Barnstorm

@joe pockets

 On Twitter, he said he liked Jets -7, but no bet at -7.5.

@GottaWinItAll

 Where do you go to see that? Thanks!

Home Doggies 4-3 with Seahawks to go.

Falcons +5.5 vs Saints
Bears +7 vs Niners
Lions +6 vs Eagles
Texans +7 vs Colts

Jets +6.5 vs Ravens
Cardinals +6.5 vs Chiefs
Cowboys +2.5 vs Bucs

Seahawks +6.5 vs Broncos?

Seahawks now +7. Russ' Revenge, I guess. Seahawks with Geno Smith at QB and no Bobby Wagner. End of an era. They still have the 12th Man and a loud crowd. It's probably been a long time since they have gotten +7 at Home.

 Panthers now favored by -1, so scratch them from the list.

Vikings now a Pickem with GB. We'll see how that closes.

Lions up to +5.5.

Jets and Bears down to +6.5

There are 9 and maybe 10 Home Dogs in this NFL Week 1!

How do Home Dogs do in week 1 historically?

Which do you stay away from and why?

Jets +7 vs Ravens

Falcons +5.5 vs Saints

Panthers E vs Browns

Bears +7 vs Niners

Lions +5 vs Eagles

Texans +7 vs Colts

Cardinals +6.5 vs Chiefs

Vikings +1 vs Packers

Cowboys +2.5 vs Bucs

Seahawks +6.5 vs Broncos

Jets? Flacco starting. Is that good or bad?

Cardinals? DeAndre Hopkins is suspended and other injuries to JJ Watt and Markus Golden, and is Kyler Murray happy?

Panthers? McCaffrey is playing. Baker Mayfield seeking revenge. The game is a pickem now and might not be underdogs at game time.

Bears? Niners Kittle is questionable. Justin Fields vs Trey Lance. Two bit question marks, but Niners superior in every other way. But 7 points on the road better?

Lions? Some nagging injuries, but they play tough for Campbell. Eagles are loaded at WR.

Texans? Davis Mills?

Vikings? Viks have great offensive weapons. Does Rodgers?

Cowboys? Does Zeke have anything left? No Amari Cooper for Dak. Is Brady up for one more year?

Seahawks? Russ coming in with revenge in mind. Seahawks not resembling who they used to be. Russ gone. Wagner gone.

New Orleans dips below 3?? No.

Any chance Arizona gets to -3?? No.

Any chance Houston gets to +14? Yes.

Chicago down to -1 or less? Yes.

LA Rams gets down to -3? No.

San Fran dips below -3? Yes.

Check the odds and the juice to see which way it is leaning. GL!

It's good. Sam is no longer posting $ Dollar amounts. Just judge the plays and the W-L record, like any other Poster on Covers.

Agreed, not the greatest return on investment, but at least a small profit and not wrecked.

Sam finished the day yesterday at 2-5-1 and down $136,340 for the day.

He is now 51-44, down to 53.7% and down $128,722 since he started on December 9.

If you just tailed him with flat $100 bets, you'd still be up about $250.

He sure has been one of the streakiest players I've ever seen.

Now I'm glad he hasn't been playing with real money. I wouldn't wish that on anyone.

His well-0viewed experienced has certainly taught any new, young gamblers that you can't chase and keep doubling and tripling down, and that it's crazy to put a crazy large amount on any one game that often comes down to whether an 18-year old makes a free throw or turns it over or commits a dumb foul at the end of a game.

Sam, if you want to continue, maybe just posts your plays and keep your W-L record and forget about posting a $ dollar amount. Just post your picks and keep your W-L record. Just my two cents. GL.

Ouch, a $100,000 push on Oregon -13 for the full game. Cal got lucky to get 3 FTs at the end, but this could have easily been a $100,000 loss as Cal had it covered almost the whole way. Oregon was only covering for 2-3 possessions at the end as the Ducks' Chris Duarte got red hot and hit four 3s in a row.

Sam finished the day 2-5-1 and down $136,340 for the day.

He is now 51-44, down to 53.7% and down $128,722 since December 9.

If you just tailed him with flat $100 bets, you'd still be up about $250.

He sure has been one of the streakiest players I've ever seen.

Now I'm glad he hasn't been playing with real money. I wouldn't wish that on anyone.

He's certainly taught any new, young gamblers that you can't chase and keep doubling and tripling down.

Sam, if you want to continue, maybe just posts your plays and keep your W-L record and forget about posting a $ dollar amount. Just post your picks and keep your W-L record. Just my two cents. GL.

@camby700

 You need to say Full Game in this tread. 

No reason to ban him.

He's 51-40 (56%). A bit better than the average capper.

If someone flat bet $100 on each of his games, they'd be up $600-$700.

Just ignore his crazy dollar figures, and double and triple down tilts, whether they are real or not.

Covers likes the drama. It brings in eyeballs and eyeballs = $.

Oops! Happens fast. First two games up $31,660. Third game down $36,000.

2-1 but down $4,340.

Okay, too much drama to stay away. I'll total things up from today and maybe close out the year tomorrow, but then I retire.

Sam started the day 45-34 (57%) and up $25,614 since he started posting December 9.

At one point, he was down $81,000 today. Ended the day 4-5 and down $18,000 for the day.

Since December 9, he is 49-39, down to 55.7%

Up $7,618.

Right, that's why I just posted Sam's record and advised everyone to ignore the big dollar figures he throws around. But those big dollar figures might affect some young and more impressionable gamblers who see those big numbers and think Sam knows more than he does and then they go in over their heads. Folks are desperate in these uncertain times and they might play with the family rent and food money.

It is very rare for any posters on any of the sports forums to ever mention the dollar amount they are wagering, and there is a good reason for that. 1 unit, 2 units, 3 units is all that is necessary to post.

Over and out.

I'm done keeping score. Someone else can take it from here if they want. If someone wants the spreadsheet, PM me, or can I post a link here to it at Google Docs?

Sam's total posted record since he began on December 9, 2020 is:

45-34 or 57%. Pretty good, so far.

He is up $25,614

His average wager is $6,241 to win $5,483.

If you just flat bet his wagers at an amount within your means, and ignore the $ Dollar signs and Hail Mary's and all the drama, you might do okay.

Your mileage may vary. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

GL     

Happy New Year!   

Sam was 2-3 on the day, but was up $1,632 on the day, thanks to the triple down $36,000 bet on Virginia Tech.

Was up $7,566 yesterday. 3-2 yesterday.

Was down $13,286 yesterday. 2-3 Sunday.

Was down $14,286 Saturday. 1-2-1 Saturday.

Still waiting to seen a screen shot of some FanDuel confirmation wagers.

GL

Sam is down $32,000 today and tripling down with play money for $36,000 on Virginia Tech -3.5 1H. GL!

Was up $7,566 yesterday. 3-2 yesterday.

Was down $13,286 yesterday. 2-3 Sunday.

Was down $14,286 Saturday. 1-2-1 Saturday.

Still waiting to seen a screen shot of some FanDuel confirmation wagers.

GL!

@slomotion

Yes. He always includes the juice whether it is -110 or -120 or more. So if he says $4,000 to win $3,600, and it loses, I put it down as a loss of $4,000. Or a win of $3,600.

No, I believe it means he has already decided to double his wager from $12,000 to $24,000. But it's only play money until we see an actual screen shot of his FanDuel wager ticket.