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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Basketball over / under system

    «First Previous 456 ... 101112 Next Last»
    jbrent95
    calinreddog
    rman1049
    DiverRon
    butta01
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    «First Previous 456 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    jbrent95
    jbrent95
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    Posts: 63
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 9:09 AM ET #76

    Does anyone know where I can get ytd stats for both scoring offense and scoring defense for every college team?   I would like to fine a single table for each category.  I have only been able to find scoring offense.
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    Does anyone know where I can get ytd stats for both scoring offense and scoring defense for every college team?   I would like to fine a single table for each category.  I have only been able to find scoring offense.
     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 10:03 AM ET #77

    NBA

    atl-cha over 179.5

    tor-no over 183

    lac-mem under 203

    uta-sac under 215

    den-was under 205.5

    NCAAB

    fairf-can over 129.5

    colu-pen over 130

     

    NBA 2-3 NCAAB 1-1

    Overall NBA 17-13 (56.6%) NCAAB 46-25 (64.7%)

     

    See you later with NCAAB picks.

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    NBA

    atl-cha over 179.5

    tor-no over 183

    lac-mem under 203

    uta-sac under 215

    den-was under 205.5

    NCAAB

    fairf-can over 129.5

    colu-pen over 130

     

    NBA 2-3 NCAAB 1-1

    Overall NBA 17-13 (56.6%) NCAAB 46-25 (64.7%)

     

    See you later with NCAAB picks.

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 10:27 AM ET #78

    07.02.09
     
    NCAAB (round 1)

    twsn-hof under 133

    ncwil-ne over 139.5

    col-okl over 135

    tex-neb over 124

    miaoh-tol over 119.5
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    07.02.09
     
    NCAAB (round 1)

    twsn-hof under 133

    ncwil-ne over 139.5

    col-okl over 135

    tex-neb over 124

    miaoh-tol over 119.5
     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 1:06 PM ET #79

    07.02.09
     
    NCAAB (round 2)

    utah-wyom under 149

    virg-nocar under 165

    dela-gast over 124.5

    appst-elcol over 138.5

    geor-socar under 144

    eky-jacst over 131.5

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    07.02.09
     
    NCAAB (round 2)

    utah-wyom under 149

    virg-nocar under 165

    dela-gast over 124.5

    appst-elcol over 138.5

    geor-socar under 144

    eky-jacst over 131.5

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 5:37 PM ET #80

    07.02.09

    NCAAB (round 3)

    colu-princ over 115

    charl-dav under 154.5

    nwest-iowa over 117.5

    citdl-wcar over 134.5

    oldom-drex over 120

    sam-woff over 120

    troy-flatl under 151

    xaver-duq under 152

    fsu-clem under 138

    man-loymd over 131.5

    cflr-ecar under 146.5

    but-wgsht over 112.5

    arkst-flint over 123.5

    bay-txtch under 159

    denv-arklr over 117.5

    wist-evans over 121

    nmexs-nev under 147.5

    tnma-tenst under 153.5

    arzst-orest over 118

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    07.02.09

    NCAAB (round 3)

    colu-princ over 115

    charl-dav under 154.5

    nwest-iowa over 117.5

    citdl-wcar over 134.5

    oldom-drex over 120

    sam-woff over 120

    troy-flatl under 151

    xaver-duq under 152

    fsu-clem under 138

    man-loymd over 131.5

    cflr-ecar under 146.5

    but-wgsht over 112.5

    arkst-flint over 123.5

    bay-txtch under 159

    denv-arklr over 117.5

    wist-evans over 121

    nmexs-nev under 147.5

    tnma-tenst under 153.5

    arzst-orest over 118

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 6:20 PM ET #81

    07.02.09
     
    NBA

    den-nj under 207

    chi-dal under 209

    det-mil over 184.5

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    07.02.09
     
    NBA

    den-nj under 207

    chi-dal under 209

    det-mil over 184.5

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2009 - 7:06 PM ET #82

    07.02.09
     
    NCAAB (round 4)

