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NHL OVER/UNDER TEST STRATEGY

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Posted: #76
YESTERDAY was another winner.
1/13 - Anaheim 2.29 v Edmonton 2.43 (6) UNDER 5.5 - WIN

Looking for some more wins today.
1/14 - New Jersey 2.45 v Winnipeg 2.23 (12) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Colorado 2.14 v Dallas 2.54 (5) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING
 
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Posted: #77
thanks irage ,are those 2 games the only ones for today? im asking becouse im going  to have and NFL playoff party at home ,so im going to be kind of busy later , sorry to bother you
 
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Posted: #78
Looking for some more wins today.
1/14 - New Jersey 2.45 v Winnipeg 2.23 (12) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Colorado 2.14 v Dallas 2.54 (5) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Rangers 1.89 v Toronto 2.91 (33) OVER5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Ottawa 2.00 v Montreal 2.45 (30) OVER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Buffalo 2.46 v Islanders 2.45 (3) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Los Angeles 1.98 v Calgary 2.42 (12) UNDER 5 - PENDING

Technically......
1/14 - Minnesota .085 v St. Louis 1.68 (34) OVER 5

This should be a play, but my filter of a combined GAA of less than 2.5 rules it out.
 
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Posted: #79
You're good rage!!!!!!! Keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #80
2 - 0  is a nice way to start.

1/14 - New Jersey 2.45 v Winnipeg 2.23 (12) UNDER 5.5 - WIN
1/14 - Colorado 2.14 v Dallas 2.54 (5) UNDER 5.5 - WIN
1/14 - Rangers 1.89 v Toronto 2.91 (33) OVER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Ottawa 2.00 v Montreal 2.45 (30) OVER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Buffalo 2.46 v Islanders 2.45 (3) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING
1/14 - Los Angeles 1.98 v Calgary 2.42 (12) UNDER 5 - PENDING
 
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Posted: #81
Hey Guys I could some help. I am trying to parse all NHL games, but I am having a hard time getting into my database. This means that I have to manually enter in all the data. I keep track of every game which helps me analyze games. I spent a lot of time getting data entered in and adding new reports.

If you guys can help me collect the plays each day it would really help me out. This is what I need.....

Date - Away Team Name - Away GAA - Home Team Name - Home GAA - RPI Difference - O/U line. It should look like this.

1/14 - New Jersey 2.45 v Winnipeg 2.23 (12) 5.5

I am doing the same thing for MLB this year too. I hope to have the parsing figured out by then, so I don't have to do this manually.

 
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Posted: #82
Today, is the last day I am going to take OVERS. Overs I can seem to dial in on, so until I find something that consistently works I am dropping them.

1/15 - Carolina 3.09 v Washington 2.57 (34) OVER 5.5 - PENDING
 
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Posted: #83

Hey Irage...   been keeping an eye on your total NHL thread.

I just started something today, dont know if it will continue...

 

I like EDM/LAK under 5; PIT/TB under 5.5; LA kings to win; and ANA/VAN OVER     

 

GL on the Carolina ...    I have the total at almost 6 so hopefully a 3-3 time with OT will put this over.

 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Hey Irage...   been keeping an eye on your total NHL thread.

I just started something today, dont know if it will continue...

 

I like EDM/LAK under 5; PIT/TB under 5.5; LA kings to win; and ANA/VAN OVER     

 

GL on the Carolina ...    I have the total at almost 6 so hopefully a 3-3 time with OT will put this over.



Last couple of days have really sucked. Looks like you did pretty good today.
 
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Posted: #85
You are so right rage about the last couple of days being so bad.
 
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Posted: #86
Actually went 5-3 but still work in progress. Montreal was the big play don't know why I didn't include that. The other biggie was the kings under. Plays are listed on my league contest for proof.

Today:
Phx ***
Bos/Fla under ***
Bos
DET
Stl/Dal over
 
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Posted: #87
Phx***
Ott
Bos/Fla under**
Bos
Det
Det/Buf under
Stl
Stl/Dal over
 
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Posted: #88

NICE, roll with it.

I don't think I am going to post anymore picks. I think the system has some merit, but until I can stay above 70% it's not worth it.

I hope to have my program ready by Spring time. Then everyone can just download it. It would be better to have an online DB that way we could collect everything in one spot.

 
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Posted: #89

OK, so maybe a few more.

1/16 - Buffalo 2.49 v Detroit 2.04 (45) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING

This game already started but I would have played it like this. It's already looking like a bust. This is my old method

1/16 - Colorado 2.07 v Phoenix 1.67 (5) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING

 
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Posted: #90
1/16 - Buffalo 2.49 v Detroit 2.04 (45) UNDER 5.5 - WIN

Holy shit, I don't what your doing, but keep it up.

Phx*** - WIN
Ott - LOSS
Bos/Fla under** - WIN
Bos - WIN
Det - WIN
Det/Buf under - WIN
Stl - WIN
Stl/Dal over - LOSS
 
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Posted: #91
ups,,, i missed your plays irage I JUST GOT HOME

great the unders are working i love nhl unders

keep posting your under plays
 
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Posted: #92

11-5 in 2 days...   I will track this for 7 days here too...

  1. Philly
  2. Philly under (lean 3-2 game)
  3. Columbus
  4. Columbus under
  5. Ott/Tor OVER *
  6. NJ *
  7. NJ/WIN under *
  8. NAS*
  9. BOS/TB OVER **
  10. VAN**
  11. SJ**

Lotta plays lotta games.

 
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Posted: #93

I know this is late and the game just started, but I was busy with work today. This is the pick I would have done.

1/17 - Winnipeg 1.92 v New Jersey 2.45 (46) UNDER 5.5 - PENDING

 
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Posted: #94
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

11-5 in 2 days...   I will track this for 7 days here too...

  1. Philly
  2. Philly under (lean 3-2 game)
  3. Columbus
  4. Columbus under
  5. Ott/Tor OVER *
  6. NJ *
  7. NJ/WIN under *
  8. NAS*
  9. BOS/TB OVER **need to tie or an empty netter and we are good
  10. VAN**
  11. SJ**

Tried to push to many games today.  The Philly and Columbus totals were more leans than plays but oh well.

Totals arent panning out today...     I really liked the TOR/OTT and BOS/TB lines....    

 
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Posted: #95
Keep trying glefkb01, I have found one thing, the more games you have, the less likely you will have a winning night.

I found another trend tonight that is 3 - 0 in the last 4 days.
 
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Posted: #96
No picks tonight.
 
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Posted: #97

OK, this play will be for 4 - 0 using my new filter. I am betting 500.00 on this game.

1/19 - Minnesota v Toronto (2.07) OVER 5.5 - PENDING

This play is just short of where I would like. If the line was 5.5 I would for sure take it.

1/19 - Calagary v Los Anageles (.44) UNDER 5 - PENDING

 
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Posted: #98
irage do you know if there is a site to search previous rpi rankings or do you know how rpi is calculated?
 
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Posted: #99
https://espn.go.com/nhl/stats/rpi

2.07 maybe a little high. This game should have gone over, but the lack of scoring by the WILD prevented the over. It was close.

1/19 - Minnesota v Toronto (2.07) OVER 5.5 - LOSS

When the RPI difference is between .44 and .55 I get a success rate of 79%.

1/19 - Calagary v Los Anageles (.44) UNDER 5 - WIN



 
 
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Posted: #100
OK guys, these two are right in my sweet spot.

1/20 - Washington v Carolina (.48) Under 5.5 - PENDING
1/20 - Tampa Bay v Dallas (.55) Under 5.5 - PENDING
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