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NHL Opening Game Favorite 94-1 in 2009

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Posted: #426
NYR +105 now @ 5dimes 
 
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Posted: #427
FLA -150






 
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Posted: #428
Home dogs do not qualify - correct?  ...so rangers are not a play
 
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Posted: #429
NYR are a play no matter what... the determination is on GAME A of the chase....
 
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Posted: #430
FLA not a play? depending on closing line... here its listed at -136
 
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Posted: #431
Tomorrow Nov 1st   DETROIT -190!!!     4 game skid playing MINNE
 
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Posted: #432

Hey guys, just checking in!  The NYR got a nice G3 win tonight at + odds

The odds for game 2 and 3 do not matter.  The chase is just triggered by the first game of the homestand's odds.  I only tested this against the closing line on covers, so games like FLA tonight technically fall outside of this range but the premise behind this was always who the odds makers think is the better team, sometimes if I see a high percentage on the underdog driving the line down I will still initiate the chase.  Would just highly recommend that everyone uses labby for MM here as it could get volatile.  This backtested pretty well, but had around 4 losses or so last year with a couple pretty close together.

Glad to see this is still going on even though I don't have time to post the plays anymore.  Good work Spoutbec

 
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Posted: #433
fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck we lose florida with 17 secs left in 3rd
 
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Posted: #434

Hey Rizz, thanks

I'll keep doing my best, but I encourage anyone to post plays on here that qualify, especially if I miss some, which will probably happen more than once.

NYR +105

system so far this year: 

10-0

A games = 5-5

B games = 4-1

C games = 1-0

losses =

tomorrow 2 homestands begin: Carolina and Detroit, check odds close to game time.

 
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Posted: #435
Any plays tonite?
 
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Posted: #436
Detroit -200   7:30 PM start
 
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Posted: #437
FUUK det
 
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Posted: #438
system suks azz
 
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Posted: #439
When are we gonna win an A game. Fuckin A. I had a feeling with 80 percent of detroit they would lose... Goood no call refs on the elbow on kronwall before they scored the winning goal
 
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Posted: #440
Yeah, some A games would be nice.  It'll come.  Anyway, doesn't look like any games tomorrow.  DET B game on Thursday and I'll check later to see when the next qualifying homestand starts.
 
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Posted: #441
Question: Detroit has 4 more home games. If they win Thursday and they -145 fav on friday do we play again?
 
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Posted: #442
For Thursday: DET B bet
                      FLO B bet (if you played them on the 31st, I see       closing line -136 Covers, -150 scoresandodds.com on the 31st)

I believe that San Jose and Phoe start 3 gm home stands on Thursday. Check odds
 
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Posted: #443
anything for WEDS?
 
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Posted: #444
[Quote: Originally Posted by slc5610] anything for WEDS?
[/Quote

No.  The odds are too low even if there were on a 3 game homestand
 
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Posted: #445
November Home Stands

1-Nov3-Nov4-Nov5-Nov7-Nov8-Nov9-Nov10-Nov12-Nov13-Nov14-Nov15-Nov17-Nov18-Nov19-Nov21-Nov23-Nov25-Nov26-NovLA Kings28-Nov29-Nov
Detroit
Phoenix
San Jose
Ottawa
New Jersey
Boston
LA Kings
St. Louis Blues
Anaheim
Columbus
Nashville
Vancouver
Winnipeg
NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
Minnesota
Colorado
Florida
Dallas
Pittsburgh
Washington
Phoenix
Anaheim
Buffalo
Edmonton
Carolina
Vancouver
Washington
Winnipeg
 
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Posted: #446
gm 2 DET and FLA
 
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Posted: #447
I agree B-game on Detroit

I didn't play Florida for A game - They closed at -136

San Jose might be an A-game at 10:30 - open -145
 
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Posted: #448

That's a good question roguewager about Det.  It might not be a bad idea to try, but I think therizz only backtested from the beginning of a homestand.  Maybe if he checks in again soon he can clarify.  If Detroit wins I'm going to quit chasing and look to the next series.

DET -180 B

*SJ -145 A

* - odds are borderline, check close to gametime to see if it qualifies.

 
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Posted: #449
                       
Detroit  Nov 3
Phoenix 3
San Jose 3
Ottawa 4
New Jersey 5
Boston 7
LA Kings 8
St. Louis Blues8
Anaheim9
Columbus10
Nashville12
Vancouver13
Winnipeg14
NY Islanders15
Tampa Bay17
Minnesota17
Colorado18
Florida19
Dallas19
Pittsburgh21
Washington21
Phoenix23
Anaheim25
Buffalo26
Edmonton28
Carolina29
Vancouver29
Washington29
Winnipeg29
 
 
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Posted: #450
Thanks Skew8 . I just realigned the dates
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