welsknight

welsknight
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replied to If Home Favorites Don't Have a Winning Night Tonight....
in MLB Betting
Only Mods can edit 
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welsknight 7
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replied to If Home Favorites Don't Have a Winning Night Tonight....
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by Sainthead54:

AHH bore dog. 

Mission accomplished. Just trying to bring you all a laugh before the games start!

Cheers, let's get 'em. 
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welsknight 7
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replied to If Home Favorites Don't Have a Winning Night Tonight....
in MLB Betting
Grrr, image tags don't work. 
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welsknight 7
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created a topic If Home Favorites Don't Have a Winning Night Tonight....
in MLB Betting
[img]https://www.technologyinvestor.com/images/shoot_the_dog.jpg[/img]

I'll SHOOT THIS DOG!

Hopefully not a dog night tonight, it's been bad the last few days. 
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welsknight 7
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replied to welsknight's Friday MLB - 08/26/2011
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by welsknight:

Plays:
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-183) 2 units
Milwaukee Brewers RL -1.5 (+110) 2 units
Boston Red Sox ML (-150) 3 units
Atlanta Braves ML (-136) 2 units
Atlanta Braves RL -1.5 (+115) 1 unit
Rockies/Dodgers OVER 7.5 (-110) 2 units
Cincinatti Reds RL -1.5 (+145) 1 unit


By the way, I should mention... The reason you see ML and RL -1.5 bets here on the same team is because my book doesn't offer a RL -1. So I'm effectively creating my own.
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welsknight 7
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replied to welsknight's Friday MLB - 08/26/2011
in MLB Betting
Plays:
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-183) 2 units
Milwaukee Brewers RL -1.5 (+110) 2 units
Boston Red Sox ML (-150) 3 units
Atlanta Braves ML (-136) 2 units
Atlanta Braves RL -1.5 (+115) 1 unit
Rockies/Dodgers OVER 7.5 (-110) 2 units
Cincinatti Reds RL -1.5 (+145) 1 unit

Only one I haven't explained already is the Cincinatti Reds RL -1.5 (+145). Very simple, liking the Reds' lineup and just fading the Nationals; their bats have been ice cold lately, and now they're on the road. Figured it was worth a shot.

BOL, let's get this show on the road! 
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welsknight 7
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replied to Bodio's MLB Fri 08/26
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by composite:

Thanks for the write-up.  Do you know if Werth is in the lineup for the Nats? Their bats have been quiet w/o him.

Their bats have been quiet with him; I have a nice big losing ticket from yesterday to show fot it.


He played yesterday, so I expect he'll play today.
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bodio 94
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replied to Bodio's MLB Fri 08/26
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

 
Oakland Athletics 59-71 (45%) @ Boston Red Sox 80-50 (62%)

G. Gonzalez, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 3.5 (#49 in MLB), xFIP of 3.67 (#64 in MLB), and tERA of 3.62 (#44 in MLB), with a BABIP of .294, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.26. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.12, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .229. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 33% for a 1.48 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

T. Wakefield, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 4.68 (#170 in MLB), xFIP of 4.65 (#190 in MLB), and tERA of 4.79 (#153 in MLB), with a BABIP of .277, LOB% of 62%, and E-F of 0.32. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 45% for a 0.83 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

Oakland Athletics have the #7 bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road record of 24-41 (37%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Boston Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a home record of 38-24 (61%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.



Odds: OAK +136 (42%) BOS -145 (59%) O/U = 10

Lean: A's

Any reason you're leaning A's other than the difference between Gio Gonzalez and Tim Wakefield?
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bodio 94
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replied to GiLz Thread'ers ((Fri. 8/26))
in MLB Betting
Braves 
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GiLmo574 104
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replied to Lovethedough's Giants +13.5 (-6,000,000)
in Penalty Box
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mbullitt04 14
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replied to Lovethedough's Giants +13.5 (-6,000,000)
in Penalty Box
Didn't he bet Yankees +1.5?
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mbullitt04 14
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replied to Lovethedough's Giants +13.5 (-6,000,000)
in Penalty Box
He won last night, didn't he? 
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mbullitt04 14
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replied to Saturday's Picks
in MLB Betting
Lotsa overs lol.

Love the Brewers today though. 
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TodaysLocks 7
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replied to POD
in MLB Betting
Maybe, maybe not. But definitely a solid pick. 
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guida 7
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replied to MLB Action - Friday
in MLB Betting
Brewers 


Staying away from the other two, most likely. 
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Orangemen44 38
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replied to Weeble's Friday Picks
in MLB Betting
What are your thoughts on Rockies/Dodgers OVER 7.5 (-110)?

Since you're pretty damn good at totals. 


BOL 
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weeble5672 48
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replied to welsknight's Friday MLB - 08/26/2011
in MLB Betting
Quote Originally Posted by Badboyz8:

solid looking card today GL

Thanks. BOL to you too! 
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welsknight 7
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replied to welsknight's Friday MLB - 08/26/2011
in MLB Betting
Lean:
Atlanta Braves ML (-155) and RL -1.5 (+113) See Nilshu's excellent write-up for this one. He convinced me to take a closer look, and the only thing I could find to stop me from taking this bet was that Hudson is 1-2  in his last 3 starts against the Mets. Given the way the Mets have been (not) playing, and given the way the Braves HAVE been playing, I like this one.



Cheers! 
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welsknight 7
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replied to ***Friday`s Tizzy With Stats Inside.***
in MLB Betting
Only stat I can find to counter this is that Tim Hudson is 1-2 in his last 3 starts against the Mets. That is not all that important, given his pitching lately....

I'm going in on this one with ya. Thanks for bringing it to my attention!  
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Nilshu 13
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replied to ON FIRE FRIDAY (AGAIN!!!)
in MLB Betting
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7257MELROSE 40
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