go to the matchups and select a game. About half way down at the bottom of the team statistics section you'll see :Average power rating of opponents played: PORTLAND 68.5, GONZAGA 70.7
In this case, the power rating is within 3 points of each other. So you can say they've had similar strength of schedules = no adjustment. If on the other hand gonzaga's power rating of opp played was 73, then they would have a power rating 5 points better than portland, so I'd add 5 points for the Zags to adjust the calculation.
Yes it did, thanks. It's been raining here all day, so no work for me today been capping these games since noon. I went 3-0 today using your system. I also did a 1st half over play with the cavs. I'm 8-3 the past two days using your system. Many thanks and GL.
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Quote Originally Posted by sergio1994:
go to the matchups and select a game. About half way down at the bottom of the team statistics section you'll see :Average power rating of opponents played: PORTLAND 68.5, GONZAGA 70.7
In this case, the power rating is within 3 points of each other. So you can say they've had similar strength of schedules = no adjustment. If on the other hand gonzaga's power rating of opp played was 73, then they would have a power rating 5 points better than portland, so I'd add 5 points for the Zags to adjust the calculation.
Yes it did, thanks. It's been raining here all day, so no work for me today been capping these games since noon. I went 3-0 today using your system. I also did a 1st half over play with the cavs. I'm 8-3 the past two days using your system. Many thanks and GL.
I am going to change my system to pick the totals with the largest margin...no point in playing ten games like I wanted to.
POUNDING AIR FORCE OVER 118
asking any game involving AF to go over is trouble i tend to stay away from these extreme lines such as less than 120 or more than 160 as these usually involve 2 similarly styled teams where the value is not so good.
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Quote Originally Posted by justfademe:
I am going to change my system to pick the totals with the largest margin...no point in playing ten games like I wanted to.
POUNDING AIR FORCE OVER 118
asking any game involving AF to go over is trouble i tend to stay away from these extreme lines such as less than 120 or more than 160 as these usually involve 2 similarly styled teams where the value is not so good.
Really like the system...Have you ever tried to add some things to the equations such as home court advantage or any other possible idea to fine tune it somewhat...like the yppt systems in football. This way it could be applied to get a better grip on some of the games that are not such big dogs...Any input would be appreciated....I love using stats and #s when capping and this is some excellent work youve done.
thanks again
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Really like the system...Have you ever tried to add some things to the equations such as home court advantage or any other possible idea to fine tune it somewhat...like the yppt systems in football. This way it could be applied to get a better grip on some of the games that are not such big dogs...Any input would be appreciated....I love using stats and #s when capping and this is some excellent work youve done.
Really like the system...Have you ever tried to add some things to the equations such as home court advantage or any other possible idea to fine tune it somewhat...like the yppt systems in football. This way it could be applied to get a better grip on some of the games that are not such big dogs...Any input would be appreciated....I love using stats and #s when capping and this is some excellent work youve done.
thanks again
the home court is already accounted for in the calculations. i did recently stopped using the overall #'s and started using conf games instead. I think we get better, more recent data using conf games. i still adjust the lines based on schedule strength, but the big differences found earlier in the season aren't as wide as they were. If you're looking at some faves to back, I would look at those games were i designate "np" as a play against the ppg value due to the losing ways of the dog. Take a look at Canisius vs MArist on Friday. My ppg says play Marist +15, but they are 1-23 SU and more importantly have a losing 7-8 ats record. unless the fave also has losing ats record, i think the fave is worth a consideration in these games.
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Quote Originally Posted by CashPeters:
Really like the system...Have you ever tried to add some things to the equations such as home court advantage or any other possible idea to fine tune it somewhat...like the yppt systems in football. This way it could be applied to get a better grip on some of the games that are not such big dogs...Any input would be appreciated....I love using stats and #s when capping and this is some excellent work youve done.
thanks again
the home court is already accounted for in the calculations. i did recently stopped using the overall #'s and started using conf games instead. I think we get better, more recent data using conf games. i still adjust the lines based on schedule strength, but the big differences found earlier in the season aren't as wide as they were. If you're looking at some faves to back, I would look at those games were i designate "np" as a play against the ppg value due to the losing ways of the dog. Take a look at Canisius vs MArist on Friday. My ppg says play Marist +15, but they are 1-23 SU and more importantly have a losing 7-8 ats record. unless the fave also has losing ats record, i think the fave is worth a consideration in these games.
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i tend to stay away from these extreme lines such as less than 120 or more than 160 as these usually involve 2 similarly styled teams where the value is not so good. 
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