thuagame

Quote Originally Posted by StoneColdNinja:

interesting angle, i will keep an eye out for that in the future.  

Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

Databases are fully updated.  I will be periodically running and publishing this week's sheets as I find time during the day today.  At first glance I'm liking a lot of favorites.  Hopefully that's a good sign as the market shifts away from it's current rate of cashing underdogs blindly at 61% (70-45 on the season).  I would even consider endorsing a blind bet on all the favorites this week... well maybe not... let's see what the data says...

Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Ridibets- I don't want to tell anyone else. No disrespect to you. I would rather have this system keep its undefeated streak going.
Thuagame- my confidence on this play right now is a 8. If the line changes in the right direction I'd put the play at a 9.5

Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

If the line closes at 7.5 at the majority of places don't worry about buying it down to -7. If you somehow get -8 buy it down to -7.5
Last night's primetime game was a blowout and it rarely happens were we see 2 blowout primetime games in a row. I expect it to be a game around 8-11 points on favor of SF.

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals

"How are the Cardinals going to score on the 49ers #1 ranked defense?"

That seems to be the question of the day that I keep hearing, especially thanks to how bad ARI's offense is (or isn't?). A lot of people think the offense of ARI is anemic, but it is more of their offensive line that is atrocious. The Cardinals have playmakers on offense and if their line blocks for their QB, they always seem to put up numbers. So the real question comes... will the Cardinals have time to block for Skelton, or not? The answer is yes.

The Cardinals main weakness again is their offensive line. SF, as good of a defense as they have, they are terrible at rushing the passer this year. Don't ask me why, but they only have 11 sacks in the first 8 games. SF won't be able to exploit ARI's biggest weakness therefore Skelton should have enough time in the pocket to find his receivers downfield.

Now for the run game. The 49ers just gave up 100+ yards rushing to Marshawn Lynch on 19 carries (5.0+ YPC) and 150 yards rushing to the Giants on 34 carries (4.4 YPC). If you asked me, it would seem as if this SF defense has regressed a bit.

ARI had little to no run game for the beginning of the season, but just piled up 125 rushing yards against the Vikings top ranked rushing defense so it's safe to say they won't be absolutely terrible in the run game tonight.

Now for the spot. The Cardinals are off 3 SU losses and are now playing a home divisional game on MNF for the first time in 2 years. Think that crowd won't be electric?

ARI last 3 losses:

21-14 loss to the Vikings

Vikings total yards: 209
Cardinals total yards: 356

19-16 loss to the Bills

Bills total yards: 306
Cardinals total yards: 332

17-3 loss to the Rams

Rams total yards: 242
Cardinals total yards: 282

The 49ers are also off an emotional beatdown to the Giants in a revenge game two weeks ago and a physical divisional home game against the Seahawks. Now they have to play another divisional game. Tough to play 3 big games like that in a row.

This would be a 5 unit play for me if the 49ers weren't going into their bye week next week. Road favorites going into their bye have been really good over the past 5 years and that's the only reason i'm keeping this play small.

142984497-1

10/29/12 2:54pm

$220.00

$200.00

Pending

10/29/12 8:40pm  Reduced Football  244 Arizona Cardinals +7 -110* vs San Francisco 49ers