    sf-sd over 124

    mem-gonz under 140

    rice-hou under 140

    idst-nocol over 135

    loute-utst over 123

    airfc-sdst over 113

    noar-ewas over 127

    ucsb-ucirv over 127

    pep-lomar over 129.5

    pac-lbst over 130

    wast-cal over 121.5

    stm-sclar over 128

    idaho-haw over 126.5

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    07.02.09
     
    NCAAB (round 4)

    sf-sd over 124

    mem-gonz under 140

    rice-hou under 140

    idst-nocol over 135

    loute-utst over 123

    airfc-sdst over 113

    noar-ewas over 127

    ucsb-ucirv over 127

    pep-lomar over 129.5

    pac-lbst over 130

    wast-cal over 121.5

    stm-sclar over 128

    idaho-haw over 126.5

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 5:54 AM ET #83

    Round 1 and 2

    twsn-hof under 133

    ncwil-ne over 139.5

    col-okl over 135

    tex-neb over 124

    miaoh-tol over 119.5

    utah-wyom under 149

    virg-nocar under 165

    dela-gast over 124.5

    appst-elcol over 138.5

    geor-socar under 144

    eky-jacst over 131.5

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    Round 1 and 2

    twsn-hof under 133

    ncwil-ne over 139.5

    col-okl over 135

    tex-neb over 124

    miaoh-tol over 119.5

    utah-wyom under 149

    virg-nocar under 165

    dela-gast over 124.5

    appst-elcol over 138.5

    geor-socar under 144

    eky-jacst over 131.5

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 5:59 AM ET #84

    Round 3

    colu-princ over 115

    charl-dav under 154.5

    nwest-iowa over 117.5

    citdl-wcar over 134.5

    oldom-drex over 120

    sam-woff over 120

    troy-flatl under 151

    xaver-duq under 152

    fsu-clem under 138

    man-loymd over 131.5

    cflr-ecar under 146.5

    but-wgsht over 112.5

    arkst-flint over 123.5

    bay-txtch under 159

    denv-arklr over 117.5

    wist-evans over 121

    nmexs-nev under 147.5

    tnma-tenst under 153.5

    arzst-orest over 118

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    Round 3

    colu-princ over 115

    charl-dav under 154.5

    nwest-iowa over 117.5

    citdl-wcar over 134.5

    oldom-drex over 120

    sam-woff over 120

    troy-flatl under 151

    xaver-duq under 152

    fsu-clem under 138

    man-loymd over 131.5

    cflr-ecar under 146.5

    but-wgsht over 112.5

    arkst-flint over 123.5

    bay-txtch under 159

    denv-arklr over 117.5

    wist-evans over 121

    nmexs-nev under 147.5

    tnma-tenst under 153.5

    arzst-orest over 118

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 6:03 AM ET #85

    Round 4

    sf-sd over 124

    mem-gonz under 140

    rice-hou under 140

    idst-nocol over 135

    loute-utst over 123

    airfc-sdst over 113

    noar-ewas over 127

    ucsb-ucirv over 127

    pep-lomar over 129.5

    pac-lbst over 130

    wast-cal over 121.5

    stm-sclar over 128

    idaho-haw over 126.5

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    Round 4

    sf-sd over 124

    mem-gonz under 140

    rice-hou under 140

    idst-nocol over 135

    loute-utst over 123

    airfc-sdst over 113

    noar-ewas over 127

    ucsb-ucirv over 127

    pep-lomar over 129.5

    pac-lbst over 130

    wast-cal over 121.5

    stm-sclar over 128

    idaho-haw over 126.5

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 6:04 AM ET #86

    NBA

    den-nj under 207

    chi-dal under 209

    det-mil over 184.5

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    NBA

    den-nj under 207

    chi-dal under 209

    det-mil over 184.5

     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 6:08 AM ET #87

    NCAAB 23-20
    NBA 2-1
     
    Overall: NCAAB 63-45 (58.3%)  NBA 19-14 (57.5%)
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    NCAAB 23-20
    NBA 2-1
     
    Overall: NCAAB 63-45 (58.3%)  NBA 19-14 (57.5%)
     
    rman1049
    rman1049
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    Posts: 278
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 7:51 AM ET #88

