Vanrush

@usikbasterd

Adams and Wilson will lead the receiving corps, especially Adams with his connection to Rodgers.  Lazard will see less targets and Mike Williams will see the bench.  He will be used only in 4 receiver sets or if there is an injury to any of the top 3 receivers.  Williams is a total bust and has been injured, non-relevant for 3 years now.

Saints can win this game.  KC is DUE to lose.  Law of averages says they lose once in the next 3 games.  They are struggling offensively, many injuries to key people, and the Saints have enough of a defense to keep them from scoring a ton of points (which KC doesn't do regularly anymore).  It should be a low scoring game.  KC TT UNDER 23.5 -105 is interesting.  They are only a 5-point favorite at home.

@LONKJON

 I have them to win both the Division at + 105 and go over 9.5 wins at -130.  

GL

@roseland 100% agreed.   It is painfully obvious every week how much better they would be if they would have paid Hill.  I wonder if he and Mahomes got along?

@Rayfr

 LOL you dumbass I am a NINER fgan.

Greenlaw is one of the most intense....and dumbest players in the NFL.  He gets personal foul penalties....mostly completely stupid, almost every game.  Someone needs to step in and school him the right way so he stops making these ridiculously bonehead plays.  It takes away from the very good player that he is.  

@EastsideBangers

Haha....you should never be scared.  I know you aren't.  The biggest issue with this matchup for Phily is the last two games.  Could have EASILY lost both games.  Probably should have, at least one of them.  They put out MAX effort in comeback wins in both of those games, including OT and now are DUE for a loss. They are a tired team that now has a third elite opponent in a row. The more important game for them is next weeks' Dallas game. They can afford to lose today and still be in the catbirds seat for the division and #! seed in the NFC.   It is a total situational play for me.  49ers are healthy for the most part and have 3 extra days of rest to prepare.  Add in the fact that the Whiners are playing with a ginormous chip on their shoulder because of last years' NFC Championship game, the revenge factor comes into play as well.  I like that you got +3, that is the best line you will see.  Too many strong indicators for me that point to a 49er win.  I got them at a Pick'em 30 minutes after the line was released last Sunday.  It almost immediately went up to -2 because the sharps jumped on it.   Good Luck sir, you are a great capper on this forum and respected by all.  I am on the other side (kind of with the ML).  

-10.5 now.

@NONEED4LUCK

Yep.....I jumped on this Sunday Night at -4.5, bought the half point and put 2K on it.  Blow out looming.  Even if it isnt a blowout, -4 should be covered fairly easily with ALL the injuries Cleveland has going into this game.  Who cares about 2 weeks of rest when their top 2 RB's top QB and others are not playing.  LOL

I agree with both of you!  But I still think it is total BS and ultimately infringes on the credibility of the sport.  That is my issue.

@Holyh3llz

 I am old school, he BARELY came down on him ....he didn't drive him into the turf.  Pathetic.  Get the flags out for these panzy QB's.  Then they will never be hit.

@Yanasaur

It's simply the wrong call and horrendous.  Get the calls right, much more important than the league conspiracy you are alluding to that isn't true.  The NFL refs generally speaking act like the QB is a china doll.  Hopefully you cover!  GL

@justliketoplay

 I have no bet on this game but......that last roughing the passer call was total BS.  The NFL is terrible sometimes.

The 49er spread is now -10 on one of the two sites I use, and the other one it's still off the board.  Money Line is -650.  It has risen almost 6 points in 3 days.  The middle for this game is absurdly huge if one bet the niners at -4.5 or -5.  I am assuming (since I have not seen this information yet) that Watson has been ruled out.  Ford (#1 RB) is questionable along with Miles Garrett.  Chubb is out for the year.  If the 49ers cannot cover -4 then I will stop gambling.  Seriously.  

Anyone who bet it Sunday Night like I did will have a HUGE middle opportunity.  Like a 5-6 point middle.  Vegas will have to (rarely seen) allow for this middle so they can start evening out the money on both sides.  It must be brutally tilted to SF up until now.

Once Watson is OFFICIALLY ruled out (if he is), the line will go to -9 or -10 with ML being around -450 to -500.  Like I said before, if you like Cleveland, wait until Sunday morning to get the maximum positive line.  

I agree Cleveland's D may keep it close for a bit.  Ultimately, they will not be able to move the ball consistently or at all.  For the niners to cover for literally everyone who has bet on it up to now, they have to win by 7 points.  It is now -7.5 -310 money line on one of my sites, and the other site has pulled the line altogether.  What does that tell you??  

49ers now -7 and -290 ML.   hehe

@dubz4dummyz

With that being said, it doesn't happen often.  It's just a quirky thing that happened twice already.  I also don't keep stats on my record when I buy points.  More of a feel thing for me.  I am sure I have lost bets when buying half points.  The small amount of extra money I may lose is worth the better line for me.  There are many lines in football every week, where buying even half points makes the difference.  Guessing that I may push 3-7 times over 50-60 "buy the half point" bets or so.  Not often. 

@dubz4dummyz

I have gotten 2 pushes in 5 weeks in the NFL.  SF -7.5 @ LA Week 2 (won 30-23 on the bullshit last play meaningless FG) and last week ATL -2.5 (beat Hou 21-19 last play FG).  I don't keep official stats for this unfortunately.  I have bought a half point 5/6 times this year.  I remember the two pushes.  One I was happy with (ATL) and the other was not happy with (SF).  I like the better odds and the perceived insurance.  It may or may not be the way to go percentagewise. Like Eastside said, people have different reasons for buying or not buying points.  I average 8-10 bets a week and buy a half point once or twice some or most weeks. Some people NEVER buy points.  It is what it is.........