rm2673 ... Are you using the info from where ncsu said to get from ... Use that instead of the individual team stats .... copy/paste and whammo its there ....
OK Lets Break Down the FSU/NC game
I'm not claiming to be 100% correct but I think its pretty darn accurate to what roughdrod31 was showing at the beginning of this thread. Originally he didn't include HFA (home field adavantage) but we will from here.
Start with FSU (sos) strenght of schedule/saragin USA Today
FSU 77.68
NC 65.38 + 3.50(HFA)=69.08
Add 77.68+69.08=146.76 Divide by 2 to get AVE. 146.76/2=73.38
FSU 77.76 divided by 73.38 = 1.06 (1.059)
This number will be used to calculate FSU offense and NC YPPT
NC 69.08 divided by 73.78 = .94
Start with FSU (we'll round up) All numbers from statfox
RUSH PASS YPPT
FSU(off) 128(-8) 298(+86) 14.3(+1.5)
OPP DEF 136 212 15.8
NC(def) 113(-25) 125(-28) 16.8(-3.2)
OPP OFF 138 153 13.6
FSU Rushing 128+NCDEF 113= 241/2 AVE 120.5
AVE Between OPP (-8) - (-25)= -33/2 AVE -16.5
FSU RUSH 120.5 + (-16.5) = 104 x FSUsos 1.06= 110
FSU Passing 298+125=423/2 AVE 211.5
AVE Between OPP +86 - (-28) =58/2 AVE +29
FSU PASS 211.5 + 29 = 240.5 xFSUsos 1.06 =255
(the 255 is differant from my other post couldn't read my writing,sorry)
YPPT 14.3 + 16.8 =31.2/2 AVE 15.5
+1.5 - (-3.2) = -1.7
15.5+ -1.7 = 13.8 x NCsos .94 = 12.97
FSU 110 + 255 = 365 / 12.97 = 28.14
RUSH PASS YPPT
NC (off) 111(-42) 172(-8) 12.5(-.6)
OPP DEF AVE 153 180 11.9
FSU(def) 174(+5) 252(+36) 15.1(-2.1)
OPP OFF AVE 169 216 13.0
NC RUSH 111+174= 285/2 AVE 142.5
AVE Between OPP -42 - (+5) = -37/2 = (-18.5)
Total 142.5 +(-18.5) = 124 x NCsos.94=117
NC PASS 172 + 252 = 424/2 AVE 212
AVE Between OPP (-8) - (+36) = +28/2 = +14
Total 212 + 14 = 226 x NCsos .94 = 212
YPPT 12.5 + 15.1 = 27.6/2 = 13.8
( -.6) - (-2.1) = -2.7
13.8 + (-2.7) = 11.1 x FSUsos 1.06 = 11.77
NC 117 + 212 = 339/11.77 = 28.80
FSU 28.14 27
NC 28.80 30
Number seem pretty close to me NC ave. 29 at home and FSU ave 29 for the year
Was this not the exact score?? I'd say go with this method. :)
OK Lets Break Down the FSU/NC game
I'm not claiming to be 100% correct but I think its pretty darn accurate to what roughdrod31 was showing at the beginning of this thread. Originally he didn't include HFA (home field adavantage) but we will from here.
Start with FSU (sos) strenght of schedule/saragin USA Today
FSU 77.68
NC 65.38 + 3.50(HFA)=69.08
Add 77.68+69.08=146.76 Divide by 2 to get AVE. 146.76/2=73.38
FSU 77.76 divided by 73.38 = 1.06 (1.059)
This number will be used to calculate FSU offense and NC YPPT
NC 69.08 divided by 73.78 = .94
Start with FSU (we'll round up) All numbers from statfox
RUSH PASS YPPT
FSU(off) 128(-8) 298(+86) 14.3(+1.5)
OPP DEF 136 212 15.8
NC(def) 113(-25) 125(-28) 16.8(-3.2)
OPP OFF 138 153 13.6
FSU Rushing 128+NCDEF 113= 241/2 AVE 120.5
AVE Between OPP (-8) - (-25)= -33/2 AVE -16.5
FSU RUSH 120.5 + (-16.5) = 104 x FSUsos 1.06= 110
FSU Passing 298+125=423/2 AVE 211.5
AVE Between OPP +86 - (-28) =58/2 AVE +29
FSU PASS 211.5 + 29 = 240.5 xFSUsos 1.06 =255
(the 255 is differant from my other post couldn't read my writing,sorry)
YPPT 14.3 + 16.8 =31.2/2 AVE 15.5
+1.5 - (-3.2) = -1.7
15.5+ -1.7 = 13.8 x NCsos .94 = 12.97
FSU 110 + 255 = 365 / 12.97 = 28.14
RUSH PASS YPPT
NC (off) 111(-42) 172(-8) 12.5(-.6)
OPP DEF AVE 153 180 11.9
FSU(def) 174(+5) 252(+36) 15.1(-2.1)
OPP OFF AVE 169 216 13.0
NC RUSH 111+174= 285/2 AVE 142.5
AVE Between OPP -42 - (+5) = -37/2 = (-18.5)
Total 142.5 +(-18.5) = 124 x NCsos.94=117
NC PASS 172 + 252 = 424/2 AVE 212
AVE Between OPP (-8) - (+36) = +28/2 = +14
Total 212 + 14 = 226 x NCsos .94 = 212
YPPT 12.5 + 15.1 = 27.6/2 = 13.8
( -.6) - (-2.1) = -2.7
13.8 + (-2.7) = 11.1 x FSUsos 1.06 = 11.77
NC 117 + 212 = 339/11.77 = 28.80
FSU 28.14 27
NC 28.80 30
Number seem pretty close to me NC ave. 29 at home and FSU ave 29 for the year
Was this not the exact score?? I'd say go with this method. :)
Nevermind I found it. https://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl09.htm
Here it is for others that are looking
Also I am not familiar with Statfox but here is a good site that maintains stats.
https://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-matchups
I Teased the Other way and bought a half +17 UN 45 just thought this was stronger but don't let me change you mind. Either way Good Luck
Roughshod31 System Plays 10/24
UAB 17
Marshall (-7.0) 31
Georgia Tech 27
Virginia (+5.5) 28
Illinois 14
Purdue (-11.0) 37
Indiana (+5.0) 26
Northwestern 24
Maryland 24
Duke (-4.0) 42
Oklahoma St. 24
Baylor (+9.5) 26
N. Illinois (-11.0) 30
Miami OH 13
Kent St. 14
Ohio (-10.0) 31
Boston College 21
Notre Dame (-7.5) 35
Tennessee 10
Alabama (-14.0) 31
Wake Forest 21
Navy (+1.5) 31
Texas A&M 20
Texas Tech (-22.5) 56
Idaho (+15.5) 28
Nevada 31
Louisville 13
Cincinnati (-17.5) 42
Iowa (+1.5) 23
Michigan St. 17
Fresno St. (-24.0) 51
New Mexico St. 13
UNLV (-1.0) 35
New Mexico 24
GL
Established in 1995,
Keep up the good work
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