SMMRHYDE

Congrats man keep it going. I'll be riding those coatails!

@NYG991

 lol how about Buffs o2.5 goals 1st period? You'd be rich if you bet that straight up

I like it. I have an algorithm I've been working on that will hopefully provide an edge on ML and o/u by period per game. Many of these are + odds so hitting at 55% is still profitable. I have a couple plays I feel good about that I'll post here along with some straight ups I like:

CAPITALS P3 -0.5 @ +120

CAPTIALS TO WIN P1 AN WIN THE MATCH @ +155

NJ/MINN OVER 2.5 GOALS P3 @+135

MINN MONEYLINE 3 WAY P2 @+120

MINN TO WIN FIRST PERIOD AN WIN THE MATCH @ +170

CAR/OTT U1.5 P1 @-115

BOS/NASH U 1.5 P1 @ -131

DAL -0.5 P1 @+130

BUF/FLA O6 @ -121

COL/MON O6 @  -121

TB ML @-140

MINN ML @ -170

CAR ML IN REGULATION @ -171

CAL/LA U5.5 @ -131

BOL GUYS!

@DestroyThePitch

 I'd like to get in on this. Where are the posts supposed to happen and do we choose an arbitrary wager amount or is there a fixed unit amount per play. Also, just one play a day or multiple?

When he winked at the ref?

Like, "Hey we're at +6.5 let's get it going now. Don't forget about the wire transfer that hit your account earlier today."

So just confirming based on the thread looks like 19 of us remaining? 

@manicrick

 lol well done

@B Lugosi

Ya, that was brutal, screwed me as the last leg of my 4 bagger that would've hit otherwise. Any second thoughts about the fact that the wind is blowing out to left center at 10mph, its 90- 93 degrees, 64% humidity and the Brewers are rostering a minor league squad in this early game? Those factors kinda make me want to stay away altogether. I think hits will stil be scarce but if Wisdom or Contreras barrel a Peralta heater just once at an inopportune time, it's likely leaving the yard.

Any time. Thanks for riding along. I will let you all know when another LOCK comes in.

3-1 since I started posting plays (this was the first lock)

@jdubb2584

 Agreed. Or maybe if this doesn't hit I'll start paying that dude who posts all the time about fixed games. Where you at bro!?

@jdubb2584

 Lol. I don't usually use the word LOCK in sports betting. But this O/U prop is just too low. If this doesn't hit I'll stop betting props altogether. It's about as good a value as you're gonna get on a pitcher prop.

Antonio Senzatela Over 3.5 Ks -125

CB Buckner behind the plate. He calls what one might call a "loose" strike zone boosting strike outs in games called by him by 18%.

Cubs hitters against righties since July 1st are striking out a nearly a 28% clip. That's bottom of the barrel bad.

Senzatela has thrown 5 Ks in each of his last 3 games and at least 4 in all 6 of his last starts.

No brainer

@hAnsolo820

 sounds racist

@jdubb2584

 Small sample size with Espino but Anderson has way better numbers in past games against WSH than Espino does with PHI and I have to agree with those factors WIZZ KID brought up

@Mexico33

@fanatik604

 Dart throw. You gotta be a real degen to bet either side. Both pitchers are great prospects but that's all we know for now

@SMMRHYDE

 2-1

Guess I should've mentioned that I bet Boston over 4 team runs as well. My first post. I'll be more thorough next time.

@SMMRHYDE

 Sorry I was a little late on the Boston play

Twins @ Cards over 8 -140

I'm buying down a half run here (for my parlay) but I still like the over 8.5 straight up

1) Weather will average 97% humidity ending at 100%. Will help the ball carry. A nice reminder why one should never move to St. Louis (no offense)

2) Blue behind the plate is Carlos Torres, calls a tight strike zone and runs in games he calls are boosted on average by 10%.

3) Twins Bullpen is a little tired.

4) Both starters combined average allowing 2.38 HR/9 their last 3 appearances.

Boston ML +100

1) Simple, every offensive player on the Red Sox with at least 5 plate appearances against Yarborough (6 of 9 starters) has an xSLUG over .500 in their appearances against him apart from Alex Verdugo.

Colorado +170

Hard to pass on this value. Marquez has simply been the better pitcher the last 2 months. Darvish has struggled recently, and Rockies bats are heating up including McMahon who just went deep yesterday for the first time since 6/15 and it was his 17th. Baseball players are streaky. I'm running with it.