DanCarcillo

Prospect

Posts: 451

Member Since: August 2013

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to NBA in NBA Betting Good to see one of the greatest still here helping out the people. BOL ff, hope you're doin well View Post \| View Thread	ff99l1	12	May 05, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Outright Winners with Value in FIFA World Cup Can anyone outside of Brazil, France, Germany, Spain or maybe Argentina win this? Are there any teams currently presenting value that have a chance to pull it off? Here are some teams I like that I feel have an outside chance of getting to the final 4 and offering bettors some hedging opportunities. I would love any insight, suggestions or general contributions to this discussion. (Lines posted are from Pinnacle as of April 14, 2018) England @ 18.07:1 Shouldn't have an issue getting through the group stage, Southgate a solid manager, Kane (if healthy) able to score on anyone and relatively deep. Colombia @ 49.2:1 Easy group, Rodriguez/Falcao/Cuadrado gives them enough star power to hang around, if they win their group likely to face Belgium/England in R16 which isn't overwhelming. Mexico & Switzerland @ 121.5:1 Mexico - Relatively difficult group stage with an almost certain L coming against Germany (if the confed cup was any indicator, though their offense looked potent) and a match against a reasonably talented Sweden side, Loads of WC experience, Hernandez is a quality striker, Vela can contribute, Lozano could be a gamebreaker. Defense undoubtedly an area of concern. Switzerland - Easier group stage than Mexico and I give them a strong chance of getting out of it (don't like Serbia much). Impressive showing at the past world cup and that experience should carry over into this one. Xhaka, Seferovic and Shaqiri are very solid players who could make some noise View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	4	April 14, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball I don't think 600 would make sense from a math perspective because if tech were to win that game I'm now invested 615$ with the potential for 1160 but still needing them to win as a dog against Duke or Kansas and then beat the winner of Loyola/Mich. Just to cover my 615 lost Invested I would have to lay a huge ml on their Duke/Kansas game. That approach is too risky for my liking View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball I don't think 600 would make sense from a math perspective because if tech were to win that game I'm now invested 615$ with the potential for 1160 but still needing them to win as a dog against Duke or Kansas and then beat the winner of Loyola/Mich. Just to cover my 615 lost Invested I would have to lay a huge ml on their Duke/Kansas game. That approach is too risky for my liking View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball Yeah I had got them at +7500, 6700 and 5000 earlier in the season. I don't care so much about getting the 15 back as it's not too big of a deal but just wondering if there is an optimum way to maximize profits at this stage or its worth waiting out to see if they make F4 View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball I have about 15$ on Texas Tech to win the tourney paying out 1160$ roughly, is it worth me hedging out tomorrow with Nova ml or would it only make sense to hedge if Tech were able to get past Nova? View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to ALABAMA vs. AUBURN - SEC Tournament in College Basketball Scal, I have always appreciated your insight but some humility would really make these situations better for you. You're never gracious in defeat and there is always some external factor that ruined you. You gotta grow up and own your recent excessive losses and forget about them subsequent View Post \| View Thread	scalabrine	137	March 09, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 7/20/17 in MLB Betting GL on the play, I had looked into their AVG against lefties and it is juicy, definitely can't argue on your poing about Fulmer either. Will this be your only play today? View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	57	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Explain this to me. in MLB Betting I believe they also void total's due to the 9 innings not being played in full, pinnacle runs that way. View Post \| View Thread	Chauster	8	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB PLAYS in MLB Betting FF! Nice work buddy, good luck to you! View Post \| View Thread	ff99l1	13	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Zona ml Thursday (and here's why) in MLB Betting Reds tagged Walker in their last outing where Castillo looked really good. Definitely worth waiting to see what the starting lineups will be before making a play I think. Reds tend to hit the ball well in day games this year too, which is probably worthy of some consideration. Leaning towards the Reds at this stage myself, not really the nicest card today View Post \| View Thread	Mancity	16	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to It's official. I'm off Detroit for the rest of the year. in MLB Betting But they still have K-Rod View Post \| View Thread	Natty68	11	June 23, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting Great bunt... View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting haha god damn tigers View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Will my parlay win today? in MLB Betting hedge? View Post \| View Thread	ASmartMan	49	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting There we go View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting I'll throw some on the tigers and hope for a miracle with you View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Will my parlay win today? in MLB Betting You need these tigers to get on the sticks View Post \| View Thread	ASmartMan	49	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to HAMMER TIME ON DETROIT +130 in MLB Betting i'll take my chances om a standard play View Post \| View Thread	coolfront	22	June 19, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Fade material in MLB Betting I will be on: Reds -1.5 0.4U Mariners ML 1.2 U Nats ML 1U View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	2	June 19, 2017 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to NBA in NBA Betting Good to see one