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Personally, if they can manage another two franchises, I think they should have two conferences and no divisions. Play everyone in your conference; following year, if you were home against an opponent, you then play away. Then the best teams advance to the playoffs given the identical strength of schedules. All AFC teams receive a bye in Week 9, NFC teams in Week 10; following year, reverse it. Could still have teams travel to Mexico/Europe for international games, but slot them on Thursday before the bye week to allow for a couple extra days of rest/recovery from travel. There has to be some competitive advantages of when you receive a bye week and your opponents from the non-divisional schedule. This would minimize the impact of both. |
soup-can | 10 |
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Worst part was his father coming to his defense and brushing it off. His son has more accountability and character than his father. |
bellsbendboy | 17 |
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1. O 2. U 3. O 4. O 5. U 6. O 7. O 8. Jeudy 9. Wirfs 10. Tua 11. U 12. U 13. 5 |
ColinMac | 314 |
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I choked worse than Jean Van Der Velde on the back 9! Congrats Big Shot Bob! |
kenkean89 | 15 |
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Anyone know if any online books are offering over/under lines on player props (ex. Julio Jones 1275 receiving yards O/U)? Bodog use to offer over an hundred - found an edge and now I can't find a site to bet it.
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canuck10 | 2 |
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#10 Oakland Raiders : Predicted Record = 10-6 Things starting to look bright for Raiders Nation. A ton of talent looking for more experience and consistency. #9 Cincinnati Bengals: Predicted Record = 10-6 Not overly confident by their off-season strategy. Feel like they have taken a step back and will play second fiddle to the Steelers. #8 Denver Broncos: Predicted Record = 10-6 Quarterback situation will be questioned all season, but I think CJ Anderson has a monster year and the defense will remain dominant. #7 Washington Redskins: Predicted Record = 10-6 Have the most depth and fewest weaknesses in the NFC East, but could get overwhelmed with a tough schedule. Will have a top 5 passing attack if the receiving corps stays healthy. #6 Seattle Seahawks: Predicted Record = 11-5 TE Jimmy Graham is the key to providing this offense with an added dimension. Will struggle to regain the division crown from the Cardinals, but should be a tough out in the playoffs.
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canuck10 | 43 |
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Haven't been able to post and won't be, as we are moving 52 hours east and have only two weeks to pack up the house (and hopefully sell it).
Thought I would give the rest of the countdown with abbreviated reasoning. Enjoy. #20 Tampa Bay: Predicted record = 7-9 A little concerned with the healthy and maturity of the receiving core. Will be tough for D. Martin to replicate his performance. #19 NY Giants: Predicted record = 7-9 Bringing in a new coach will do wonders, but it will take time to gel. Offense is too one-dimensional and defense still has some weaknesses that will be exposed. #18 Buffalo Bill: Predicted record = 8-8 Tough off-season with regards to injuries. QB Tyrod Taylor is legit, but the depth of the receiving core is questionable. #17 New Orleans Saints: Predicted record = 8-8 Defense can't be as bad as they were last year. Drew Brees cap number makes it difficult to build a team around and the Saints aren't Superbowl contenders. Should have gone in a different direction. #16 Dallas Cowboys: Predicted Record = 8-8 It will be a rough start to the season with key starters on defense under suspension. It will be interesting to see IF Tony Romo can stay healthy and if he can return to form. Run game needs to kill the clock as much as possible. #15 Jacksonville Jaguars: Predicted Record = 8-8 The arrow is pointing up, but expecting them to improve by 5+ wins is a tough task. QB Blake Bortles reminds me of Roethlisberger, but he needs to improve his completion percentage and limit turnovers. Could win a weak AFC South. #14 NY Jets: Predicted Record = 9-7 Getting back QB Fitzpatrick was critical. The coaching staff has what it takes to get this team to be perennial contenders. It will be near impossible to run against this team. #13 Houston Texans: Predicted Record = 9-7 Look for RB Lamar Miller to have a monster year. I think the Texans overpaid for QB Brock Osweiler and don't think he offers much of an upgrade. Can they fight off the Jaguars? #12 Kansas City: Predicted Record = 10-6 Never flashy, but fundamentally sound in all three phases of the game. Andy Reid always finds a way to make it into the playoffs and QB Alex Smith limits turnovers and can surprise defenses with his running ability. Could this be their year? #11 Minnesota Vikings: Predicted Record = 10-6 Success hinges on Adrian Peterson's ability to stay healthy and shoulder the load. At this point of his career, QB Bridgewater is a game manager in the mould of an Alex Smith. Defense is underrated, but they will be hard-pressed to hold off a healthy Green Bay offense. Top 10 to come soon ... |
canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown #21 - Miami Dolphins
Off-Season Transactions Key Additions HC Adam Gase DE Mario Williams OT Laremy Tunsil (1st rounder) Key Departures DE Olivier Vernon DE Derrick ShelbyCB Brent Grimes RB Lamar Miller WR Rishard Matthews Statistics Record: 6-10 Offensive Scoring - 27th Defensive Scoring - 19th Offensive Passing - 19th Defensive Scoring - 21st Offensive Rushing - 23rd Defensive Rushing - 28th Overview It was truly a disappointing season for the Dolphins, who came into the season with high hopes after "winning" free agency by signing highly coveted DT Ndamakong Suh. The offense neglected the running game, despite the fact that RB Lamar Miller was effective. QB Ryan Tannehill still had a TD:INT ratio of 2 to 1 with WR Jarvis Landry having a huge breakout year; DeVante Parker looked good after returning late in the season from an injury. Despite the hype surrounding the defensive line, Miami couldn't stop the run and generated very little pressure on opposing QBs. The Dolphins went 1-5 in division play. Overview Strength of schedule = 0.516 (11th) The Dolphins allowed youth to walk away by choosing not to resign DE Olivier Vernon and Derrick Shelby, and bringing in veteran Mario Williams. HC Adam Gase developed QB Jay Cutler into a more efficient quarterback; he will attempt to do the same with Ryan Tannehill. Heading into the season, the running-back position is a huge question mark. The Dolphins took a flyer on OT Laremy Tunsil - at one point he was the consensus #1 overall, but after draft trades and an untimely Twitter photo, he dropped to Miami at #13. Predicted Record: 6-10 |
canuck10 | 43 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Hawky: the guy dove away from the football, those people dont win anything And andy Dalton was sidelined and missed the playoffs because he didn't.
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footballsmart | 25 |
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Count up the O/U totals for each team. In a season, there can only be a combined 256 wins. If it is over (more than likely), there could be more value in under plays. Most people that bet futures or props do so on their favorite teams and players, so those values tend to be inflated.
Keep in mind that on average, 6-7 teams finish with 5 or fewer wins. Think about the worst teams in the league and check their win totals. On average, 7-8 teams finish with MORE than 10 wins. Again, think about the best teams in the league and check their totals. There is usually value with the really bad teams and good teams. I would avoid any teams that have win totals between 7.5-9.5 wins, unless you feel that it is WAY OFF. |
jayucla87 | 7 |
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Between the 20s, Sam Bradford is one of the best, but he is absolutely horrendous in the red-zone.
As mentioned earlier, the defense is better than the stats suggest and a more conservative offense combined with Schwartz should see a significant improvement. I think a lot of games will be close (probably play them in teasers) and low-scoring.
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Jay4Prez | 10 |
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The Countdown: #22 - Baltimore Ravens
Off-Season Transactions Key Additions OL Ronnie Stanley (1st rounder) TE Ben Watson WR Mike Wallace S Eric Weddle Key Losses OL Eugene Monroe OL Kelechi Osemele LB Daryl Smith S Will Hill Off-Season Transactions Record: 5-11 Offensive Scoring - 25th Offensive Passing - 8th Offensive Rushing - 26th Defensive Scoring - 24th Defensive Passing - 10th Defensive Rushing - 12th Overview No team was hit harder with injuries than the Baltimore Ravens, placing the following on IR: WR Breshad Perriman, DE Elvis Dumervil, DE Terrell Suggs, DL Chris Canty, S Matt Elam, RB Justin Forsett, WR Steve Smith Jr., and QB Joe Flacco. Despite this, they remained competitive until late in the season and played in a record number of games decided by one score or less. WR Kamar Aiken was the only bright spot, as no other backups emerged as future impact players. ? Outlook Strength of schedule: 0.484 (T-19th) One would have to assume that the Ravens are in for a big turnaround, with several players limited in 2015-16, but that might not be the case. Players like Suggs, Dumervil, and Steve Smith Jr. are at the end of their careers and believing that they can return to their pre-injury form is overly optimistic. WR Breshad Perriman suffered an off-season injury and could be lost for a second consecutive season. Flacco doesn't have a strong supporting cast and could be under constant duress with a rookie tackle and the loss of pro-bowl guard Kelechi Osemele. The Ravens added veteran talent, but this isn't a team built to win 'now'. Predicted Record: 6-10 |
canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown: #23 - Indianapolis Colts
Off-Season Transactions Key Additions CB Patrick Robinson C Ryan Kelly (1st rounder) Key Losses TE Coby Fleener FS Dwight Lowery WR Andre Johnson ?DE Bjorn Werner 2015 Statistics Offensive Scoring - 24th Offensive Passing - 22nd Offensive Rushing - 29th Defensive Scoring - 25th Defensive Passing - 24th Defensive Rushing - 25th Overview The season was a bit of head-scratcher, with the underwhelming Colts leading the division until late into the season. The move to acquire veteran WR Andre Johnson and RB Frank Gore backfired; ironically, the Colts seem content to go into the 2016-17 season with Gore. The offensive line struggled with protection and QB Andrew Luck missed several games with injuries. The selection of WR Philip Dorsett was a head-scratcher at the time of the draft and his contributions were negligible. Defensively, this team was below-average is every major category. Miraculously, they finished with a .500 record despite being outscored by 75 points over the course of the season. Overview Strength of schedule: 0.447 (22nd) Due to cap restrictions, the Colts did very little to improve the defense. They used nearly all their draft picks on offensive lineman to protect their investment. They are hoping to strike a long-term deal with QB Andrew Luck that would make him the highest paid player in the league (update: signed Luck to an extension) - they should look at the contracts of players like QB Drew Brees to see how much of a handicap it has on the team in other areas. More concerning is that veteran QB Matt Hasselbeck outperformed Luck in completion percentage and TD:INT ratio in 2015-16. It's hard to imagine this team returning to 10+ wins for the foreseeable future. Predicted record: 6-10 |
canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown: #24 - Detroit Lions Off-Season Transactions Key Additions Key Losses Statistics Offensive Scoring - 18th Defensive Scoring - 23rd Overview Matthew Stafford has been wildly consistent over the course of his career, with a record of 4-39 (9%) against teams that finished above 0.500 on the season. Quietly, he put together a solid year with 32 TDs, 13 INTs and a completion percentage approaching 70%, but it still wasn't enough. The sudden retirement of WR Calvin Johnson is impossible to overcome, but the Lions did their best to address the position by picking up Marvin Jones and Jeremy Kerley. Defensively, LB DeAndre Levy and DT A'Shawn Robinson should provide a boost; on the whole, this defense is still very average. Outlook 2016-17 Strength of Schedule: 0.465 (T-27th) |
canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown: #25 - Atlanta Falcons
Off-Season Transactions Key Additions C Alex Mack WR Mohamed Sanu DE Derrick Shelby SS Keanu Neal (1st rounder) Key Losses WR Roddy White DT Paul Soliai Statistics Record: 8-8 Offensive Scoring - 21st Offensive Passing - 6th Offensive Rushing - 19th Defensive Scoring - 14th Defensive Passing - 18th Defensive Rushing - 14th Overview Dan Quinn's first season as head coach was marked by highs (victory over the undefeated Panthers) and lows (6-game losing streak). Offensively, the team found balance with RB Coleman (4.5 ypc) and Freeman (4.0 ypc), but the two had a tough time staying healthy. WR Julio Jones led the league in receiving, but Roddy White was a shade of his former self. QB Matt Ryan had a healthy completion percentage (66.2%), but threw for the fewest TDs since his rookie year and was only one interception away from tying a career high. Quinn was brought in to put his stamp on defense, but Atlanta only managed to generate 19 sacks and allowed opposing QBs to complete 66% of their passes; the team was -7 in turnover differential. Outlook Strength of schedule: 0.555 (T-1st) The Falcons believe they found a compliment to WR Julio Jones by acquiring Mohamed Sanu. If QB Matt Ryan can return to his pro-bowl form, the offense might be one of the most balanced in the league. Without many additions to the defense, it is hard to imagine a significant improvement. The Falcons are still searching for their dominant pass-rusher, with not a single player recording more than 5 sacks in 2015-16. Although skewed by Carolina's record, the Falcons still have a very tough slate of games. Predicted Record: 5-11 |
canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown: #26 - Philadelphia Eagles
