wa11street13

None of them.  I'm on the same thing!

The 2H line went from -3 to -3.5 (-110) to -3.5 (-115) really quick.  I think the books are just trying to double up on the full game line.  Game line was -4.5 and GB down by 1 so they just add to the overall game handle.  Don't read too much into it.  It just seems a lot of 2H money went on GB fast.  If it wasn't for that turnover, the game looks very different.

Liking it Mac!  I just can't do MIA.  Even with +18 right now, they are really bad!  

The write-up above is spot on about TEN.  I wouldn't bet on them EVER (and I live in Tennessee)!

I'd also stay away from SF.  West coast teams playing on the east coast, AS DOGS, usually don't cover.  The LAR are pretty close (though a slim fav) to the same scenario though I only see CAR win by a point or two. 

I agree, I see Cleveland winning by 15

Holy Crap Mac!  After all these years, you are still here!  I hope Diesel is still hanging with you!  A marriage, a couple moves and I'm FINALLY back.  Great to see you are still here!  I at least have one old friend!

TD Denver.  I like 21 in the 1st for my Over

YUCK!  1-5 this morning makes me 23-14-1 on the season.  Hoping the O on Den/Dal and Houston can come through but looks like I'm losing a few units today on my covers picks.  I don't count my halftime picks in my units or record but I'll probably do something

Waiting on NE.. Ridley out and Amendola...HMmmm

Wow.  I'm against you on EVERY game.  That scares me!

I forgot one.  I'm also on PHL +3

Let the haters come out now.  All the final numbers are in and while the lines may move a bit, these are what I get as final scores and what I'll be playing.  If you think you "busted" me for using OddsShark as one of my resources, fine.  They post the earliest picks so helps me gauge the week.  Weight all the other sites and this is what I get.  Listen if you want, it makes no difference to me.  I just post this to help.  I take no credit for the research, just the formula and the math...Like I always have.

STL/JAX - 19-7.  The spread is now 12 so I'll stay away from the game but I like the U41 a lot.


KC/TEN - 25-19.  With a spread of 3 that's too close for me and the O/U is at 39 so maybe a 5pt over but better stuff is out there.

PHL/NYG - 23-15.  I STILL think this is not gonna be a shootout so...Philly getting 3 (a gift) and the U53.5 will be booked.

BAL/MIA - 20-18.  BAL getting 3 may be a ML play too (haven't decided) and the u43.5.  Too close on the O/U and the game may or may not happen, right now...I'll say won't happen.


SEA/IND - 25-25.  IND getting 3 at home may be the difference.  The O/U is 44 so over by 6 but this game may be more fun to watch than bet.

DET/GB - 31-31.  I think EVERONE expects a shootout and a close game therefore DET +7 looks nice and LV can't go much higher on the O54.  I like both DET and the O

NO/CHC - 33-27.  Are we betting on the weather?  Line has moved to NO -1 so people like Brees' chances.  I agree though only a 5 pt cover isn't really attractive.  The O49.  That's a bet!

CAR/AZ - 23-17.  Game is too tight on both ends.  CAR should cover by 4 at a -2 and the O/U of 42 looks pretty accurate.

DEN/DAL - 38-27.  Can't wait to watch this one!  Can anyone stop Peyton?  Sure DEN is giving 9 in Big D but should still squeak a cover.  My bet is on the O57 though as they should beat it by a TD and some garbage time points.

HOU/SF - 21-20.  Houston getting 7?  Wow!  A lotta Bay area money must be coming in.  I like HOU at +7 but hate the O/U at 42.

SD/OAK - 25-21.  Hate the line of SD -5 and hate the O/U of 45.  OUT!

NYJ/ATL - 22-19.  I think we all agree here after all the comments I've read.  ATL is not gonna win by 10, just a FG.  I'll wait till Monday on this game.  I have a hard time betting on NYJ.  The O/U of 43.5 sucks too.

Anyway, my official picks and ones I'm playing are:
STL/JAX U41
PHL/NYG U53.5
DET +7
DET/GB O54
NO/CHC O49
DEN/DAL O57
HOU +7

The only bet that changed since Monday is that I flipped on the SD/OAK game and never liked it anyway.  Best of luck to all and if you hate me, hate me.  I didn't ask you to care anyway!

I think its close but I teased the Browns and the O.  GL mon frere

Whats the matter BigUnit?  Losing and realizing that you aren't he best out there?  So what if I do what I do...I am cashing and thats all that matters

OK.  I see it as a tie but I need some action so I put one unit on a teaser, CLE +3 and O 34.

Well if my record isn't good enough for some, so be it.  I'm 22-9-1 on the season and up 15U.

Seems some want to dog me for using other sites research to post my picks and am crucifying me for what I do. 

Wanna know my system?  I use a weighted average of free site picks to come up with projected scores, sites such as Prisco on CBS, WhatIfSports, Oddsshark, Bleacher Report, RXForum, OutlawLine...and weight the picks based on recent performance.

Like I said, It's all statistics!!!

No site will ever be right all the time so I use the weighted average to do the analysis and it seems to work.  Honestly, do you care HOW I get the numbers or do you care if it gets winners?

Frankly, you can HATE all you want, tell me I'm "busted" for using other sites, whatever, I don't care.  I don't ask you for a dime now, do I?  You get my number crunching for free.  If you don't wanna read my posts, Don't.

I I have NEVER professed to being a GURU.  I have always been humble and posted for the benefit of others here.  If you guys don't want me here or think I have misled you somehow, fine.  I'm not gonna stop trying to do what I do and that's win money.

Well, You are sorta right.  I do use oddsshark and they are weighted heavily in my averages lately as they are kicking behind.  I use over a dozen computer generated sites and average them all, weight the sites that do better each week and go from there.  Like I said, it's all math.  Ive been doing this for 16 years and it seems to work.  No site is gonna be the best year in and year out so I weight them appropriately.  Oddsshark has a 50% weighting the last 3 weeks as their picks have produced the most winners of all I check.  I don't give any site over 50% so yeas, the scores are VERY skewed to their picks right now.  Why mess with success? Next week it could be another site and BTW, I don't pay for any picks

Actually...I agree with you on all 3.  Not the best bets on the board but I see them all covering.

Wow, you guys must be REALLY bored today!

No thanks Weeks...I appreciate the offer though!