Every angle I look at this match up equals a blowout in favour of France. However the odds reflect that. I backed Argentina to win by two and then of course the Aussies get a garbage goal. France rested their players in the last group stage versus Tunisia and should come out guns blazing in this fixture. Poland's goalkeeper Szczesny will have to continue to play as the best goal keeper at this tournament and Lewandowski is going to need service to be effective. Poland might keep this close in the first half but the French should roll in the second.
LEAN
Mbappe anytime goal scorer @ 2.05/+105 Bet365
1
Poland v France
54. France -1.5 @ 2.06/+106 (1u) Unibet
55. 1st half total goals under 1 @ 1.98/-102 (1u)
Every angle I look at this match up equals a blowout in favour of France. However the odds reflect that. I backed Argentina to win by two and then of course the Aussies get a garbage goal. France rested their players in the last group stage versus Tunisia and should come out guns blazing in this fixture. Poland's goalkeeper Szczesny will have to continue to play as the best goal keeper at this tournament and Lewandowski is going to need service to be effective. Poland might keep this close in the first half but the French should roll in the second.
57. Total goals under 2.5 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Marathon
Once again the strategy is to take the better team. In the knock out rounds the cream rises to the top and we rarely see upsets. Senegal already without Sadio Mane will be without Idrissa Gueye who is suspended from yellow cards. Add to that Kouyate was stretchered off the last game so he won't be 100%. England are just too deep they take it 2-0.
LEAN
Kane anytime goal scorer @ 2.40/+140 Unibet
0
England v Senegal
56. England -1 @ 1.97/-103 (1u) Bet365
57. Total goals under 2.5 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Marathon
Once again the strategy is to take the better team. In the knock out rounds the cream rises to the top and we rarely see upsets. Senegal already without Sadio Mane will be without Idrissa Gueye who is suspended from yellow cards. Add to that Kouyate was stretchered off the last game so he won't be 100%. England are just too deep they take it 2-0.
I'm not buying what this Croatian team is selling. They made it out in second in the second most easiest group. They were shut out in 2 of their group stage games. They will have more of the possession in this game and Japan will play the quick counter attack game that sunk the Germany & Spain. The Croats are no doubt technically gifted especially in midfield but I think this match might be going the distance into extra time and possibly penalty kicks. The last time these sides met was at the 2006 world cup where the final score was 0-0. I expect the same this time around.
LEAN
FT Result DRAW @ 3.40/+240 Marathon
0
Croatia v Japan
58. Japan +0.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Bet365
59. HT Result Draw @ 2.05/+105 (1u) Pinnacle
I'm not buying what this Croatian team is selling. They made it out in second in the second most easiest group. They were shut out in 2 of their group stage games. They will have more of the possession in this game and Japan will play the quick counter attack game that sunk the Germany & Spain. The Croats are no doubt technically gifted especially in midfield but I think this match might be going the distance into extra time and possibly penalty kicks. The last time these sides met was at the 2006 world cup where the final score was 0-0. I expect the same this time around.
There is no value in backing Brazil at the current prices. If fact I think there might be a tad of value on Korea to keep it close. I don't know what difference having Neymar back will make but they will definitely miss Gabriel Jesus. I think its the same old script here for the underdogs try to park the bus and get lucky on the counter or from a set piece. I'm hoping the Koreans can stick around and frustrate Brazil until at least halftime.
LEAN
Korea +1.5 @ 2.15/+115 Marathon
0
Brazil v Korea
60. 1st half Total Goals Under 1 @ 2.17/+117
There is no value in backing Brazil at the current prices. If fact I think there might be a tad of value on Korea to keep it close. I don't know what difference having Neymar back will make but they will definitely miss Gabriel Jesus. I think its the same old script here for the underdogs try to park the bus and get lucky on the counter or from a set piece. I'm hoping the Koreans can stick around and frustrate Brazil until at least halftime.
Morocco have managed clean sheets in 6 of its past 7 games only allowing an own goal versus Canada in that time span. I think they will manage to frustrate Spain and give them a very close game. At the last world cup in 2018 these sides played to a 2-2 draw. I think that a goalless draw could be in the cards at least to start the game and spotting me a goal for a full time result is value in my book.
Morocco have managed clean sheets in 6 of its past 7 games only allowing an own goal versus Canada in that time span. I think they will manage to frustrate Spain and give them a very close game. At the last world cup in 2018 these sides played to a 2-2 draw. I think that a goalless draw could be in the cards at least to start the game and spotting me a goal for a full time result is value in my book.
All the value here is with the consistently undervalued Swiss side. These sides have met plenty of time lately. In the last 6 head to head games Portugal win 3 all at home & Switzerland win 3 all at home. On a neutral this line should have been 2.20/+120 in favour of Portugal as their squad does have more quality players. I think eventually Portugal advances but the Swiss give them a game.
LEAN
Correct Score 1-1 @ 7.00/+600 Bet365
0
Switzerland v Portugal
63. Switzerland +0.5 @ 2.05/+105 (1u) Bet365
All the value here is with the consistently undervalued Swiss side. These sides have met plenty of time lately. In the last 6 head to head games Portugal win 3 all at home & Switzerland win 3 all at home. On a neutral this line should have been 2.20/+120 in favour of Portugal as their squad does have more quality players. I think eventually Portugal advances but the Swiss give them a game.
