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NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus

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Posted: #201
And, just to be honest, when I say only problem, I mean a big problem. I've actually counted the progression of units with the tracking described above and it comes out to a total of 24.06 units won. Kinda sucks to be 64-3 and only up 24 units but that's the risk with playing chases.
 
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Posted: #202
interesting point elite....wonder what it would look like if you only played those teams with a .500 record or worse on the road for more than 4 games.
 
also, what are the cons of using decimal odds? i have checked out a few situations and it would take less of a wager to make 1 unit than using money line odds. wouldn't it be best to flip between the two depending on which is the better pla?
 
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Posted: #203
Play the big favs (-150 or more) on the regulation line or -1 line.  Yes you will end up pushing some of the -1 plays and losing some of the -.5 plays, but I believe with the juice being cut down so much you will come out much better in the end.
 
Also you should make those bigger favs a slight dog sometimes. 
 
 
 
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Posted: #204
CHECKING TO SEE IF THE CANUCKS ARE THE PLAY TONIGHT
 
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Posted: #205
No dimeclub, Canucks already won on this homestand.
 
Avalanche & Rangers tomorrow night.
 
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Posted: #206
THANKS, I ALSO THOUGHT CALGARY WAS A (B) PLAY AGAINST AHAHEIM
 
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by DIMECLUB:

THANKS, I ALSO THOUGHT CALGARY WAS A (B) PLAY AGAINST AHAHEIM

Yea, I think Calgary should be a play today. They lost thier 1st home series game on th 19th against Chicago. Today is the 2nd game.

Another game to consider is Ottawa .They are 3-10 Away, they start their 1st away game of a 8 game seires today against Phila

 
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Posted: #208
Thank you for the tip>  I'm also showing the rangers and rockies on game -1
 
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Posted: #209
We have several games to consider for the home chase today
December 23, 2008

Washington
NY Rangers          don't know the line but take the Rangers

Phoenix
Colorado -140

Nashville
Florida -122

Anaheim
Calgary -156

Good luck

 
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Posted: #210
Expert, I'm with you on the first 3, but how/why is Florida a play? 
 
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Posted: #211
Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

Expert, I'm with you on the first 3, but how/why is Florida a play? 


Because he chose to fade them when they played against Colorado. The Panthers do have a losing home record so gotta be careful when playing them.
 
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Posted: #212

Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:



Because he chose to fade them when they played against Colorado. The Panthers do have a losing home record so gotta be careful when playing them.

I understand that he was fading them in game 1, but since the Panthers won, why not fade them again in game 2?  Why switch to playing on them instead of against them?   

I'm not being critical, I'm just trying to understand.  Hope it works out for you. 

I got lucky and accidentally played on Florida to win in game 1 and they did, obviously I'm not playing their game tonight. 

 
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Posted: #213
Oh I see, well I just checked and Florida actually does have a WINNING home record of 7-6 and since Nashville is 7-11 away, perhaps it is wise to choose Florida instead of fading them.

What I do know for sure is that expert is not sticking to strict rules about fading teams. It's a mix of handicapping and system strategy so yes, even though Florida is in the bottom 10 home teams, they are worth a shot.

Hope this helped clear it up .
 
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Posted: #214
Thanks elithe!
 
The Rangers just blew a 4-0 lead.  4-4 now in the 3rd.
 
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Posted: #215
Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

Thanks elithe!
 
The Rangers just blew a 4-0 lead.  4-4 now in the 3rd.


Damn, they blew the whole game away, what a team of punks. At home to top it all off.

Nice call with Florida tonight expert. They were clearly the better team .
 
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Posted: #216
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:




Washington
NY Rangers  -155         (damn chokers)

Phoenix
Colorado -140       

Nashville
Florida -122         

Anaheim
Calgary -156          

Good luck



Wow, what a nice way to finish off before taking a 2 day break Very solid work here expert with Florida. I'll take a 3 - 1 night anytime.

record now stands at  60 - 1 (chasing the rangers)

Cheers to all for the holidays .

 
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Posted: #217
Thanks Eli, I try my best into handicapping those teams sometimes it can be a challenge. But I want to wish everybody a MERRY CHRISTMAS  to everyone and be good because Santa is watching hehehehe
 
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Posted: #218
Merry Xmas and Happy New Year to everyone! This is a awesome thread! I never saw anything with 60-1 record. Thanks to everyone involved with their help and a special thanks to "expertcapper" for all his EXCELLENT work, and time spent to make this particular thread the BEST, for all of us!
 
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Posted: #219
Thanks ketut  it just don't take one person it takes everybodies input on handicapping and expressing there opinions.
We have a home chase tonight Edmonton/Vancouver

December 26
Edmonton
Vancouver -148     hit this  Edmonton 1-5 in Vancouver
Favorite is 6-1 last 7 meetings
Good Luck
                              Happy Holidays
 
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Posted: #220

Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

Thanks ketut  it just don't take one person it takes everybodies input on handicapping and expressing there opinions.
We have a home chase tonight Edmonton/Vancouver

December 26
Edmonton
Vancouver -148     hit this  Edmonton 1-5 in Vancouver
Favorite is 6-1 last 7 meetings

So the play is Vancouver, is this correct?
Good Luck
                              Happy Holidays

 
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Posted: #221
Ketut - Correct. They are starting a home stand and are clearly the best team in this situation. In fact, Edmonton has not won two games in a row for a while. Let's hope the trend continues.

To know who the play is, just look at which team has their odds beside them in expert's posts.
 
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Posted: #222
[Quote: Originally Posted by elithepunk] Ketut - Correct. They are starting a home stand and are clearly the best team in this situation. In fact, Edmonton has not won two games in a row for a while. Let's hope the trend continues.

To know who the play is, just look at which team has their odds beside them in expert's posts.

[/Quote           

Thanks

 
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Posted: #223
Let's go Canucks!!!
 
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Posted: #224
hey guys and gals, just saw this forum today, 60-1 very impressive record, im also gonna start using this method. i will take your advice and try to give my own analysis as well. good luck everyone!
 
 
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Posted: #225
Today


Boston -148
Carolina

NJ
NY R -135

Anaheim
Dallas -125

SJ play the -0.5 puck line
St  Louis

LA
Phoenix -152

Good luck

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