of the greatest still here helping out the people. BOL ff, hope you're doin well View Post \| View Thread	ff99l1	12	May 05, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Outright Winners with Value in FIFA World Cup Can anyone outside of Brazil, France, Germany, Spain or maybe Argentina win this? Are there any teams currently presenting value that have a chance to pull it off? Here are some teams I like that I feel have an outside chance of getting to the final 4 and offering bettors some hedging opportunities. I would love any insight, suggestions or general contributions to this discussion. (Lines posted are from Pinnacle as of April 14, 2018) England @ 18.07:1 Shouldn't have an issue getting through the group stage, Southgate a solid manager, Kane (if healthy) able to score on anyone and relatively deep. Colombia @ 49.2:1 Easy group, Rodriguez/Falcao/Cuadrado gives them enough star power to hang around, if they win their group likely to face Belgium/England in R16 which isn't overwhelming. Mexico & Switzerland @ 121.5:1 Mexico - Relatively difficult group stage with an almost certain L coming against Germany (if the confed cup was any indicator, though their offense looked potent) and a match against a reasonably talented Sweden side, Loads of WC experience, Hernandez is a quality striker, Vela can contribute, Lozano could be a gamebreaker. Defense undoubtedly an area of concern. Switzerland - Easier group stage than Mexico and I give them a strong chance of getting out of it (don't like Serbia much). Impressive showing at the past world cup and that experience should carry over into this one. Xhaka, Seferovic and Shaqiri are very solid players who could make some noise View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	4	April 14, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball I don't think 600 would make sense from a math perspective because if tech were to win that game I'm now invested 615$ with the potential for 1160 but still needing them to win as a dog against Duke or Kansas and then beat the winner of Loyola/Mich. Just to cover my 615 lost Invested I would have to lay a huge ml on their Duke/Kansas game. That approach is too risky for my liking View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball I don't think 600 would make sense from a math perspective because if tech were to win that game I'm now invested 615$ with the potential for 1160 but still needing them to win as a dog against Duke or Kansas and then beat the winner of Loyola/Mich. Just to cover my 615 lost Invested I would have to lay a huge ml on their Duke/Kansas game. That approach is too risky for my liking View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball Yeah I had got them at +7500, 6700 and 5000 earlier in the season. I don't care so much about getting the 15 back as it's not too big of a deal but just wondering if there is an optimum way to maximize profits at this stage or its worth waiting out to see if they make F4 View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Is this worth a hedge? in College Basketball I have about 15$ on Texas Tech to win the tourney paying out 1160$ roughly, is it worth me hedging out tomorrow with Nova ml or would it only make sense to hedge if Tech were able to get past Nova? View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	6	March 25, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to ALABAMA vs. AUBURN - SEC Tournament in College Basketball Scal, I have always appreciated your insight but some humility would really make these situations better for you. You're never gracious in defeat and there is always some external factor that ruined you. You gotta grow up and own your recent excessive losses and forget about them subsequent View Post \| View Thread	scalabrine	137	March 09, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB 7/20/17 in MLB Betting GL on the play, I had looked into their AVG against lefties and it is juicy, definitely can't argue on your poing about Fulmer either. Will this be your only play today? View Post \| View Thread	KeyElement	57	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Explain this to me. in MLB Betting I believe they also void total's due to the 9 innings not being played in full, pinnacle runs that way. View Post \| View Thread	Chauster	8	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MLB PLAYS in MLB Betting FF! Nice work buddy, good luck to you! View Post \| View Thread	ff99l1	13	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Zona ml Thursday (and here's why) in MLB Betting Reds tagged Walker in their last outing where Castillo looked really good. Definitely worth waiting to see what the starting lineups will be before making a play I think. Reds tend to hit the ball well in day games this year too, which is probably worthy of some consideration. Leaning towards the Reds at this stage myself, not really the nicest card today View Post \| View Thread	Mancity	16	July 20, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to It's official. I'm off Detroit for the rest of the year. in MLB Betting But they still have K-Rod View Post \| View Thread	Natty68	11	June 23, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting Great bunt... View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting haha god damn tigers View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Will my parlay win today? in MLB Betting hedge? View Post \| View Thread	ASmartMan	49	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting There we go View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Detroit ML Live enter here in MLB Betting I'll throw some on the tigers and hope for a miracle with you View Post \| View Thread	justlol	42	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Will my parlay win today? in MLB Betting You need these tigers to get on the sticks View Post \| View Thread	ASmartMan	49	June 21, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
replied to HAMMER TIME ON DETROIT +130 in MLB Betting i'll take my chances om a standard play View Post \| View Thread	coolfront	22	June 19, 2017 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Fade material in MLB Betting I will be on: Reds -1.5 0.4U Mariners ML 1.2 U Nats ML 1U View Post \| View Thread	DanCarcillo	2	June 19, 2017 View Post \| View Thread

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