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MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

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Posted: #376
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Monday 5/20/13 results:

Dog EFF/RRL Score

YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

no plays................................(non qualifying)

Dog EFF/RRL results:

0-1, - 2 units

YTD 32-26, +26.52 units

All 2 units

<COL +100 ML LOSS | COL [-1.5] +175 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

System/RRL Plays results:

2-4, - 1.25 units

YTD 112-1123, +16.35 units

TB +135 ML  LOSS [System play SU]

OAK +115 ML  WIN  [System play SU]

NYM +140 ML LOSS 'cut' [non RRL qualifying]

<MIA +160ML WIN | MIA [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 4.7u

COL +100  LOSS

WAS +125 LOSS 'cut' [non RRL qualifying]

Yesterdays RRL results: System play, 1-0 WIN 4.7u Dog EFF play, 0-1 LOSS -2u
 
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Posted: #377

Yesterdays (5/20/13) MLB 'dog' results:

GP- 13

'dog' WINS- 5 (38.5%)

CHW +207 RRL  WIN

HOU +148 ML  WIN

OAK +202 RRL WIN

SD +205 RRL  WIN

MIA +235 RRL  WIN

 
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Posted: #378
The 2013 MLB season has an average of aprx 95 games played per week, aprx (29/33) 34% are won exclusively on 'dog' play alone. this figure fluctuates only in a positive manner over the past four seasons 33% / 45% per week consistently; the RRL dominates this statistic  with a 24% per week WIN ratio 4/1 connected to dog play wagering, bringing to the forefront a high value (ROI) , and a medium risk, handicapping platform.....
 
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Posted: #379

Tuesday 5/21 system plays:

Dog EFF Score

YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

Clev 120

NYY 100

Dog EFF

YTD 32-26, +26.52 units

All 2 units

Clev 120

NYY 100

AZ 110

System Plays

YTD 112-1123, +16.35 units

Clev 120

NYY 100

AZ 110

Tor 130

Oak 185

Hou 115

Cubs 130

Mets 100

Mil 120

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #380
Phillies - Marlins Under Bet or not?

 
Prospect
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Posted: #381
sorry i was wrong
 
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Posted: #382
Danrules, Try it again on Thursday.
 
Captain
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Posted: #383

Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Danrules, Try it again on Thursday.

 

 I'll have some time in the morning. Will be on a roadtrip most of the day.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #384
I'm adding ChiSox as a system play. They are currently at 100.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #385

Tuesday 5/21 system plays: (Revised odds and adding ChiSox)

Dog EFF Score

YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

Clev 125

NYY 105

Dog EFF

YTD 32-26, +26.52 units

All 2 units

Clev 125

NYY 105

AZ 110

System Plays

YTD 112-1123, +16.35 units

Clev 125

NYY 105

AZ 110

Tor 130

Oak 185

Hou 120

Cubs 140

Mets 100

Mil 120

ChiSox 100

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #386
Sorry to ask, i used the spreadsheet to get the selections.
When do you take a play for each System?
Because when i look in the srpeadsheet now, there are only

NYY. ChiWS, Hou, ChiCub, MYM, Mil and Ariz listed as qualified.

Sorry for my bad english.
 
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Posted: #387
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

Sorry to ask, i used the spreadsheet to get the selections.
When do you take a play for each System?
Because when i look in the srpeadsheet now, there are only

NYY. ChiWS, Hou, ChiCub, MYM, Mil and Ariz listed as qualified.

Sorry for my bad english.

I just ran a refresh on the odds and I have the same teams as I posted earlier.

Clev, Oak and Toronto should be under the Divisional Dog system.

The NYY and AZ also qualify for the Divisional dog along with the MLB Underdog system. Do you show NYY and AZ under the Div dog system?

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #388
No there was no entry in the div. dog section at all.... only entries were in the Q column, maybe i did something wrong
 
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Posted: #389
i recognized what went wrong. i live in germany and excel does not convert the covers data properly to use it in the spreadsheet. as standard date is written in european way: DD/MM/YYYY don't know how to solve this problem, but only wanted to inform you, that everything is ok with your spreadsheets,
 
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Posted: #390
Since Apr 29th 3g chases are 31-5...16.20u up based on Covers closing lines.   It does include a couple of plays that were dogs that went to fav just before the game started. Through games played May 19th.

Example of figuring units on a series won:
4/29 Min +213 for 1u (loss)
4/30 Min +233 for 2u (1u lost & 1u to win) (loss)
5/1 Min +201 for 4u (3u lost & 1u to win ) WIN!!  804 units won.
If Min had lost, it would have been 7u lost overall.


Chases start on the A game of a series and continue (if needed) to the B and C games, whether or not that B or C game is a play provided by DanRules.  It does not matter if the team is a fav or dog on a B or C game.

Losses are:
Oak v KC (May 6-8) (MLB Underdog System) 
Mil v Cin (May 10-12) (MLB Underdog System)
Sea v Cle (May 17-19) (Low Scoring/MLB UD Systems)
Tor v Nyy (May 17-18) (Division Underdog System) Game C PPD
Lad v Atl (May 17- 19) (MLB Underdog System)
*Lost 17.24u from these 3 teams!!
 
