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whats going on covers people? been reading some posts off and on here and counting down the 40 days till kickoff. Need some help from community here. sportsbook.ag offered a 50% bonus with a reload over a certain dollar amount. i gladly did it as i make my bankroll largest for nfl betting. The only catch is the bonus can only be used for one wager. so i am considering using it on a future wager so i have something to look forward to for future. here is what i have it narrowed down to:
jets over 7.5 at -120. I like the makeup of the jets especially with fitz back. forte and powell can be deadly pass catchers out of backfield, i like the decker marshall combo, and the d line with williams and wilkerson and revis shutting down one side of field. i think they are minimum 9-7 seahawks over 10.5 -135, 10 wins is tough in nfl, but we all know the makeup of this team. lob is still under 30, i like the baldwin/kearse/lockett combination, rawls is a question mark but he proved capable read option runner. hope bennett doesnt come distraction. the way i see it 7-1 at home, 4-4 on road. 11-5 minimum redskins over 7.5 this one is the gamble. I think the weak division could allow the redskins to go 4-2 or even 5-1. i think the reed, jackson, doctson combo will be strong. norman is a good addition but i worry about rest of the d. i would be solely doing this based on strength of schedule.
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jayucla87 | 7 |
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Philly appreciate the advice.. But 90 percent of the time I do bet straight. First week always seems tricky to me. I just kinda wanna get a feel and I don't love anything straight but I do like these adjusted. Most of time I'll tease when I have no bets j love across the board.
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PhillyBrown | 62 |
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great knowledge from everyone, really nice to read getting me pumped for first week especially with training camp this week. gonna throw my picks out there and let me know what you fellas think.
seattle teased to -2.5, cards tease to plus 1 this is my fav bet of the day and will be my biggest. I expect vast improvement from miami from a play calling and offensive line side as suma and others have said. But i feel comfortable enough with seattle and home and their new look explosive offense (aka lockett, kearse, baldwin, hopefully a healthy graham). I think miami will score some but i think seattle will actually be able to put up a large number, provided wilson actually gets rid of the ball and doesn't take 15 yards sacks for losses. Think seattle secondary will be able to handle dink and dunk tannehill and i am not afraid of his accuracy going deep. Feel comfortable with the 2.5 The cards game is going on the fact the cards are prob itching to get on the field. I agree with a lot of you fitz and palmer are aging but this is one game. i see 3 wide set of fitz/floyd/john brown giving pats secondary problems, i think cards fire power enough to win at home. bucs/falcons over 42, pack/jags over 42 tease feel very comfortable with the jags and pack both getting in 20s. i know with the addition of jackson, myles jack, ramsey and folwer coming back jags will have re vamped d, but i think rodgers does enough for 2 tds and a field goal, although i am gonna watch jordy nelson a little before i lock this in. the bucs i am hoping will fare a little better in end zone last year as winston had problems when field condensed. jenkins is in the dog house so hopefully harvard backup brate will be viable end zone threat. still liek evans in red zone, surpised he only had 3 tds last year. i know quinn is def coord, i just dont see enough talent yet on defense to see him holding teams in the 10-20 range in points. the falcons on the other side should have no problem at home with freeman, jones, sanu and hopefully little more protection from mack getting into 24-30 range. can see a 27-24 type of final here.
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PhillyBrown | 62 |
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mega mega!! hope you have a great thankgiving and hope vacation was good! can't wait to see what you have planned for ucla usc. My personal pick would be on over with ucla big play capability and usc solid running game. think it will be high scoring! Btw last 2 florida team total unders have hit! Gl like always my man
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MEGALOCKS | 525 |
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Mega- great week buddy!! UCLA loss was good for the bankroll but bad for the alumni pride!! couple questions, do you ever lean towards tendencies for teams that you win with, for example I know you picked Stanford -6 against ucla and Washington state plus 10.5 against ucla, making you 2-0 ats betting against ucla. On the other hand you are 0-2 with florida unders, the tt under for florida against lsu and against Georgia. Would that make you avoid those bets in future or you look at everything without bias. That being said I love Utah -2 against ucla this week, ucla will struggle at rice-eissels stadium, always have a hard time in those cold unusual pac 12 games. Let me know if you have some time to look at it! gl like always my man
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MEGALOCKS | 194 |
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sorry meat against Colorado couple weeks ago |
MEGALOCKS | 493 |
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hey fellas just to touch base, as a former ucla player and alumni, ucla has been known for years to be playing to their competition. just like couple weeks ago at home against Washington state. I think Washington state will def be able to score, I am on Washington state plus 10.5 just like I told mega earlier this week it was one game I saw and loved immediately. the only worry to the Washington state side would be if ucla gets paul perkins going early, their offensive line can take over games. even if that's the case with leache offense back door cover still there. GL all |
MEGALOCKS | 493 |
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Mega- Thanks for the Washington state vs ucla post. I am 6-0 betting against my boys, even in vegas wanted to take asu money line but wife wouldn't let me so household wouldn't be divided (she went to asu) when lines came out Saturday it was the first game I saw and couldn't wait to bet it. plus 10 is a great bet, Washington state will MARTICULATE in passing game, secondary for ucla will be tested. ucla will run ball well and score, but Washington state will stick around! question is, will the 1045pm est prevent you from watching you earn that $$$ good luck my man! |
MEGALOCKS | 493 |
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mega!! couple things wanted to say.. great picks last week!! really like the rhythm youre getting in. I assume you will look at the ucla Washington state game, I see some value in Washington state plus 9.5. ucla may be over valued after beating Oregon state one of the worst fbs teams out there now. feel like Washington state will be able to MARTICULATE in the passing game against ucla. good luck like always! looking forward to rolling along into week 11....
