thawv

@Ilovefootballs

Swinging 2-3 points around a pick is no big deal.  If it crosses over 3, then you have something! 

@blowoutgm

 Well, ex NFL player have gone on record that some games are predetermined.  One player actually said that they had to sign something indicating that they would not discuss it.  Not sure if they couldn't mention it during their playing days or not.  But yes, some games are scripted.  Of course not play for play.  That would be insane to believe that.  But the outcome?  No doubt at all.

@TxRangers

 If I can answer this, I'd say that about 15% of games are fixed.  I'm not so sure about college football, but the NFL has said that they are an entertainment business.  They are a multi billion dollar business.  They are not going to leave their profits up to chance.  Several ex players have already gone on record that some games are scripted.  

@LonghornHoosier

 Wait!  You think that something that you can bet on, while the outcome is controlled by others, is not going to be fixed at times??  That's delusional thinking.  Of course some games are fixed.  Where's there money, there's corruption. 

This post is 100% true!  Speaking the truth should not be frowned upon. 

That said, I'm a little confused about the reason for the post in a college football forum.  Maybe there's another forum for these types of posts  

https://www.covers.com/nfl/home-field-advantage

Since 2000, Super bowl winners at 67% ATS on opening day.  Super bowl losers are 16% ATS on opening day.  The UNDER has come in 63% of the time on the SB loser games opening day. 

@barronio

 I would cancel them all, or keep them all.  You just know that if you pick and choose which one's to keep, you'll be wrong.  That's just how it turns out.

Good luck Barronio!

Know his selection is probably the best info there is.

@kcblitzkrieg

 Thanks man!!  The only thing I found was last year.  Do you maybe have the link?

Does anybody know where I can find a printable prop sheets listed by number?  Even a copy and paste would be great.

Thanks.

I'm laying off of this game, but how does something that happened 3-9 years ago have anything to do with this game?  They're not even remotely the same teams today.

Good luck to you tho.

Betonline

Sorry....they were all put on the questionable list as "undisclosed" on Monday.  I just feel like bettors already knew that they weren't going to play.  I could be wrong though.  The "undisclosed" part feels like the decision was made on Monday to have them sit out.

The line dropped 2 points today.  And it crossed over a key number.  The guys not playing today were announced on Monday.  The line move is something else.  My guess is the sharps jumped on NW.

About 30 years ago, I was on such a bad run, that I wrote numbers on little pieces of paper and each number was assigned a team, based on the order of the lines in the news paper.  I folded the paper so I couldn't see the numbers, and picked random numbers off the front room floor.  I didn't do any better, or any worse.

@BABYFACE024

 The final tally on one consensus site for wagers is:

TB 54%

TB ML 69%

Over 56%

I don't think it can be more than 10 in Dallas.  Maybe 17 in Pit.  But not in Dallas.

What is a regression play?

I think the obvious play here is SF.  Teams a never as good or as bad as they looked in the previous week. 

For the line to go from 3- to 3 also says a lot about where the sharp money is.   The betting action is almost split down the middle.