IRAGE ODDS BUSTER STRATEGY

Yeah - that's what I was afraid of - and included that comment in my post.  It will defintely affect the results - but theoretically - it may filter out a a play here or there.....but a DOG on killer sports - should remain a DOG on Covers.   Unless there are a lot of instances where a team is a DOG on covers but a favorite on Killersports.

I could be wrong - who knows 

So again - take these results with a grain of salt - and can be used directionally but hyvong is right - killer sports does not have the same odds as covers - therefore will filter out plays that could have been potential wins.

BUT I did find this - according to killer sports the system performs poorly in 4 game series - check it out

NO INTERLEAGUE AND NO 4 GAME SERIES

SQDL Query

t:line >=-110 and o:line>=-110 and t:line > o:line and C and SGS <=3 and season = 2009

2009 SU: 82-86 (0.2 rpg) average line: +100 / -110 on / against: -$400 / -$420 ROI: -2.4% / -2.3%
2010 SU: 63-58 (0.2 rpg) average line: +100 / -110 on / against: +$500 / -$1,128 ROI: +4.1% / -8.5%
2011 SU: 76-59 (0.5 rpg) average line: -100 / -109 on / against: +$1,709 / -$2,423 ROI: +12.6% / -16.4%
2012 SU: 49-27 (0.5 rpg) average line: -101 / -109 on / against: +$2,173 / -$2,647 ROI: +28.3% / -31.9%

Also if you only bet the 3rd game OF a 4 game series - it yeilds positive results

SQDL Query

t:line >=-110 and o:line>=-110 and t:line > o:line and C and SG =3 and SGS = 4 and season = 2011

2012 SU: 4-1 (0.8 rpg) average line: -100 / -110 on / against: +$300 / -$338 ROI: +59.8% / -61.7%

An extra 3 units in 2010, extra 7 units in 2011 and 3 units in 2012.

Irage - is there any way you can backtest interleague and 4 game series results with your database?

I will have to create a field that calculates a 4 game series, but yes, I think I can do that.

We have a couple of potential games today. Slim pick'ins on these Interleague games.

Milwuakee vs Toronto will be a GO.

San Francisco v Angels will be a GO.

question regarding the filters and the plays today.  the odds for milw closed at -115 and tor closed at -105.

also Sf odds are -130 and LAA are +110.  These are according to Covers MLB Baseball Live odds & betting lines. 

with the exception of some occasions, should the max line for both teams be -110?   these plays passed the filters?

Why not tell us b4 the Yankees game started?

Remember, I just found this less than 30 days ago. I did back test it, but did not apply filters. It's got potential, but needs to be refined.

Giants baby, I told you Cain was good for a win. All I needed was Gaints to be able to hit and they did.

THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.

6/3 - Phillies - LOSS
6/3 - Brewers - LOSS
6/3 - Rangers - WIN
6/3 - Cardinals - LOSS
6/5 - Toronto - WIN
6/5 - Padres - WIN
6/8 - Washington - WIN
6/8 - Tampa Bay - WIN
6/10 - Cleveland - WIN
6/10 - Dodgers - WIN
6/12 - Oakland - WIN
6/12 - Philly - LOSS
6/13 - Boston v Miami - NO PLAY Weird Line Movements
6/13 - Brewers - LOSS
6/15 - Brewers - WIN
6/16 - Phillies - LOSS
6/18 - Brewers - WIN
6/18 - Giants - WIN

64% Winning Percentage

Potential Plays for 6/19

Cleveland

Pittsburgh

Good point! Remember when TOR was killin it in the Cactus Leagues...something like 18 wins in a row!!!