Croatia are the worse side in the quarter finals. Their only win in full time was to Canada and were lucky to get by Japan in the round of 16 in penalties. Outside that Canada game they look slow and lack creativity going forward. The last time these sides met was a 2-0 win for Brazil in 2018 and at the 2014 world cup Brazil wins 3-1. Brazil are not a team designed to get a goal and sit back and defend so I'm backing them to win by 2 or more.
Croatia are the worse side in the quarter finals. Their only win in full time was to Canada and were lucky to get by Japan in the round of 16 in penalties. Outside that Canada game they look slow and lack creativity going forward. The last time these sides met was a 2-0 win for Brazil in 2018 and at the 2014 world cup Brazil wins 3-1. Brazil are not a team designed to get a goal and sit back and defend so I'm backing them to win by 2 or more.
Argentina are yet to hit top gear in the world cup and I think they are lucky to be facing the Dutch in the quarters. The Netherlands have not really played any big sides. Qatar, Senegal, USA & Ecuador are not exactly top quality. However I do like streaks and the Dutch are now on a 19 game unbeaten streak, Argentina had their long streak broken by the Saudis I think these sides will cancel each other out in full time as they did in their 2 last world cup meetings both of which ended 0-0 in 2006 & 2014. I think eventually in extra time Messi drags Argentina into the final 4. I also like the card angle in what should be a nervy game with Spanish referee Mateu Lahoz averaging 4.64 cards per game there is a tad of value on the over 3.5.
LEAN
Total Goals Under 1.5 @ 2.88/+188 Pinnacle
0
Argentina v Netherlands
65. FT Result DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (1u) Pinnacle
66. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.97/-103 (1u) Bet365
Argentina are yet to hit top gear in the world cup and I think they are lucky to be facing the Dutch in the quarters. The Netherlands have not really played any big sides. Qatar, Senegal, USA & Ecuador are not exactly top quality. However I do like streaks and the Dutch are now on a 19 game unbeaten streak, Argentina had their long streak broken by the Saudis I think these sides will cancel each other out in full time as they did in their 2 last world cup meetings both of which ended 0-0 in 2006 & 2014. I think eventually in extra time Messi drags Argentina into the final 4. I also like the card angle in what should be a nervy game with Spanish referee Mateu Lahoz averaging 4.64 cards per game there is a tad of value on the over 3.5.
Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around.
LEAN
NONE
0
Portugal v Morocco
67. Total goals under 1.5 @ 3.05/+205 (1u) Unibet
68. Total cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365
Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around.
Argentina v Netherlands 65. FT Result DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (1u) Pinnacle 66. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.97/-103 (1u) Bet365 Argentina are yet to hit top gear in the world cup and I think they are lucky to be facing the Dutch in the quarters. The Netherlands have not really played any big sides. Qatar, Senegal, USA & Ecuador are not exactly top quality. However I do like streaks and the Dutch are now on a 19 game unbeaten streak, Argentina had their long streak broken by the Saudis I think these sides will cancel each other out in full time as they did in their 2 last world cup meetings both of which ended 0-0 in 2006 & 2014. I think eventually in extra time Messi drags Argentina into the final 4. I also like the card angle in what should be a nervy game with Spanish referee Mateu Lahoz averaging 4.64 cards per game there is a tad of value on the over 3.5. LEAN Total Goals Under 1.5 @ 2.88/+188 Pinnacle
The Draw Hunter!
The impossible only takes longer….
0
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:
Argentina v Netherlands 65. FT Result DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (1u) Pinnacle 66. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.97/-103 (1u) Bet365 Argentina are yet to hit top gear in the world cup and I think they are lucky to be facing the Dutch in the quarters. The Netherlands have not really played any big sides. Qatar, Senegal, USA & Ecuador are not exactly top quality. However I do like streaks and the Dutch are now on a 19 game unbeaten streak, Argentina had their long streak broken by the Saudis I think these sides will cancel each other out in full time as they did in their 2 last world cup meetings both of which ended 0-0 in 2006 & 2014. I think eventually in extra time Messi drags Argentina into the final 4. I also like the card angle in what should be a nervy game with Spanish referee Mateu Lahoz averaging 4.64 cards per game there is a tad of value on the over 3.5. LEAN Total Goals Under 1.5 @ 2.88/+188 Pinnacle
Portugal v Morocco 67. Total goals under 1.5 @ 3.05/+205 (1u) Unibet 68. Total cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365 Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around. LEAN NONE
LOVE that Total Cards Angle DJ. GL
The impossible only takes longer….
0
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:
Portugal v Morocco 67. Total goals under 1.5 @ 3.05/+205 (1u) Unibet 68. Total cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365 Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around. LEAN NONE
The Equalizer strikes with force!!!! What a beauty man. I'm a huge Dutch fan, sad to see them knocked out but rightfully so with that extremely slow offense but what a game. Thank you again bro. That card angle is a beauty let's strike it again bro. Good luck to you and all the followers on here
0
@DiamondJack
The Equalizer strikes with force!!!! What a beauty man. I'm a huge Dutch fan, sad to see them knocked out but rightfully so with that extremely slow offense but what a game. Thank you again bro. That card angle is a beauty let's strike it again bro. Good luck to you and all the followers on here
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