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2012 Opening Game Favorite

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Posts: 367
 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #226

Plays for 5/4

SEASON RECORD: 32-2                                +13.17U
AL: 15-1 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 17-1 (G1:12, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #33 (G1) 7:00 bal @ BOS -150  8.5     70/2.33U 

Ser #34 (G1) 7:00 phi @ WAS -180   6.5     78/2.6U

Ser #35 (G1) 7:00 oak @ TB -185     7        70/2.33U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-50     +70, -105                                 x-x     +78
x-55-55                                                       15-81    
15-86-75                                                   15-88

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #227

Plays for 5/5

SEASON RECORD: 32-2                                +13.17U
AL: 15-1 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 17-1 (G1:12, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #33 (G2) 7:00 bal @ BOS -120     110/3.67U 

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-50     +70, -105                                 x-x     +78
x-55-55                                                       15-81    
15-86-75                                                   15-88

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30


 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #228

Plays for 5/5

SEASON RECORD: 32-2                                +8.87U
AL: 15-1 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 17-1 (G1:12, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #33 (G2) 7:00 bal @ BOS -120     110/3.67U 

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-50                                                        x-x   
x-55-55-66      -132                                       15-81    
15-86-75-66                                                   15-88

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #229

Plays for 5/6

SEASON RECORD: 32-2                                +8.87U
AL: 15-1 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 17-1 (G1:12, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #33 (G3) 1:00 bal @ BOS -145     101/3.37U 

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-50                                                        x-x   
x-55-55-66      -132                                       15-81    
15-86-75-66                                                   15-88

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #230

Plays for 5/6

SEASON RECORD: 32-3                               +3.87U
AL: 15-2 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 17-1 (G1:12, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #33 (G3) 1:00 bal @ BOS -145     101/3.37U 

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-50-75                                                        x-x   
x-55-55-66                                                   15-81    
15-86-75-66-75 -150                                    15-88

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 145
Posted: #231
Rizz, even with three losses, record is great. Question ? Any chance that adding additional filters may help us the rest of the way? For example eliminating teams below .500? Any thoughts?
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #232
Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:

Rizz, even with three losses, record is great. Question ? Any chance that adding additional filters may help us the rest of the way? For example eliminating teams below .500? Any thoughts?


I usually do this after the all star break.  I may do it earlier this year...
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 12
Posted: #233
hey rizz, i just want to say that i think u r doing a wonderful job and that people should just be patient and stay the course...i see a lot of people want to talk bad about the system or just quit..but only 3 series losses aint nothin to quit over...people should realize when you gamble there will be some losses...this system has been successfull for a while now and it is due for some losses...but im in it for the long haul because i can see the real value in this...so keep up the good work and ignore the buttholes!!!
 
Veteran
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Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #234

Looks like Philly is the only for sure play today....

Dodgers are leaning that way too (low 140s)

 
Rookie
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Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 678
Posted: #235

glefkb01,

what about LAA -167 ?????

 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 333
Posted: #236
Quote Originally Posted by googotts:

glefkb01,

what about LAA -167 ?????

This system only bets home teams. Read the rules on page one of this thread and it spells it all out.

Good luck!

 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 381
Posted: #237
 
Rookie
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Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 678
Posted: #238
Thanks MM
 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #239
PHI to win 76/2.53U
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #240

Plays for 5/7

SEASON RECORD: 32-3                               +3.87U
AL: 15-2 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 17-1 (G1:12, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #36 (G1) 7:00 nym @ PHI -170   6.5     76/2.53U

Ser #37 (G1) 10:00 sf @ LAD -160    6.5      76/2.53U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
x-x-50-75                                                     15-61   
x-55-55-66                                                   15-61    
15-86-75-66-75                                           15-62

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23     

22-23     

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Captain
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Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 5372
Posted: #241
Phillies game 2 today
 
Veteran
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Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 2145
Posted: #242
The Dodgers should not be a play Rizz.  They won game 1 of their series last night.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 31
Posted: #243
Those were plays for 5/7 Robby. Only play today is Philly game 2.
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #244

Plays for 5/7

SEASON RECORD: 33-3                                 +2.20U
AL: 15-2 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 18-1 (G1:13, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser #36 (G1) 7:00 nym @ PHI -170 6.5 76/2.53U  

Ser #37 (G1) 10:00 sf @ LAD -160 6.5 76/2.53U   

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                                NL:
x-x-50-75                                                           x-61   +76, -126
x-55-55-66                                                         15-61-65
15-86-75-66-75                                                   15-62

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23

22-23

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #245

Plays for 5/8

SEASON RECORD: 33-3                                       +2.20U
AL: 15-2 (G1:11, G2: 3, G3:1, L:1)
NL: 18-1 (G1:13, G2: 4, G3:1)
O/U Filter: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser #36 (G2) 7:00 nym @ PHI -190          80/2.67U

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1




Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
x-x-50-75                                           x-61 
x-55-55-66                                        15-61-65
15-86-75-66-75                                  15-62

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23

22-23

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 12
Posted: #246
hey rizz,can we bring back the over .500 filter?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2011
Posts: 384
Posted: #247
Quote Originally Posted by airattackers:

hey rizz,can we bring back the over .500 filter?


this may not be a bad idea, teams like PHI/BOS are having over-inflated lines yet they're not playing very well.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 145
Posted: #248
It's the same question I asked him, and if you see above somewhere I think he said he would consider it. But i think were all on the same page with the .500 filter. It's the Rizz's call. The books are giving these good teams from last year over inflated juice, forcing them to fall into system plays when they normally wouldnt qualify.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 27
Posted: #249
Beginning on 4/16 the following series would not have qualified with a .500 filter:

4/16    - LAA - .400
4/17    - MIA - .455
4/20    - LAA - .357
4/23    - MIL - .471
4/27    - CIN - .450
4/27    - PHI - .450
4/28    - LAA - .318
5/4      - BOS - .440 (Loss)
5/7      - PHI - .467 (Game 3 Pending)

I started on April 16th for two reasons.  First, all teams had played approximately 10 games at that point.  It would be difficult to apply a .500 filter any earlier in the season because a few wins or losses creates a big swing.  Second, there was no pending series at that point.  Started with the "Game 1's" on 4/16.

Seven winning series would not have qualified.  Game 3 losses on DET 4/26 and SF 5/3 would have stood.  The BOS series resulting in a game 3 loss on 5/6 would have been filtered out.  Also the current PHI series on game 3 tonight, would have been filtered out.
 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #250
Guys,
This shat is unbelievable.  What a horrible stretch we are on.  We continue to see inflated lines on some popular teams that are having really crappy seasons, esp Phi and Bos.....  I would advise those of you wanting to be more conservative to do the over .500 win percentage at home or stick just to the filtered plays.  I would not blame anyone for bailing at this point.  I have backtested the crap out of this and the win percentages for the different levels of plays always turned out pretty good but I can't even remember the last +money day we have had and now we are staring at another C bet.  I am just hoping this ship rights itself soon.

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