itching to take them down in his final game against them. And let us not forget the 2-time thousand-yard rusher Breece Hall that can expose the weak run D that Oklahoma has, much like Baylor did. I see them getting out in front and causing Oklahoma to panic and try to force things to catch up, much like last week. Give me Iowa St. +4 & ML +150.

UAB +4.5 & ML (+175)

UTSA is due to fall. We know as much as they do that this is uncharted territory for the Roadrunners. Oftentimes coaches that are deep into an undefeated season at a school like this feel like they need to change things up. The players start to play NOT TO LOSE instead of playing to win... and inevitably lose because of it. UAB is a tough team that runs and passes the ball well. I also like the fact that this isn't the toughest team they will have faced. They've played Georgia, Liberty, and also have a win @ Tulane. UTSA's last 4 opponents were Southern Miss. (who they were tied with until the 4th Q.), UTEP, LA Tech, and Rice. Not very tough for the Roudrunners. Maybe UAB comes out with a fire that UTSA isn't used to and takes control. Oh yeah, UTSA's strength of schedule is 126th out of 130 FBS teams... I'll take UAB +4.5 & ML +175 here.

Wednesday:

NIU -1.5 (-110) 1U

Like it 

@Pro_Fball_Picks

 Yeah... unfortunately I backed them last week when they got embarrassed by Miami Ohio. I just didn't know what you meant by broken. I don't like Vantrease and think now that they don't have Jaret Patterson to run for 250 a game, he has to do stuff himself and has struggled. They can't seem to get a drive going and the pass defense last week looked nearly non-existent. Buffalo is also averaging fewer rush and pass yards per game than their opponents. The only problem I have is that Buffalo is capable to win games like this one, it just depends if they come out and decide to play. Last week they didn't come out with any energy. This game really comes down to the 1st half, maybe the 1st Quarter. Is Buffalo going to take control or get run over? I'm leaning NIU, but am not sure yet. Might be an in-game play for me once I see how they come out. 

What do you mean by broken?

Adding:

[LIVE] WMU/EMU 24.5 1H Under (-120) 1U

Tuesday:

Miami OH/Bowling Green 27 1H Over (-115) 1U

Week 12 Leans:

NIU -1.5

CMU PK

Ohio St. -19

Illinois +12.5

Alabama -20

SMU +12

Pitt. -7 1H

Mizzou +8.5

LSU -16.5 1H