monroekelly21

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replied to SNF MNF TNF in NFL Betting So, your theory is that Aaron Rodgers did not break his collarbone? Who was paying him to pretend to be injured? The NFL? A large casino? A betting syndicate? View Post \| View Thread	Daywalker331	15	November 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Making sense of the Thursday Night Game in NFL Betting The Redskins special teams is awful. Patterson should be able to do some things against them. The defense is better but that doesn't mean they are good. They gave up over 400 yards to the Chargers, 41 to the Bears (with McCown playing the majority of the game) and 45 to the Broncos in the last three weeks. They are just no longer historically bad. Also, Griffin isn't the same player as last years. He is turning the ball over much more and his accuracy is noticeably worse. The Vikings aren't very good, but neither are the Redskins. To think that they are the clear cut winner of this game is silly. Also, they are 1-3 on the road. They were beat down in the three losses and the game they won against Oakland had Matt Flynn as the starter. You know what happened after that game? The Raiders cut Matt Flynn. View Post \| View Thread	AceRothstein27	23	November 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to REDSKINS in NFL Betting I have read people talking about how the Redskins D is playing better. That is true, but that doesn't mean they are playing well. Better means they are no longer historically bad. They gave up over 400 yards to the Chargers, 41 points to the Bears (Josh McCown played the majority of the game) and 45 to the Broncos in the last three games. They are 31st in points allowed (Vikings are 30th). Their special team are atrocious. I fully expect Patterson to do big things against the Redskins. Griffin still isn't the player he was last year, and his accuracy (for some reason) is noticeably worse. Garcon really padded his yardage (about 50 extra yards) last game with two amazing catches. As to the guy above talking about coaching, to an extent, I agree. They have gotten away from the run when it the best thing any unit on the team does. But to act like coaching caused them to lose the 4th quarter 31 - 0 is silly. They were thoroughly dominated all around and coaching only exacerbated the difference in talent. View Post \| View Thread	WarpedPath	7	November 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WAS -1???? C'MON NOW!!!! in NFL Betting *aren't very good... View Post \| View Thread	letsgoooo	8	November 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WAS -1???? C'MON NOW!!!! in NFL Betting The Redskins are very good and they are on the road, on a short week. Did I mention they weren't very good? They could easily lose. View Post \| View Thread	letsgoooo	8	November 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TAKE THESE BOYS AND GO TO BED !!! IM 16-5 ON THESE PICKS !!!! in College Football View Post \| View Thread	CarolinaPride	54	November 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to AKRON ZIPS ANYONE? in College Football The opening line makes skeptical of Akron. I agree that the Zips have have been playing tough lately, despite their record. You have a 2-7 team playing a 2-7 team and the home team can't even get a field goal to open, especially considering their recent play. It smells fishy. I would say Kent State or nothing. But I would heavily favor nothing. View Post \| View Thread	Raidernator76	2	November 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tips to help you win this college hoops season.... in College Basketball Quote Originally Posted by FightingScot: I plan to Bandos. Will post picks on this thread for week one, but will probably actually hold off on wagering for the first few days, just to check a few teams out. I'll take up to almost 20 games in a night based on the system (depending on what the card looks like), and bet the same amount on every game. Only do ATS Smokin' Jay! View Post \| View Thread	packers1992	37	November 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Don't step in front of a moving freight train.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Tigermike1975: Agree, on paper that match up you site should dictate the game and perhaps it will. The Rams weren't suppose to be able to run on the SeaHawks or stop the Seattle run... The Rams running all over the Seahawks was quite surprising. The Seattle line not playing that well wasn't a huge surprise since both tackles were out and the Rams have some players, especially at end. Long and Quinn asserted themselves on the edge in that game. Generally speaking, line play (offensive and defensive) are the most consistent units, since it is mainly just giant guys smashing each other. And the Bengals have real advantage there. That being said the slim road favorite is always something to be worried about. And the Bengals just won by 40. They are the best team ever, haha. View Post \| View Thread	VegasVandal	25	October 31, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Don't step in front of a moving freight train.. in NFL Betting Also, the Dolphins apparently have a ton of team drama. View Post \| View Thread	VegasVandal	25	October 31, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Don't step in front of a moving freight train.