Leritu

Anyone find it curious that the Clips are -1 for the 1st half but +1.5 for the full game? Any thoughts on this?

Don't post often... but I'm taking Duke -3.5 here. One of my favorite plays is to fade the "trendy underdog" and I see a lot of Virginia love... the public is also on the visitors here.

I think there is a bit of an overreaction to Jones' injury... Duke comes out focused and covers the spread.

Good luck!

Hope everyone got the win! Great work Washington!

Washington -17 over BYU

I really like this spot for Washington. Here are the main factors behind taking Washington -17.

1) You have a classic "fade the popular underdog" scenario. The public has piled onto BYU, between 75-80% of the wagers are coming in on BYU. Backing home favorites where the public is on the road underdog has been a profitable scenario for me.

2) There is reverse line movement -- and it's through a "key number." The line opened at Wash -16.5 and depsite BYU getting 75-80% of the wagers, the line moved to -17 and has just recently moved to -17.5 at certain books.

Washington has quietly gotten off to a 3-1 start, only losing a close one in their season opener. The public just saw BYU make some history by upsetting Wisconsin in Wisconsin as 23.5 underdogs. The public is overreacting here, expecting BYU to hang in there with Washington. Looking for Browning to have a big game... and for BYU to really struggle to throw the ball at all.

Washington should roll in this one -- take Wash -17 as my play for the day!

Hahahah -- yup, I fat fingered the name. SDSU = South Dakota not San Diego.

Pick remains the same, though!

Good luck!

I'm taking Ohio St -8.5 in an anti-public pick today.

Reasons:

1) Fading the "trendy underdog" has been a profitable betting strategy -- and there is no more popular underdog on today's card than SDSU.

2) The public is 71% on SDSU... yet the line has moved from -7.5 to -8.5

3) Some "recency bias" going on too... as the public sees SDSU recent performance and compares that to Ohio St which has lost 3 of 5.

Any thoughts?

Lifelong titans fan — these refs are ABSOLUTE garbage. That offsides penalty on the punt changed the whole damn game

THE UNDER -- IT LIVES!!!

Picked up $1,500 on the 2nd half LAC/LAL over. Thx and great call!!

With you on 2nd half Over 106.5, LARGE play