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@tony402 Covers doesn’t allow him to post his screenshots of his bets, but I am following him on telegram and can attest to the fact the he did post his plays pre-game and has reached his 100k goal. He won 40k+ yesterday on Texas and michigan st 20k each. I won a little less but still thankful and grateful to the man. |
GustavoFring | 96 |
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@packersbackers Whether or not I have an arts degree is also none of your business and quite personal. So since you opened that door, I just naturally assumed you are taking an interest into my life which I reciprocated in kind. Whether or not you are paying alimony, child support, or raising someone’s else kids is quite entertaining to me. So answer the simple question dimwit |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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@packersbackers Haha Do you have an ex wife? Step kids? Loser. |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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@BIGDTITLE As of right now, he’s at 55k-60k. So mathematically speaking, his true ‘live odds’ of reaching 100k are about 52.78%. However, that percentage lowers the more bets placed due to the house edge or juice according to the math. So the more volume, the less chances of success. On the other hand, that’s based on blind betting. The odds obviously change if the handicapper is worth a damn. So it’s not as cut and dry. But for simplicity’s sake, his best chance mathematically speaking with all things being equal is to bet $50k on his next wager. But of course that’s also poor bankroll management. Lol. So I guess it comes down to how good ‘GUS’ really is lol. Is he a >50% capper or closer to >60%. But right now, the math says he at -130 to achieve 100k! But for most of you, you could give a damn, because it doesn’t mean jack to you because it’s just for shits and giggles to you which I also completely understand. |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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If I had lost that Northwestern game, it is very unlikely that I give Gus another bullet. So I would not be on the bus today. So yes, in a manner of speaking, luck and timing matters a great deal as with most things in life. |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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@DoubleUp4Life Not really. I would say the hardest one is always the first. The first game I tailed was Northwestern vs Nebraska last week. I picked this spot because I saw Gus was hot streaking and northwestern was getting their backs blown out by halftime and I got +9 at halftime. Gus had taken -4 for the game. I bet 10k at +9 at halftime with the intention of rolling over my winnings to bankroll Gus’s road to 100K. Northwestern ended up winning by a basket and I withdrew my initial 10k and have been playing with house money ever since. This game is very much about bankroll management and picking your spots wisely? |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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@packersbackers I could give a fuck about looking cool ??, I’m all about that paper brother. I’ll wear my underwear backwards on my face tomorrow if it’ll help me get the W. I’m in the market for a 4 bedroom house near Toms Rivers this month because of Gus. This ain’t high school no more youngblud, This is some real life changing shyt! Come get some or stay where u at. |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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Not gonna lie, been riding the GUS BUS last week, that bus driver the TRUTH, fuck Paul Pierce. He ain’t done nothing for me, but my fam Gus got me stacking this paper I’m sitting on and all y’all trolls gettin’ smaller and smaller after every pick. Might need to buy the Fam some lenses just so we can see y’all faces when we at the top cuz we started at the bottom too. Difference between the fam and the rest is we had faith and loyalty!! |
Senor-Blanco | 30 |
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replied to
Officials should be listed in MVP odds. Holding on 3rd and goal was the biggest play of the game. Whoever threw that flag deserves MVP
in NFL Betting They have to manufacture suspense and drama somehow. Nobody wants to watch a blowout. If they don’t throw that flag on that last rams drive, then the refs would have been on the hook for that non-OPI call. They were not gonna let the bengals win period |
tikitom | 36 |
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@TheJordanRules For future reference, never take +1 or +1.5, you simply don’t need them enough times to justify paying the extra 10-15%. It is actually negative EV and just eats into your bottom line. Even +2 and +3 are debatable. Take the +105 and +110 and say thank you. That is of course taking into account that you are betting teams to win with +2 pts spread margin and not blindly betting on spreads.
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coldpaper | 12 |
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@stocker08 Ever heard of live betting?
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coldpaper | 12 |
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@TheJordanRules Line be -999,999 Bad line is better than no line and half of something is better than 100% of nothing
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coldpaper | 12 |
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UCLA MONEYLINE To Double Your Net Worth!! There are no guarantees in life except for this one tonight |
coldpaper | 12 |
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True line is 126.348 so it’s actually a bit high at 130.5. Syndicate no doubt waiting for public to drive line up before attacking. |
es0621 | 2 |
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This has been entertaining and all, but at the end the day, nobody really cares whether you win or I win 500 or 5 million. Even if it did happen, I wouldn’t tell you because you wouldn’t believe me anyway and vice versa. So at the end of the day, we’re just two people telling stories aka shootin’ the breeze for entertainment. We’re both either lonely or miserable or both. If you can admit that much, there’s hope for you yet. Appreciate the company, goodnight. |
coldpaper | 10 |
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Joke’s on you because I’m holding all the cards in this dynamic. You’re betting your money based on what I say at face value. How do you know that I didn’t bet over 159. My next bet is Under 132.5 California v Oregon State. Whether or not I’m lying is another matter. You might as well flip a coin, it’s the same thing. At the end of the day, you’re just a lazy punter with a prayer. |
coldpaper | 10 |
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I’m Betting on Under 159 coked up bears. |
coldpaper | 10 |
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Sports is a zero-sum game, somebody needs to lose in order for me to win. And you can bet it’s not going to be the books who lose, because they will either adjust or just shut down. Those $5 add up and fortunately there are a lot of you to help keep the lights on. So I don’t mind if I chase a few away, cause new suckers are born everyday. If it quacks like a duck, walks a duck, then I forget how it goes. |
coldpaper | 70 |
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So I wouldn’t go all in on anything anyone posts on here. Keep it flat. And if he’s a ‘good capper’ then it’s a winning strategy. That’s it I’m out, really got to stop now. Laters. Remember, in sports betting, the public is who you’re playing against and covers.com is the public |
coldpaper | 70 |
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Remember, good information=money=power=influence =leverage. Why would anybody give that away for nothing in return? It’s why NSA, CIA, etc exist. If I was a smart ‘good capper’, I might give a few free winning plays on here and after I win 3 or 4 or however many I feel is enough to influence line a couple of points, I would post a pick opposite my true wager to cash in on my ‘hot’ streak for value. Not saying that is what winslow does. |
coldpaper | 70 |
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