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Tigermike1975: I am gonna sit this game out just like Monday and then probably kick myself. This is the absolute classic NFL spot for the Dolphins to win. Short week, at home, prime time as a team that is fading against a team that is rising and coming off a blow out win. Everyone and the mother will take the Bengals at what they will perceive as a short line and another slaughter is in the makings. Best of luck but these are the games I have learned to just stay away. I agree with what you are saying. It's also tough to ignore the Bengals strongest unit going up against the Dolphins weakest unit. The Bengals D-line should really take it to the Dolphins below average O-line, who also lost their starting right tackle this week. Like you said though, this is a classic spot for the home team. View Post \| View Thread	VegasVandal	25	October 31, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to If this Clippers Team can't get motivated enough to win on Opening Night...wow!!!!! in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by composite: W T F happened? I thought Rivers was supposed to bring a better defensive minded team??? They gave up 110+ points to a Kobeless Laker team? And 41 to Laker scrubs in the 4Q?! It's like they regressed defensively?!? It makes you wonder whether Doc Rivers is any good or whether it was Thibodeau and KG that really made the Boston defense click. Great point, man. I have had this discussion with my friend before and I agree that Rivers is way overrated and Thibodeau and Garnett were the crucial elements of the Celtics winning. He's probably better than Del Negro, but he isn't a top 2 or 3 coach in the league like everyone wants to say. View Post \| View Thread	Ravenous	25	October 30, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Ball St 7-1 vs. lowly Akron-Trap??? in College Football Quote Originally Posted by WahooS: JFen is correct Trap is a figment of the imagination, just a way for people to justify losing a bet Bet what you like bro, handicap the game, it's not a conspiracy or a trap if it loses or wins Best of luck This isn't true either. To pretend that sometimes lines aren't set to draw action on a given side is disingenuous. View Post \| View Thread	fishoutawata72	19	October 26, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Ball St 7-1 vs. lowly Akron-Trap??? in College Football Quote Originally Posted by JFen31: No, there are ill-informed people who do not understand how lines are made. Those exist in droves (particularly on this forum). Traps, however, do not exist. This is just silly. Whether you choose to call them traps is a matter of semantics. The Texas @ TCU game is a classic example. TCU has looked pretty pedestrian, has a losing record, and lost their last game by 2 TDs. Texas is coming off the big rivalry win over OU and a bye week after saving their coach's job. Texas is back baby! People are pushing each other out of the way to bet on Texas. And you get +110. Man, that's too good to be true. This line could have been set at Texas -3 and still gotten a lot more Texas action. It probably could have been set at Texas -4.5 to get pretty even action. Instead it's Texas +2 and people are falling all over themselves to bet on Texas. If you don't want to call that a trap, that's fine. A rose by any other name would smell just as sweet. But, it's a trap for Texas backers, get a + return on their money line bets. View Post \| View Thread	fishoutawata72	19	October 26, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner: I could care less if you trust me. I've got better things to do than post fake systems and trends on covers.com. Well, if you could then you should. I hope your grasp of idioms starts to trend in the right direction. View Post \| View Thread	Thesicilian0ne	42	October 24, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner: Really? Why don't you look yourself how many there have been THIS YEAR already. I can tell you are quite a reactionary person since I answered both of your queries in the post to which you responded. I acknowledged that line hit 7 but closed at 6.5 (according to this website). Please go around and react without reading all the way through. I trust you will. View Post \| View Thread	Thesicilian0ne	42	October 24, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by miniman44444: Niner dont even waste your time trying to educated these idiots on here they wouldnt know good statistics if it bit them in the a.s.s Thats why all the people who posted on here so much before have left It's funny you were making fun of people for being stupid, but didn't even use the proper tense when doing so. That's the internet for you, I guess. I guess trying to educated myself is to tall of a task. View Post \| View Thread	Thesicilian0ne	42	October 24, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner: the second one is 85-35 ATS the first one, I don't have the current number at the moment, but, trust me that it is 65% over a 10 year span with a large sample size. Sure, sure, I'll just trust you. I can't imagine that there have been a ton of large home dogs over the past ten years. And I am not sure this game even counts. The line hit 7, but seems to have closed at 6.5. There have only been 4 (5 if you are counting Bengals/Bills, which closed at 6) this year and two of them are Jacksonville, which both lost. You didn't give any stats as it relates to this game. Is this the only way you bet, with these trends? View Post \| View Thread	Thesicilian0ne	42	October 24, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner: For starters home dogs of 7 or more the last 10 years cover 65% of the time. Winless underdogs week 6 and beyond hit at 71% ATS. Those are some pretty strong stats. Those aren't too shabby, if you are into that sort of thing. How many instances apply to those two trends? I meant more like stats as to why this Bucs team is going to beat this Panthers View Post \| View Thread	Thesicilian0ne	42	October 24, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight.. in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner: There are plenty. You obviously just don't want to hear them. I'd like to hear them. View Post \| View Thread	Thesicilian0ne	42	October 24, 2013 View Post \| View Thread

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