Jimmus

Before someone else points it out... AFC.  Thanks

Panthers +2000

Chargers +1400

Steelers +1200

In my opinion, those are all valuable plays, in that order, where Panthers at 20:1 is my favourite.  I also think for a BIGGER futures play, I would definitely take the Saints at +500.  Might even consider parlaying Saints+AFC team of choice to be in the Superbowl.  

Your picks that you have aren't "valuable" in the sense that they are all logical, and if you bet the 4 you have and only one makes it you might not even profit if it's LA haha.  What if the Steelers or Chargers, or SOMEHOW Texans come out of the AFC and the Saints or Panthers come out of the NFC.  

I just think if you're betting futures, you need to pay a little less juice.  If you're sold 100% that it's LA or NO coming out of the NFC and NE or KC coming out of the AFC, I would just do "Team A and Team B play in the Superbowl" futures for better odds.  That's just my two cents.  I just don't like betting futures if you're just picking the top 4 favourite teams to be there.  For some empirical evidence:

2018 SB - Eagles halfway through the season were not a top 2 NFC team

2017 SB - Falcons halfway through the season were not a top 2 NFC team

2015 SB - Seahawks halfway through the season were not a top 2 NFC team

2013 SB - Ravens halfway through the season were not a top 2 NFC team

On the flip side, the 2016 and 2014 SB hosted teams that were top 2 SB favourites in both the NFC and AFC

Hope this helps or gives a different point of view.

Cheers!

That's all you need to know.  Let it ride or don't play parlays or drop the last bet that you would hedge.  You come out ahead in the long run if you parlay this way (I mean, you don't really come out ahead in parlays in general, but when you do win, this is the way to maximize winnings and minimize losses.  

That and I have Dallas -4.5, so you're a lock to win since I always lose betting on or against the Titans :)

Hahah no worries JDiperrio.  Have a great day, cash in homie!

BOL on everything except the Devils ;)  

Haha thanks Lipps, we did it boys and girls, we famous. 

Today as I stated in my picks thread I only have one pick and it’s a homer. 

EDM Oilers -1.5 (+230)

Enjoy the games and for anyone who watches MMA, go Khabib!

Good morning everyone!  Short card for me today as I have been focusing on handicapping the fights.  For hockey I have one play and it's a homer, so don't read too much into it.

Yesterday: 2-0-0 (+$100)

YTD: 8-3-0 (+$280)

YTD ML/PL: 3-3-0 (+$30)

YTD O/U: 5-0-0 (+$250)

Enjoy the hockey everyone!  Best of luck.  One play:

EDM Oilers -1.5 (+230) vs. NJ Devils -- Risking $50 to win $115

I didn't make the leaderboard?  What a scrub I am.

CLB/CAR u5.5 (-120)

SJ Sharks ML (-110)

Best of luck friends.

Yesterday: 4-2-0 (+$100)

YTD: 6-3-0 (+$180)

YTD ML/PL: 2-3-0 (-$20)

YTD O/U: 4-0-0 (+$200)

I feel as though I'm the only person on Covers who has bet unders this season.  Either way, hot start and I hope it continues.  Not many games tonight, but I managed to find a play on each that I like.

CAR Hurricanes vs. CLB Blue Jackets u5.5 (-120) -- Risking $60 to win $50

SJ Sharks ML (-110) vs. LA Kings -- Risking $55 to win $50

Best of luck tonight everyone.  

I was looking at this as well... Their defense has been on, and I know Alex Smith has the ability to get it done...

May I ask your thoughts on this?  I actually see it being somewhere like a 28-13 game for the Pats.  What offensive weapons do the Colts have right now?  Just wanted another perspective before I bet the under.

Good luck you mad man.

Adding:

NE Patriots -10 (-125) vs. IND Colts -- Risking $125 to win $100

Considering the number of missing weapons in Indy and losing a starting safety to injury, not to mention the return of Edelman and the Patriots returning to form last week, this seems like a "trap line".  Normally that's really hard to say about double-digit favourites.  I read a couple of people who thought NE might look ahead or the Colts could get some garbage time TDs, but the Patriots never take their foot off the gas, regardless of the size of their lead or time in the game.  I see this being another stomping such as they administered on Miami.  

Josh Gordon over 35.5 Yards Receiving (-135) -- Risking $270 to win $200

This is my favourite play so far of the season (hence the almost 3 units on it).  Gronk will be limited due to his ankle injury, Edelman will be getting a lot of attention on defence, and that frees up the other big, strong receiver on offence to make plays.  I wouldn't be shocked if Gordon was the leading receiver this game.  He's shown he only needs 2 receptions to get this number, and I guarantee with Gronk not participating in practices, this guy was getting tonnes of practice and time to learn the routes.  Big game for Gordon, feel free to pick in in your DFS leagues too!

OAK Raiders +5 (-110) vs. LA Chargers -- Risking $110 to win $100

OAK Raiders vs. LA Chargers o52.5 (-110) -- Risking $110 to win $100

I said it when I picked the Raiders last week - They could currently be undefeated.  They have the second best offensive stats (not points, but yards) in the NFL next to the ridiculous offence of the Rams.  They're above some other noteworthy teams like Pittsburgh, TB, NO, Atlanta, and yes, even the Chargers.  That being said, both of these teams have a very strong offence, and if they both go off, we could see another 60-65 point game!  I'm telling you right now, don't sleep on Oakland, even if they lose this game, you will be able to get paid on these guys moving forward in the season!

Best of luck guys and dolls.  

 - Jimmus

Heyo, sent money yesterday, looking forward to it! Just curious when I would receive the login info and will it just be a DM through covers once my e-transfer is confirmed?

Cheers!

Good luck to ye, bounce back day!

I’m with you on riding LV this game. Best of luck! 

Ottawa for me, followed by St. Louis game.  I think the other two go under.

LV Golden Knights -0.5 (+100) vs. Philadelphia Flyers 

Chicago Blackhawks ML (-120) vs. Ottawa Senators 

Nashville Predators vs. New York Rangers u6 (-115)

I have more plays, but I don't need to blow up this thread and these are my favourite plays.

Yesterday: 2-1-0 (+$80)

YTD ML/PL: 1-1-0 (+$30)

YTD O/U: 1-0-0 (+$50)

I'm definitely happy with that start.  I felt the Leafs PL was ambitious with Price in net and someone suggested that I probably just wanted to bet the under.  But I'm greedy and didn't do just that haha.  Oh well!  Positive units are positive units!

Onto tonight!

LV Golden Knights -0.5 (+100) vs. Philadelphia Flyers -- Risking $50 to win $50

Chicago Blackhawks ML (-120) vs. Ottawa Senators -- Risking $60 to win $50

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Ottawa Senators o6 (-110) -- Risking $55 to win $50

Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+290) vs. Colorado Avalanche -- Risking $50 to win $145

CLB Blue Jackets vs. Detroit Red Wings u5.5 (-110) -- Risking $55 to win $50

Nashville Predators vs. New York Rangers u6 (-115) -- Risking $57.5 to win $50

Best of luck to all of you!!! 

Also on the PL for kicks.  Best of luck!