    Calin,
     
    Pretty decent results considering all those games!!
    If you come up with a possible filter to limit NCAA plays
    I think you will have it!!!!
    Thank you for your time!
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    Calin,
     
    Pretty decent results considering all those games!!
    If you come up with a possible filter to limit NCAA plays
    I think you will have it!!!!
    Thank you for your time!
     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 8:23 AM ET #89

    08.02.09
     
    NCAAB
    purd-ill over 121.5
    stl-rich over 123
    dayt-char over 127
     
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    08.02.09
     
    NCAAB
    purd-ill over 121.5
    stl-rich over 123
    dayt-char over 127
     
     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 9:16 AM ET #90

    08.02.09
     
    NBA
    sa-bos over 188
    cha-mia over 181
    ny-por under 211
    uta-gs under 224
    sac-okc under 216.5
     
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    08.02.09
     
    NBA
    sa-bos over 188
    cha-mia over 181
    ny-por under 211
    uta-gs under 224
    sac-okc under 216.5
     
     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posts: 2081
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 10:08 AM ET #91

    08.02.09
     
    NCAAB
    wgton-stan under 154.5
    indst-illst over 127
     
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    08.02.09
     
    NCAAB
    wgton-stan under 154.5
    indst-illst over 127
     
     
    jbrent95
    jbrent95
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    Posts: 63
    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 10:43 AM ET #92

    Calin,
     
    Why are you staying away from these games?
     
    StPet/Cani Over 121.5.     +8.6%
    Purd/Ill Over 121.5            +9%
    Dayton/Chal Over 127       +9.5%
    StLoui/Richm  Over 123    +11.1%
     
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    Calin,
     
    Why are you staying away from these games?
     
    StPet/Cani Over 121.5.     +8.6%
    Purd/Ill Over 121.5            +9%
    Dayton/Chal Over 127       +9.5%
    StLoui/Richm  Over 123    +11.1%
     
     
    calinreddog
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 11:20 AM ET #93

    Jbrent95, here's the deal:
    Last night I took 43 games where the difference was at least 5% compared to the total line and I went 23-20. That's 53.5%...
    The reality is there's no system that can pick daily over 60% winners. That's it!
    In the long term my records are getting more closer to 57%.
    There's no need for a spreadsheet and hours of work to get 23 out of 43.
    I decided that I should do something like that:
    Every day I compute the total expected for each game played and that's the average between the 4 numbers:
    Total Expected = (PF home + PA home + PF away + PA away) / 2
    That can be easily done using a minicalculator.
    I compare my list of expected totals with the total lines listed by the bookie and I pick five games that have the biggest differences. Normally I should hit 3 of 5. But with a little help from Lady Luck I might hit all 5 in one day.
    If there are a lot of games scheduled (like it was yesterday, I could've picked 9 games or 11, I don't know, but not more than 11).
    If there are fewer games scheduled I'll pick only 3 of them.
    That's it!
    Good luck!
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    Jbrent95, here's the deal:
    Last night I took 43 games where the difference was at least 5% compared to the total line and I went 23-20. That's 53.5%...
    The reality is there's no system that can pick daily over 60% winners. That's it!
    In the long term my records are getting more closer to 57%.
    There's no need for a spreadsheet and hours of work to get 23 out of 43.
    I decided that I should do something like that:
    Every day I compute the total expected for each game played and that's the average between the 4 numbers:
    Total Expected = (PF home + PA home + PF away + PA away) / 2
    That can be easily done using a minicalculator.
    I compare my list of expected totals with the total lines listed by the bookie and I pick five games that have the biggest differences. Normally I should hit 3 of 5. But with a little help from Lady Luck I might hit all 5 in one day.
    If there are a lot of games scheduled (like it was yesterday, I could've picked 9 games or 11, I don't know, but not more than 11).
    If there are fewer games scheduled I'll pick only 3 of them.
    That's it!
    Good luck!
     