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Posted: #391

Tuesday 5/21 results

Dog EFF Score

0-2, -2 units

YTD 11-12, +1.44 units

Clev 125 Loss

NYY 105 Loss

Dog EFF

0-3, -6 units

YTD 32-29, +20.52 units

All 2 units

Clev 125 Loss

NYY 105 Loss

AZ 110 Loss

System Plays

3-7, -2.95 units

YTD 115-130, +13.40 units

Clev 125 Loss

NYY 105 Loss

AZ 110 Loss

Tor 130 Loss

Oak 185 Win

Hou 120 Loss

Cubs 140 Loss

Mets 100 Loss

Mil 120 Win

ChiSox 100 Win

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #392
If I'm not mistaken 12 out of 15 favorites covered yesterday - the dogs are going to be barking soon - when this happens we usually go 7-0 or something like that to even it out
 
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Posted: #393
[Quote: Originally Posted by Danrules24]

Tuesday 5/21/13 results

Dog EFF Score

0-2, -2 units

YTD 11-12, +1.44 units

CLE +125 ML  LOSS

NYY +105 ML  LOSS

Dog EFF/RRL results:

0-3, -6 units

YTD 32-29, +20.52 units

All 2 units

CLE +125 ML LOSS [non RRL qualifying]

<NYY +105 ML LOSS | NYY [-1.5] +175 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

<AZ +110 ML LOSS | AZ [-1.5] +182 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

System/RRL Plays results:

3-7, -2.95 units

YTD 115-130, +13.40 units

CLE +125 ML LOSS  'cut'

NYY +105 ML LOSS

AZ +110 ML LOSS 

TOR +130 ML LOSS  (SU)

OAK +185 ML  WIN  (SU)

HOU+120 ML LOSS  'cut'

Cubs +140 ML LOSS  'cut'

Mets +100 ML LOSS  'cut'

<MIL +120 ML WIN | MIL [-1.5] +195 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.9u

<CHW +100 ML WIN | CHW [-1.5] +172 RRL  WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.44u

[/Quote] Dog EEF/RRL  System/RRL  [2-2  +3.34u]
 
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Posted: #394

Wednesday 5/22 system plays

Plenty of early games so I'm posting as it is now. I could revise for afternoon/night games.

Dog EFF Score

YTD 11-12, +1.44 units

Clev 135

Dog EFF

YTD 32-29, +20.52 units

All 2 units

Balt 105

AZ 110

SD 100

System Plays

YTD 115-130, +13.40 units

Balt 105

AZ 110

SD 100

Oak 110

TB 105

ChiSox 125

Cincy 105

Mil 100

Cubs 115

 

 

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #395
Hi, I solved the problem with the miscaculated sheets. Just changed the region to U.S.

Just a short question to you all. When do you take the RRL for a game?
 
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Posted: #396
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

Hi, I solved the problem with the miscaculated sheets. Just changed the region to U.S.

Just a short question to you all. When do you take the RRL for a game?

SN is working on this right now.  He doesn't post the plays beforehand.  Personally, I look at the 3 Dog Eff (Overall, Using Odds, and >=2 (RRL) and the Dog Win Eff Scr, see how those numbers look, and then look at the oppenents FavWin Eff Scr and see how that fares.  I've been busy in my real life (lol) to really pay attention to that part right now.  I have picked a couple of winners and losers.  I also look at the pitchers too, don't forget them!
 
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Posted: #397

Wednesday 5/22 results: pretty bad dog slump lately.

Dog EFF Score

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 11-13, +.44 units

Clev 135 Loss

Dog EFF

1-2, -1.9 units

YTD 33-31, +18.62 units

All 2 units

Balt 105 WIN

AZ 110 Loss

SD 100 Loss

System Plays

2-7, - 4.9 units

YTD 117-137, +8.5 units

Balt 105 Win

AZ 110 Loss

SD 100 Loss

Oak 110 Loss

TB 105 Loss

ChiSox 125 Loss

Cincy 105 WIN

Mil 100 Loss

Cubs 115 Loss

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #398
Agreed - but we all know that can't hold up - most likely this weekend there will be a ton of dog wins that will kill the squares.
 
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Posted: #399

Thursday 5/23 plays: Had to post early, will be on the road for the next 9 hours.

Dog EFF Score

YTD 11-13, +.44 units

Balt 120

Minn 165

Dog EFF

YTD 33-31, +18.62 units

All 2 units

Balt 120

Clev 130

System Plays

YTD 117-137, +8.5 units

Balt 120

Clev 130

 

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
 
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Posted: #400
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Wednesday 5/22/13 results:

Dog EFF/RRL Score results: (no action)

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 11-13, +.44 units

CLE +135 ML LOSS [non RRL qualifying]

Dog EFF/RRL results: (1-1)

1-2, -1.9 units

YTD 33-31, +18.62 units

All 2 units

<BAL +105 ML WIN | BAL ¨-1.5] +175 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.5u

<AZ +110 ML LOSS | AZ [-1.5] +182 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

SD +100 ML LOSS [non RRL qualifying]

System Plays

2-7, - 4.9 units

YTD 117-137, +8.5 units

BAL +105 ML WIN  (SU)

AZ +110 ML LOSS  (SU)

SD +100 ML LOSS  (SU)

OAK +110 ML LOSS  (SU)

TB +105 ML LOSS  (SU)

CHW +125 LOSS  'cut'

Cincy +105 ML WIN (SU)

MIL +100 ML LOSS  'cut'

Cubs +115 ML LOSS  'cut'

  Dog EFF/RRL  results: 1-1 +1.5u
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