WagerMaker

WagerMaker
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replied to NCAAB wagering
in College Basketball
I played your NBA & these college plays. Even played the lean. Thanks for the 6-2 night my man
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LocalBets 49
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replied to NBA wagering
in NBA Betting
Thanks again, keep dem picks comin. 
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LocalBets 13
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replied to NBA wagering
in NBA Betting
Dang, u doing NBA 2. Alright then, I'm down. Lets cash em together
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LocalBets 13
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replied to NCAAB wagering
in College Basketball
Rolling with u 2nite. Appreciate info
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LocalBets 49
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replied to NCAAB wagering
in College Basketball
Great call on Fairfield last night. Your reasoning for these wagers seems very on point. Will be checking up on this thread from now on. Thanks for sharing.
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LocalBets 49
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replied to *** SUNDAY NCAAF ***
in College Football
51 wagers already...  
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badlands 11
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replied to 4-0 Sweep Yesterday Only Game Today
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by WagerMaker:

Absolutely... We all see things differently. No one person can see all or do all. Maybe someone I ask this to, can offer something to us that might still be in their head but not here in this post. Sometimes not everything comes out to the public. That said, as a bettor, info is the #1 key to success. Without we are just throwing money around and waiting for the white ball to drop on, Red, Black & very seldom on green... As Johnny 5 would say "NEED MORE INPUT!!!"
 Without info of course...
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Millerboy03 13
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replied to 4-0 Sweep Yesterday Only Game Today
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:


Any reason you keep asking this same question over and over and over?
Absolutely... We all see things differently. No one person can see all or do all. Maybe someone I ask this to, can offer something to us that might still be in their head but not here in this post. Sometimes not everything comes out to the public. That said, as a bettor, info is the #1 key to success. Without we are just throwing money around and waiting for the white ball to drop on, Red, Black & very seldom on green... As Johnny 5 would say "NEED MORE INPUT!!!"
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Millerboy03 13
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replied to *** Purdue vs Marshall 2-2 ytd ***
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by vankiep_0007:

Taking Marshall tt ov34.5

326079430-19/6/15 6:53am$220.00$200.00Pending9/6/15 3:00pm  College Football 208 Marshall Over 34½ -110* vs Purdue 
Glta everyone
Cato, his top 2 targets & multiple offensive lineman, all gone after playing one of the weakest schedules in NCAAF last season. Scary bet IMO, but GL...
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vankiep_0007 18
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replied to 4-0 Sweep Yesterday Only Game Today
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by Millerboy03:

Purdue sucks and my boy picked Purdue and I fade him
So basically more of a window shopping type of wager. Nothing to serious, then I hope? GL
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Millerboy03 13
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replied to 4-0 Sweep Yesterday Only Game Today
in College Football
Any reasoning for us?
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Millerboy03 13
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replied to Sunday
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by guyhopestowin:

Nice going so fat in week 1 amd positive all that matters

Appleby is doubtfuL based on i read, is there an updatEd info? Without applebye do you still Back marshall by a td?
Unless you know something we don't i can not find this report stating him as being doubtful. Every article on him if nothing but being ready to play. You have a link?
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amd 54
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replied to Sunday
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by amd:


Your entire paragraph speaks directly to the strength of schedule in which, objectively, one can't argue. Last year, Marshall was 128 out of 128 in terms of strength of schedule and while this is significant, I'm more interested in looking at this matchup as a whole. You can say that Purdue played stronger opponents 1.) But how do you reason with them getting beat by Central Michigan 38-17 last year, etc?  2.) When gambling, we should be looking at week to week matchups and finding an edge on the game at hand which is what I try to do. And, what I see from Purdue is that they have a strong returning group on the offensive line 3.) But they don't have anything else to go with their line.  4.) We can spin our handicapping any way we want to fit our play. I could find 10 things in the next 30 seconds as to why Purdue might be the play but I happen to like more reasons as to why Marshall covers. In 5.) Any case, thanks for your response.

1.) That game was so much closer than the score would be my answer as total yardage was 333 to 326 as the key to CMU winning by 21 as 17 CMU points came by way of turnover (Including a garbage time TD scored by CMU after Purdue failed to convert a 4th and 5 on Purdue’s own 27yd line). That would be my rebuttal to the CMU/Purdue score. 

2.) I try and do the same as well. Agreed…

3.) I like Darrell Hazell going into his 3rd year as HC with many players fully bought into his system. I’m also excited about Markell Jones who is slated to split carries with DJ Knox. Jones earned Mr Football as a senior in High School last season rushing for 3500+ ads & 60td’s leading his team to the state championship. He’s the 2nd winner of this award from Columbus East High School which is the same school that produced the nations top QB recruit in 2011 (Gunner Kiel). It’s findings such as these that help me comfort Appleby just needing to be a game manager here and not force throws. 

4.) I think sometimes it’s hard to admit fault no matter what we do as human beings. None of us are perfect. So yes I guess it does fall back to what others eyes see and how they see it.

5.) Happy to converse with you. It makes us both better for tomorrow, no matter who cashes a ticket today...
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amd 54
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replied to Sunday
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by pitchcs:

Lean Purdue but no play.