    DiverRon
    DiverRon
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 11:46 AM ET #94

    On your 2 NBA OVERS today!
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    On your 2 NBA OVERS today!
     
    butta01
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 1:02 PM ET #95

    bol man.using your formula with mine and its good,just a lil tweaking left.
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    bol man.using your formula with mine and its good,just a lil tweaking left.
     
    lowkey252
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 2:01 PM ET #96

    calinreddog im liking knick umder and bobats over. do u consider these strong plays cause im thinking of teasing each for a 2team combo
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    calinreddog im liking knick umder and bobats over. do u consider these strong plays cause im thinking of teasing each for a 2team combo
     
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 2:13 PM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by lowkey252:

    calinreddog im liking knick umder and bobats over. do u consider these strong plays cause im thinking of teasing each for a 2team combo

    My friend I don't know how strong a play can be. To me they are all the same.

    Think this game we're playing is called GAMBLING.

    Depends on how you're perception about risk and reward, but at, let's say 57% chances / every single bet think what are the chances to win a double ( 32.49%).

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    Quote Originally Posted by lowkey252:

    calinreddog im liking knick umder and bobats over. do u consider these strong plays cause im thinking of teasing each for a 2team combo

    My friend I don't know how strong a play can be. To me they are all the same.

    Think this game we're playing is called GAMBLING.

    Depends on how you're perception about risk and reward, but at, let's say 57% chances / every single bet think what are the chances to win a double ( 32.49%).

     
    ColdBeerHere
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 6:15 PM ET #98

    What about a similar system for NHL overs / unders?

    wonder if that might work...

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    What about a similar system for NHL overs / unders?

    wonder if that might work...

     
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2009 - 6:56 PM ET #99

    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    What about a similar system for NHL overs / unders?

    wonder if that might work...

    Of course it works. It's just common sense and it applies to every sport.

    I use the same on soccer and I've got 15-4 the last 2 days. And I use it for hockey too. Tonight I picked only NAS-DAL over 5.5 but it's only 1st. Yesterday I picked PHI-BOS over 5.5.

    But for soccer and hockey I have to see first the odds. For example, nas-dal: I found the over at +109 in the morning and when I computed the average goals / game that was 5.99. That means there more chances for the over than for the under and at +109 it's a good bet. I don't know if they'll score tonight over 5.5 but if I'll bet 100 times the same bet be sure I'll be in profit.

    I try to avoid (hockey and soccer) games where the line is less than  -117.

    At an average of 5.68 / game the odds for over/under 5.5 are 1/2. That means that if you find a situation where the average total is 5.99 (nas-dal) at odds bigger than -125 you have a value bet.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    What about a similar system for NHL overs / unders?

    wonder if that might work...

    Of course it works. It's just common sense and it applies to every sport.

    I use the same on soccer and I've got 15-4 the last 2 days. And I use it for hockey too. Tonight I picked only NAS-DAL over 5.5 but it's only 1st. Yesterday I picked PHI-BOS over 5.5.

    But for soccer and hockey I have to see first the odds. For example, nas-dal: I found the over at +109 in the morning and when I computed the average goals / game that was 5.99. That means there more chances for the over than for the under and at +109 it's a good bet. I don't know if they'll score tonight over 5.5 but if I'll bet 100 times the same bet be sure I'll be in profit.

    I try to avoid (hockey and soccer) games where the line is less than  -117.

    At an average of 5.68 / game the odds for over/under 5.5 are 1/2. That means that if you find a situation where the average total is 5.99 (nas-dal) at odds bigger than -125 you have a value bet.

     

     
     
    calinreddog
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2009 - 3:19 AM ET #100

    NCAAB
    purd-ill over 121.5
    stl-rich over 123
    dayt-char over 127
    wgton-stan under 154.5
    indst-illst over 127
     
    NBA
    sa-bos over 188
    cha-mia over 181
    ny-por under 211
    uta-gs under 224
    sac-okc under 216.5
     
    NCAAB 4-1
    NBA 3-2
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    NCAAB
    purd-ill over 121.5
    stl-rich over 123
    dayt-char over 127
    wgton-stan under 154.5
    indst-illst over 127
     
    NBA
    sa-bos over 188
    cha-mia over 181
    ny-por under 211
    uta-gs under 224
    sac-okc under 216.5
     
    NCAAB 4-1
    NBA 3-2
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