spottie2935

NCAA B

season = 2024 and rank < 26 and day = Saturday and total < 160 and o:rank = None and p:total<145 and line>-14

congrats to all 

@mjm1012

   yes i meAN UNDER

Under for me and i was thinking Eagles early in the week but now I am on KC.  After close to 60 SB's and 0-9 last nine tries,  I think we will see our first 3 peat.  It's time. 

yes back in 2004 thats why i left that sh!t hole

@DogbiteWilliams

 I only like Philly because they are a dog.  KC was the dog in their last superbowl meeting.  I can not find any solid data on either side but the under is my play based upon post #131

@Mskeets

 post #131 has very strong data on the under and I dont tease any games.

Thanks for asking. Wish you the best and best wishes on your decision 

@DogbiteWilliams

Hi DBW 

according to the outputs, youre still allowing lower scoring in previous games to dominate.  Thus the 55 point "scoregasm" becomes irrelevant.  The fact is the 55 point point :"scoregasm" is a main point in my opinion because its such a rarity.  I just the way i see it thru all kinds of data and the data clearly shows when omitting the bigger previous scores its misleading to take Philly. 

playoffs = 1 and p:points >38 and opo:points > 26.5 

the results are 1-1 here when the lines you selected are in place.  I omitted the lines and it 4-5ATS. 

This game according to my data is a fade of Philly and A fade of KC both.  I have found the under however is in play (post #131)

@stinkroach

 my best guess is 3+  but 55 last week was ridiculous.  What if Philly won last week 24-23?  +4 to  +7. ??? 

@DogbiteWilliams

I find it difficult and inconsistent finding info on GTD.  Tht site is frustrating to me.  ON Killer you have 5 free queries in each sport.  see if you can see if the query is 8-47 ATS like i see. 

Now for those interested in some college hoops tonight, I found this gem.

League: NCAA BB 

Query:

season>2018 and AFC and rank>10 and -2>=line>=-7 and o:losses>7 and 8>t:losses>2 and p:W

query results are 8-47 ATS and play against the favorites Memphis and Illinois.

Take Tulane and Nebraska

[Quote: One extra parameter can destroy a query.[/Quote]

its the same as mine and the Superdowl is basically 3 major things. 

Fade 1.)  Against a back to back favorite in their previous play off games, and a favorite in the superbowl, Query: pp:F and pp:F and F and t:conference!=o:conference

Take 2.  A higher seed (for instance, 6,5,4 seed vs. a 1 or 2 seed in the other conference, I cant find a query for this one. 

Fade 3.) A team coming in the the superbowl off a huge scoring game, this it at its best with a team under 4 season losses.   query: playoffs=1 and p:points>38 and p:playoffs=1 and t:losses<4

@DogbiteWilliams

 I think  PO = 1 and losses > o:losses and week > 21.5 is close to duplicating my query. The better team and or favorite fails a lot.  On the other hand look at what the query doesn’t like:  

PO = 1 and losses > o:losses and week > 21.5 and p:points>38

NBA season = 2024 and 241 > p:total > 228 and total < 240 and HF and line>= -14 and rest<3

According to the query, PHL has the same amount of season wins but in more games.  

The false narrative of 55 points also effects the total.

playoffs = 1 and p:points > 34  and total < 57 and op:points>13 and D

NBA 

season = 2024 and 241 > p:total > 228 and total < 240 and HF and line>= -14

season = 2024 and p:total > 234 and total < 240 and line > -7 and line < 4 and day!= Sunday and rest<4 and op:rest<2

NCAA FB 

rank>6 and p:ats margin > 15 and HF and o:division = FBS and week>3 and -12>=line>-24 and p:points<52 and ats streak<3 and PRSW>2

NCAA  hoops

season = 2024 and rank < 26 and month != 11 and day = Wednesday

season = 2024 and rank < 26 and month != 11 and day = Tuesday and total<155

season = 2024 and rank < 26 and month != 11 and day = Saturday and total<160