Thursday 5/9 system results
Dog EFF Score
0-1, -1 unit
YTD 5-4, +2.52 units
Philly 107 Loss
Dog EFF
2-1, +2.94 units
YTD 20-18, +13.78 units
Minn 141, 2 units WIN
Pitt 106, 2 units Loss
Atl 106, 2 units WIN
System Plays
3-4, -.48 units
YTD 86-87, +21.68 units
Clev 105 WIN
Colo 115 Loss
Minn 141 WIN
Pitt 106 Loss
Tor 133 Loss
Hou 138 Loss
Atl 106 WIN
For those that are interested - these plays for today have a decent DOG EFF score for RRL (reverse run line) - in other words of all the games that PIT were dogs they won by 2 or more .545 (54.5%) of the time. Therefore - there is quite a bit of value on betting PIT on the RRL
MIN - .455
PIT - .545
ATL - .625
(62.5%) Atlanta Braves +182 RRL WIN /SFG
(45.5%) Minnesota Twins +220 RRL WIN /BOS
it has now become excessively clear the dominant factor of the Dog EFF system is the production of the RRL [Dog-EFF/RRL] the results in this thread speak clearly for themselves
Thursday 5/9 system results
Dog EFF Score
0-1, -1 unit
YTD 5-4, +2.52 units
Philly 107 Loss
Dog EFF
2-1, +2.94 units
YTD 20-18, +13.78 units
Minn 141, 2 units WIN............RRL WIN
Pitt 106, 2 units Loss
Atl 106, 2 units WIN...............RRL WIN
System Plays
3-4, -.48 units
YTD 86-87, +21.68 units
Clev 105 WIN.........................RRL WIN
Colo 115 Loss
Minn 141 WIN........................RRL WIN
Pitt 106 Loss
Tor 133 Loss
Hou 138 Loss
Atl 106 WIN............................RRL WIN
I think that's a good idea. Although Hou should have won that game.
As far as incorporating the RRL, I think that's a good idea as SN suggested. I usually bet online through the Station casinos and they don't offer it online. On the odds site I use at Vegas Insider they don't show RRL. Anyone know where I can see these lines? If they are incorporated into the spreadsheet, I could grab them from there and post.
Friday 5/10 system plays (REVISED FOR LAA)
Dog EFF Score
YTD 5-4, +2.52 units
Atlanta 109
Dog EFF
YTD 20-18, +13.78 units
NYY 105, 2 units
Atl 109, 2 units
LAA 114, 2 units
System Plays
YTD 86-87, +21.68 units
NYY 105
Atl 109
Clev 174
Mil 130
NYM 102
Min 105
LAA 114
I think that's a good idea. Although Hou should have won that game.
As far as incorporating the RRL, I think that's a good idea as SN suggested. I usually bet online through the Station casinos and they don't offer it online. On the odds site I use at Vegas Insider they don't show RRL. Anyone know where I can see these lines? If they are incorporated into the spreadsheet, I could grab them from there and post.
[/Quote
Thanks Buckeye - leads me to believe that it is a browser issue - btw - I automated to buddah system for you to track - as soon as I can fix my google docs issues - I will upload it and you can track it for the season - you still down for that right?
btw two 'books' on-line that are exclusive to MLB wagering, and carry the RRL are> PinnacleSports, and 5dimes, they are listed under "Alternative Lines" if by chance anyone dealing with a book that does not accept RRL bets, this would be a red flag, that you really need to take your action elsewhere..the RRL is set aprx 4 hours after the opening line is posted to contain balance...all my action goes through LV I seldom use an online service for anything other than soccer, the RRL odds I have posted in this thread are the closing lines from CantorLV M Resort sportsbook....my best
btw two 'books' on-line that are exclusive to MLB wagering, and carry the RRL are> PinnacleSports, and 5dimes, they are listed under "Alternative Lines" if by chance anyone dealing with a book that does not accept RRL bets, this would be a red flag, that you really need to take your action elsewhere..the RRL is set aprx 4 hours after the opening line is posted to contain balance...all my action goes through LV I seldom use an online service for anything other than soccer, the RRL odds I have posted in this thread are the closing lines from CantorLV M Resort sportsbook....my best
I'm just glad I could help you for once Sports Network, you are always helping me - so i'm glad I was able to add some value to your handicapping process. It's like the saying goes "What gift do you give to a man that has everything" - LOL - you are defintely light years ahead of me when it comes to general capping knowledge.
I do have have a question though if you have the time - I will send it to you via PM.
Cheers
DG
Friday 5/10 results
Dog EFF Score
0-1, -1 unit
YTD 5-5, +1.52 units
Atlanta 109 Loss
Dog EFF
2-1, +2.38 units
YTD 22-19, +16.16 units
NYY 105, 2 units WIN
Atl 109, 2 units Loss
LAA 114, 2 units WIN
System Plays
2-5, -2.81 units
YTD 88-92, +18.87 units
NYY 105 WIN
Atl 109 Loss
Clev 174 Loss
Mil 130 Loss
NYM 102 Loss
Min 105 Loss
LAA 114 WIN
Saturday 5/11 system plays
Dog EFF Score
YTD 5-5, +1.52 units
No plays
Dog EFF
YTD 22-19, +16.16 units
Pitts 108, 2 units
System Plays
YTD 88-92, +18.87 units
Pitts 108
ChiSox 100
Minn 101
Atl/SF Under 7 -120
Mia/LAD Under 7 -120 (you could also get 6.5 +110)
very square day yesterday with favorites winning 11 out of 15 - and DOG EFF still was profitable, with the other 2 minor setbacks.
With the square day - you know what's coming - dogs gonna be barking.
DanRules - have you been able to gleen any insights from tracking? I am thinking there will be some combination of filters that will give us a huge ROI.
At first glance it looks like the more of the systems agree - the better the result
Thanks oilcountry for the kind words. Hopefully we can fine tune this and make it better for all.
Degen, yes so far the system plays seem to do better when they qualify for more than 1. Not a lot of plays though and a small sample size. I'll keep an eye on it and report findings every week or so time permitting.
I think SN is on to something with this RRL. I may have to open an account at Cantor just to bet it online since I cannot do so at Stations online app.
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