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iv never had the best at betting MLB and am always envious of those that have been able to create models or win%. i have been looking at underdog chance and his website as he advertises sharing his method as opposed to just sharing pics.. does anyone have experience with him and or his models? thank you in advance!! and if anyone has any intel on where to go to start to build such model that would be great as well!! |
traderjoe13 | 1 |
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ichigan averaged a stout 4 ypc against the stout dline of B1G East powerhouse Rutgers..... |
BWS77 | 15 |
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sparty wont score...... |
vankiep_0007 | 16 |
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and nobody on the michigan defense would start for OSU.... But yeah its because of ex michigan coaches |
BWS77 | 29 |
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Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:
Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN: And michigan......... SUCKS huge balls AGAIN"The Citadel defeated Georgia Tech using the triple option which Georgia Tech abandoned this season. That's like getting run over by a car you used to own" Best "awareness" award goes to the Miss St QB who after doing his impression of a huey helicopter still had the sense to lay the ball out towards the line to gain. My head is still spinning just from watching him. The newest phrase in college football; That was one Nar-DUZZI of a play call. BIG10;Michigan St does not have the O-line to play Michigan St football, period. Better find someway else to score. Dantonio sneered at Herm at post game handshake, unsportsman like conduct but no flag.Purdue and Indiana without starting QB's don't come close to covering let alone winning.Maryland can't win without homerun plays, sound defenses always their demise.Ohio State appears to have a sound defense after they raided Michigan's coaching cupboard. Fields needs to stop overthrowing to be the complete package. And that schedule.Nebraska now labeled overrated at this point.Minnesota hopefully just playing to the level of their competition or it's going to be a long year for Gopher fans.Iowa chugging along as usual.Northwestern lost TJ Green week 1 and Hunter Johnson 12-25, 1td against UNLV. He will need to be better against the Sparty D.Illinois was...…...Illinois. What can I say?All those who jumped on the Terrapins and Nittany Lions last week will be jumping on Wisconsin and their #1 rated defense this week. Until I see some offense from Michigan that doesn't look offensive think I stay far away!
With the coaches who had no choice but to stay and were told they would somehow always win because..... Well because they are michigan... And because somehow without work discipline and diligence they would somehow be champions....... Hail to the victors. Ive never seen a team show so much disrespect to a service academy... Jimmy and his class!! Luckily hes a wolverine alum.
But yeah osu only has a top defense because of michigans coaches.....dont forget washington is from the 614 |
BWS77 | 29 |
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Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:
"The Citadel defeated Georgia Tech using the triple option which Georgia Tech abandoned this season. That's like getting run over by a car you used to own" Best "awareness" award goes to the Miss St QB who after doing his impression of a huey helicopter still had the sense to lay the ball out towards the line to gain. My head is still spinning just from watching him. The newest phrase in college football; That was one Nar-DUZZI of a play call. BIG10;Michigan St does not have the O-line to play Michigan St football, period. Better find someway else to score. Dantonio sneered at Herm at post game handshake, unsportsman like conduct but no flag.Purdue and Indiana without starting QB's don't come close to covering let alone winning.Maryland can't win without homerun plays, sound defenses always their demise.Ohio State appears to have a sound defense after they raided Michigan's coaching cupboard. Fields needs to stop overthrowing to be the complete package. And that schedule.Nebraska now labeled overrated at this point.Minnesota hopefully just playing to the level of their competition or it's going to be a long year for Gopher fans.Iowa chugging along as usual.Northwestern lost TJ Green week 1 and Hunter Johnson 12-25, 1td against UNLV. He will need to be better against the Sparty D.Illinois was...…...Illinois. What can I say?All those who jumped on the Terrapins and Nittany Lions last week will be jumping on Wisconsin and their #1 rated defense this week. Until I see some offense from Michigan that doesn't look offensive think I stay far away!
