I think I figured out why 2008 was a bad year for this strategy - because of the differences between the average goals scored per game and the average over/under line were much bigger than in other years. Historic:
I think even though 52%+ of games go under during the past few years defies gambling logic where it should average 50% over time as in other sports, it 52% should continue because vegas has tried to adjust over/unders lower, but it doesnt seem to work.
Very nice work with the stats!
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Quote Originally Posted by k-murder:
I think I figured out why 2008 was a bad year for this strategy - because of the differences between the average goals scored per game and the average over/under line were much bigger than in other years. Historic:
I think even though 52%+ of games go under during the past few years defies gambling logic where it should average 50% over time as in other sports, it 52% should continue because vegas has tried to adjust over/unders lower, but it doesnt seem to work.
Trying to be funny. I know its a chase.....my guy collects on Tuesday and I have to make some back before then. Didn't want to chance it on NFL even though I woulda shoulda coulda won on KC AND MINN. What's the plays today?
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Trying to be funny. I know its a chase.....my guy collects on Tuesday and I have to make some back before then. Didn't want to chance it on NFL even though I woulda shoulda coulda won on KC AND MINN. What's the plays today?
its a long season, philly plays montreal on wednesday in there E game, and the leafs play on thursday against the rangers, im not worried, we will get it back
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its a long season, philly plays montreal on wednesday in there E game, and the leafs play on thursday against the rangers, im not worried, we will get it back
Lesson learned, when Gus is in nets, I'm going to pass on the game and just wait for the next to continue chase. Hes been awful. Only true reason I believe Toronto is at E, last three Leaf system losses came from him in nets...
As for Philly, not sure what's happening here. Bryz hasn't been good this season.
Still confident we'll wrap up these series this week! Let's do this fellas!
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Lesson learned, when Gus is in nets, I'm going to pass on the game and just wait for the next to continue chase. Hes been awful. Only true reason I believe Toronto is at E, last three Leaf system losses came from him in nets...
As for Philly, not sure what's happening here. Bryz hasn't been good this season.
Still confident we'll wrap up these series this week! Let's do this fellas!
Chasing strategies can be very good but also very dangerous when you chase for more than 3 games. Any idea what kind of record previous seasons would have yielded playing these in just a 2 or 3 game chase?
GL!
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RW,
Chasing strategies can be very good but also very dangerous when you chase for more than 3 games. Any idea what kind of record previous seasons would have yielded playing these in just a 2 or 3 game chase?
Question: How are you choosing the teams to chase? I noticed a few of those you are chasing are near top of the PPG stats list. I thought one might have been focusing more on teams with lower PPG? Not knocking the system, looks great, but just curious that's all.
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Question: How are you choosing the teams to chase? I noticed a few of those you are chasing are near top of the PPG stats list. I thought one might have been focusing more on teams with lower PPG? Not knocking the system, looks great, but just curious that's all.
Question: How are you choosing the teams to chase? I noticed a few of those you are chasing are near top of the PPG stats list. I thought one might have been focusing more on teams with lower PPG? Not knocking the system, looks great, but just curious that's all.
A team is chosen for the system if they have a game that goes into OT/SO.
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Quote Originally Posted by Trigg:
Question: How are you choosing the teams to chase? I noticed a few of those you are chasing are near top of the PPG stats list. I thought one might have been focusing more on teams with lower PPG? Not knocking the system, looks great, but just curious that's all.
A team is chosen for the system if they have a game that goes into OT/SO.
Im pretty much a rook here to these systems and the terminology...but i really cant figure out why the system is 38-0....i see the profit...but i dont understand why you say its 38-0
help a guy out!
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Im pretty much a rook here to these systems and the terminology...but i really cant figure out why the system is 38-0....i see the profit...but i dont understand why you say its 38-0
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