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MEGALOCKS | 493 |
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mega!! great week man, feverishly checking my phone will at dinner with my family! the crack pipe special holds on. was a little concerned with the reverse line movement on the Miami pick as it was down to 6.5 on my site, so played the over 51 and cashed that out! thanks again for great picks! if you can on the request line ucla/Stanford for Thursday night! jim mora never beating Stanford! is this the year? good luck again this week
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MEGALOCKS | 296 |
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mega!!! thanks for the picks last week! started my weekend in vegas sweating that Arkansas Tennessee under dancing around the sportsbook watching arknsasa matriculate 3 yards at a time in second half!! was prohibited against betting on the Arizona state ucla game by the wife but wanted to pull the trigger so bad on the Arizona state plus 13. can't complain had a great time and was up 7 wins 5 losses on weekend! we will take it! looking forward to this week and curious for cal vs Utah write up! Good luck this week, lets crush
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MEGALOCKS | 251 |
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I meant hoping ucla gets to 15-17 and then I will hammer asu!
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MEGALOCKS | 264 |
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Mega, thanks for the write up on the ucla game! no worries about the pick, I was also leaning same side! ucla best three players on defense out for season. Really like asu plus 14, I land at 230 pm pst, game starts at 430pm, hoping ucla will pick up steam and get to 15-17 range and then I will hammer them! like I always say alma mater may be blue and gold, but my favorite teams are always ones that make the $$$$$$. Btw the way, will prob be at the roulette tables, can't watch the asu ucla game, wife went to asu, usually causes come type of household distress during those games! good luck brother ill be keeping up with the post till takoff! |
MEGALOCKS | 264 |
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mega, long time reader first time poster! had that tennesse florida under in a tease with your penn state pick and lost by half a point (teased 48 to 54.5) worst part was my brother in law bet the same thing just about 20 minutes later and he got it at 56.5 so he won anyways like always great picks, I am headed to vegas this Saturday so any extra insight would be great maybe some pac 12 request line with asu and ucla or Oregon Colorado! thanks, good luck buddy |
MEGALOCKS | 264 |
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slow here at work so I will join in on the fun: live out here in san Francisco, I do think the Vikings are going to be a better team but I think 49ers will play with a little chip on shoulder on mnf. curious to see how offense is without harbaugh, maybe be able to spread ball around little more and cut colin loose. I have that game as a stay away. cardinals play very tough at home that may be a good pick, I worry about losing bowles defensive coordinator, he really got the best out of a squad that lost a lot of play makers. and I wont put my money on palmer until I see how he plays first game. seahawks -3 is tough. I think rams may have best o line and d line in the game. I think we as a public over rate how horrible seattle is on the road. think that game is a stay away also. just for 2 cents my 2 picks for week 1: green bay money line -235 Houston money line -120 |
twozerosix | 18 |
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sorry just checked this thanks for all the replies. looks like I will play just cardinals. richig761 tampa is not a bad play but I think new Orleans will prob win that division. 50 (+650) to win 325 is my play, I like the value, I think this should be more around +250-+300 |
jayucla87 | 13 |
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obviously with the seahawks heavy favs to win the nfc west, was thinking about laying maybe 100 on each of these teams to win division. I am huge 49ers fan, but i don't see them having close to a shot at division. Thoughts anyone?
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jayucla87 | 13 |
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sorry all sports for gordon
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HighScore | 47 |
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@highscore would you lay the juice at -415 on over 1.5 backs, if gurley goes to Miami at 14 I think sd at 17, Arizona at 24 and Baltimore at 26 all spots, juice on 5 dimes is -415
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HighScore | 47 |
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earth, man I feel ya on people talking garbage to your team during prime time, I hate that! on that throw it was a rollout with clay open before tannehill delivered. when he did he gave the defender time to close. my fav play of the game was dion Jordan zone coverage on mega in end zone, hahaha that was classic. good luck this Thursday! @alecadventure, I am prob gonna tease the bills to 11, the saints to pick, and the broncos to -3. 3 team 6.5 teaser |
earthWake | 304 |
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