And michigan......... SUCKS huge balls AGAIN |
BWS77 | 29 |
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But fair line should be 7 = public love affair |
Natty68 | 19 |
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"Ohio State crushed Indiana" at this point even espin has to realize they are playing better football than anyone in the nation!! This team is scary good |
BWS77 | 29 |
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Public has had a love afair with michigan ever since jimmy came on board. They are free money if you fade them against teams with a pulse in that time span.... Take the gift |
Natty68 | 19 |
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replied to
***Macwesties Tues. Jan. 01, 2019 * NCAAF "New Years Day" College BOWL Football Plays***
in College Football Urbans last game... Dwayne wanting to pad his draft stock... Comittee disrespect.... Huge talent gap... Buckeyes -6.5 all day |
Macwestie1 | 18 |
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Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36: It's important to note that since 2013 , my ability to determine Win Probability has improved somewhat. This same play in 2018 would carry a WP of 72 % making my " Optimum Bet " 40 % of bankroll. i am going to guess that previous data on bama and saban in that similar situation ie.. situation, point spread would give you the win probability ? thank you in advance!
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WISEGUY36 | 75 |
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@UNI I already got some Haskins Heisman futures at 28-1 .wish I would have hit it when it was at 40-1 but I am in Ohio so I couldn't get Vegas lines. Haskins will probably lose a game for Ohio State also. His arm is legit and he will be in the NFL, but he's going to have growing pains and he will get a little overconfident at times.. I just hope it's not against Michigan. I really think Haskins will put up a few Heisman type plays throughout the year and if the bucks can handle their business it can be their year. Lot of "ifs" though. New center, new left tackle, question marks at LB, lack of DE depth, and I think all of those NFL dbs leaving early will start to show this year as there is no "guy in line" to be a stud. Although Jeff okudah has all the tools. @doubkeup. Thank you for posting your lines always appreciate your info!!
Best of luck to u all!! The -230 has crept up to -290 on 5dimes
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traderjoe13 | 8 |
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the odds are -230 but that just implies a 67% chance the ohio state ends up with less that 3 losses... are you kidding me?? is a lifdetime fan i would have made an educated guess at 95% and thats low in my opinion. Urbans track record alone says that 2 losses is tops. let alone ohio states relatively easy schedule and loaded roster. favs in every game, michigan at home. i never say east money but i think odds makers gaffed on this one and id say michigan betters are the reason =)~ ill lay the chalk based on the Value for sure! |
traderjoe13 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by alopez14325:
I think it's worth taking Over on season win totals for Florida, Tennessee, and South Carolina... If Joe Burrow goes to LSU I think they go over their total. In the ACC I think FSU, Clemson, NCST, all go over their win total. Right now, I think Boston College is the most underrated team in CFB, and AJ Dillon is a bargain as far as Heisman odds go....The Big 10 is so loaded, but I think Wiscy goes over their win total (Jonathan Taylor is going to have one of the best seasons in the history of CFB) I would take the under for OSU, even though they're loaded with talent...I will also be taking Colorado St to win the MW, UB to win the MAC, Texas to win the Big 12, and Stanford to win the Pac 12...
much respect lopez... curious why you think an urban coached team finishes with 3 loses in the regular season..... favs in every game loaded offense and a favorable schedule catching michigan at home and psu on a down year ish... 3 losses is unheard of for a loaded urban team |
DoubleUp4Life | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AggieAdam:
Clearly this is setting up for another Georgia vs Alabama championship. SEC is the best and no other conference comes close in '18.Clemson, Alabama, Georgia clearly the top 3. Then possibly Michigan, Oklahoma, TCU, and Florida State fighting for the last spot.
i noticed you just joined... i dont think Michigan Or TCU are destined for a good season at all let alone being a member of the 4 team playoff.... i am just curious of your information for having such claims. Michigans schedule is brutal and harbaugh has been breeding a losing culture for a few years |
DoubleUp4Life | 135 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:
QUOTE Originally Posted by fishcf: Spurs is +4.5 Thanks fishcffor noticing the mistake my BAD
you are also getting 4.5 points of line value as of 10 days ago the line for this game would have been a pk.. i love the play! |
Macwestie1 | 15 |
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that is technically what i asked for but im more looking for individual game stats by quarter to see instances in how a coordinator has adjusted or not!! but i do thank you for the info i wasnt aware cfbstats had that tab |
traderjoe13 | 5 |
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im aware of a lot of websites that show full game stats but im interested in stats sorted by halfs and quarters.. if anyone has that info i would greatly appreciate it!! |
traderjoe13 | 5 |
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i like ohio state -6.5 also... wisky is basically michigan with less talent..
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PhillyBrown | 30 |
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why in the world would Gruden leave his cushy gig to go chase teenagers around on twitter and beg them to come to Tennessee over any other SEC school... sounds like an awful job
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hoopsvader | 17 |
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