Good Luck
I had these same thoughts. Then I spent 4+ hours all night/morning that convinced me otherwise that Purdue was no longer a no play...
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amd 54
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replied to Sunday
in College Football
BTW... I appreciate your response...
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amd 54
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replied to Sunday
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by amd:



Appleby blows. 0-6 in his last 6 starts, all of which lost by at least 2 td's. Appleby also has a young inexperienced group of receivers with JC transfers, Young and Mahoumgou and they lost their leading rusher, Hunt. Marshall is returning Johnson, Butler and Watson and Purdue won't have an answer for these 3. Johnson averaged 8.5 yds per carry last year and I'm not impressed with Purdue DT's, Replogle and Watson. Those two will need help containing Marshalls bread and butter. Birdsong will also be a formidable QB for Marshall. He has a strong arm, throws first, runs second which will make Marshall a multidimensional offense. 
 6 teams that went 48-29su combined last year (4 of which who went to bowl games). Quite a difference to the #123rd ranked schedule that the Thundering Herd played IMO. Now I take away Cato and his top 2 targets and give them a QB who went just 6-6 (22td’s 15ints) at James Madison in 2013 and hasn’t played in 21 months. Sounds like a tough task for Marshall to me to be covering chalk. The 4 weakest teams that Purdue played last season (WMU, S Illinois, Illinois & Indiana) they went 3-1su & 3-1ats. I could be wrong here but my beliefs are both offenses struggle, so I bet under. And Purdue is just the more prepared and ready team so I take the +7.5… Good luck my friends...
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amd 54
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replied to Marshall vs Purdue spread & total ats bets
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by WagerMaker:

Agreed, but that's where I question if he does have the talent. Only a 50% winner at James Madison with 15 int's. My brain stresses to grasp just how real that 60% completion % transfers over to some B10 competition. Especially with many kids entering their 3rd and 4th seasons with Purdue on both sides of the ball and a coach going into his 3rd year with most all of those players...
Things would be much easier if Shuler & Frohnapel were still around as well. So it's not as if a new QB is being thrown out there with all the same tools that the last QB who had so much success. Which is why I stressed byproduct label on Devon Johnson (Only time will tell if true). I also believe that only 2 (Could be wrong here) starting offensive linemen return from last years Marshall's team. Again another red flag if true IMO...
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WagerMaker 7
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replied to Marshall vs Purdue spread & total ats bets
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by emchu:

A good QB got it or they don't. If they posses the talent to become a starter then 21 months shouldn't matter. Look at TeBow this year in Philly . Silence. It's not too late to change your bet. Follow the money . Marshall big time. Purdue is lousy .
Agreed, but that's where I question if he does have the talent. Only a 50% winner at James Madison with 15 int's. My brain stresses to grasp just how real that 60% completion % transfers over to some B10 competition. Especially with many kids entering their 3rd and 4th seasons with Purdue on both sides of the ball and a coach going into his 3rd year with most all of those players...
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WagerMaker 7
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replied to Sunday
in College Football
Quote Originally Posted by amd:

Ytd  9-7



Marshall -7
Reasoning or angle? Thanks..
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amd 54
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created a topic Marshall vs Purdue spread & total ats bets
in College Football
Marshall starts a QB that played his last game 21 months ago for James Madison (Michael Birdsong). Who led his team to a modest 6-6 record with a 60% completion rate, but did throw 15int’s (22td’s). He averaged just over 2 yards per carry in the rushing department so his speed is not a concern. And I bring that up because Marshall has lost a big portion from last years team. Rakeem Cato’s 48td’s, Tommy Shuler’s 92 receptions & 9td catches & Eric Frohnapel’s 37 receptions & 5td catches are all gone. Shuler made the Herd passing game go as the only other receiver with 30+ receptions was their TE Eric Frohnapel (who is also gone as mentioned above). So I ask myself… How does a QB that hasn’t started a college game in 21 months that has mild stats at best going to make it all work right from the start of things? The only thing Marshall seems to have going is Devon Johnson who I strongly believe was a by product of Cato’s legs and arm with Shuler & Frohnapel helping out as well. The schedule that Marshall played last year could be used to wipe the rear ends of the one Purdue played. So I keep that in mind as they now go up against a team that is continually battle tested with each game played in the B10. Purdue returns their entire offensive line and has a very solid freshman RB who won player of the year in Indiana (Markell Jones). Jones scored 60td’s last year in high school. It will be Jones & sophomore DJ Knox splitting the carries. 

IMO all Austin Appleby has to do is manage this game. I also feel strongly that both teams should struggle to find rhythm on offense. 1 Purdue’s offense is just not going to be that good and 2 Marshall lost so many weapons. 

So I feel that Marshall being favored by 7+ is a stretch vs any B10 no matter where they play but at same time have confidence the under at 61+ stands the same chance at hitting. A Marshall team without that high potent efficiency that could score very quickly is no more IMO...

The bets...

Purdue +7.5(-110)...
Marshall/Purdue u61.5(-110)...
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WagerMaker 7
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