Off-Season Transactions Key Additions HC Doug Pedersen OG Brandon Brooks WR Rueben Randle ?WR Chris Givens CB Leodis McKelvin LB Nigel Bradham S Rodney McLeod QB Carson Wentz (1st round) Key Losses HC Chip Kelly QB Mark Sanchez RB DeMarco Murray CB Byron Maxwell LB Kiko Alonso LB DeMeco Ryans Statistics Record: 7-9 Offensive Scoring - 13th Offensive Passing - 12th Offensive Rushing - 14th Defensive Scoring - 28th Defensive Passing - 28th Defensive Rushing - 32nd Overview Once again, Chip Kelly was very active in the off-season but his investments never came to fruition. RB DeMarco Murray was a complete waste of talent in this system and the young wideouts never built a strong rapport with QB Sam Bradford. The pace of the offense was too quick for his own team and they seemed disorganized at the line of scrimmage and had troubles sustaining drives. Defensively, they couldn't stop the ground or aerial game. If it weren't for the Saints, the Eagles may have fielded the worst defense in the NFL. Outlook Strength of Schedule - 0.469 (26th) No team has seen more turnover in the past few seasons than Philadelphia. The franchise went from an ultra-aggressive coach to a conservative one in the hiring of Doug Pedersen. A slower pace will keep the Eagles in games, but it will take time for this team to mesh. The Eagles are currently paying the most money for their quarterbacks after signing a high-priced free agent (QB Chase Daniel) and selecting one 2nd overall (Carson Wentz). On paper, this team is slightly better than last season, but their success could ultimately hinge on how the quarterback situation is handled. ?Predicted Record: 5-11 |
canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown: #27 - San Diego Chargers Off-Season Transactions Key Additions S Dwight Lowery Key Losses S Eric Weddle 2015 Statistics Offensive Scoring - 26th Defensive Scoring - 21st Overview The Chargers always seem to have a strong start to the season, only to self-destruct. Rivers continues to play ultra-aggressive by throwing downfield, but teams were more successful defending the pass due to a very poor rushing attack - Melvin Gordon was a bust in his first season. Prior to his injury, Keenan Allen was on a record-setting pace. Adding speedster Travis Benjamin should be an intriguing piece to the offense. TE Antonio Gates is nearing retirement, so the Chargers found his eventual successor in Hunter Henry. Despite losing some pieces on defense, San Diego found younger replacements and should see a slight improvement. Outlook 2016 Strength of Schedule: 0.508 (13th)
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canuck10 | 43 |
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Thought I was going to like you Canuck, untill you rated my Bears so low!! jk Here's some food for thought...look at what John Fox has taken on, and 2nd year records. 2001 Panthers 1-15 2002 Panthers(Fox yr 1) 7-9 2003 Panthers 11-5 2010 Broncos 4-12 2011 Broncos(Fox yr 1) 8-8 2012 Broncos 13-3 2014 Bears 5-11 2015 Bears(Fox yr 1) 6-10 2016 Bears? He's a players coach. And I think Fangio is breeding something nasty on defense. I promise no homer bias. I'll be on the Bears ats week 1 most likely. For what it's worth, I think Fox is a great coach and shouldn't have been let go in Denver. However, their finish to last season doesn't sit well with me, Alshon Jeffery's contract situation could get ugly, and it will be very tough to replace the production of Forte and Bennett. Their improvement on defense might equal their setbacks on offense.
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canuck10 | 43 |
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The Countdown: #28 - Chicago Bears Off-Season Transactions Key Additions: OT Bobbie Massie Key Losses: ?RB Matt Forte 2015 Statistics Offensive Scoring - 23rd Defensive Scoring - 20th Overview With WR Kevin White lost for the season and Alshon Jeffery missing 8 games, QB Jay Cutler still managed to have a career year. RB Matt Forte was the focal point of the offense, but was spelled throughout the season by Jeremy Langford and Ka'Deem Carey - their performance was strong enough to warrant releasing Forte in the off-season. Defensively, the defense was stellar against the pass which bodes well in a division that features gunslingers like Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford. The Bears played a lot of close games, but came up the wrong side more often than not. Outlook Strength of Schedule: 0.461 (T-30th) |
canuck10 | 43 |
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Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
Additional thought on the Rams: during the last two years, they lost a lot of close games because they lacked quality at the QB position. In 2014 they could have gone 10-6. Last season they could have gone 8-8. They shut down the Steelers at home and Cook dropped a TD that would have made the game 13-12. They were on the worse side in two OT losses at MIN and SF. They were up 13-3 at BAL before Todd Gurley allowed the Ravens to come back off his fumble in LA territory. Another fumble by Case Keenum with the score at 13-13 cost them the game. Goff doesn't have to do much. They got a good defense and a good running game. Just don't play like a replacement level QB. I have a hard time believing that the Rams will find a way to win more than three divisional games. They have a tough schedule and I think that Goff will need to be more than a game manager for them to be a .500 team. If they lose their opener in SF, this could be a team that goes 0-7 or 1-6 into the bye week. |
canuck10 | 43 |
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