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ppg system

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Posted: #226
thank you SERGIO
 
Prospect
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Posted: #227
Still wish I could figure out the math and then what numbers you are using.

But BOL!
 
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Posted: #228
what does the offsetting in parenthesis mean by some of the picks
 
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Posted: #229
Quote Originally Posted by CashPeters:

what does the offsetting in parenthesis mean by some of the picks


off setting losing ats records = both teams have losing ats records
 
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Posted: #230

Sergio, this is some amazing stuff.

Do you play all the games that you designate as a play or do you limit them down because right now i beilieve you have around 15 plays if i am correct?

 
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Posted: #231
Quote Originally Posted by cohen59:

Sergio, this is some amazing stuff.

Do you play all the games that you designate as a play or do you limit them down because right now i beilieve you have around 15 plays if i am correct?

 

no - usually there is a reason for the line being "off" such as injuries or pace of play or similar offensive/defensive styles between 2 teams. nova and providence has a total of 174 with an added value of over 10 points. the total is so high because both teams can score and neither team defends. yesterday we had princeton and dartmouth (i think) and the total was at 108 with a value of more than 10 points as well. again, this is so low because both teams have bad offenses and good defenses. both ends of the totals extreme are not worth playing based on ppg. much like playing against the spread of ats teams that have losing ats records, i would also play against the ppg total more often than not for these extreme totals (<120 or >160)

this ppg list should be used as a REFERENCE ONLY. I played all games for a stretch of weeks this season and got hammered. I'm doing better since I've taken a closer look at the games and eliminated plays. Remember, there's no value if there are recent injuries or similar styles/strengths of plays that 2 teams play.

 

 
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Posted: #232

7:00

ne 63

wm 61 +2/+1

124/122

lbst 68

uc sb 71 -3 = 68 pk/-4

dart 56.5

yale 66 -9.5

122.5

col 64

penn 63.5 +4 = 67.5 -3.5/

harv 67

brown 62 +5/

129/

wi gb 62

wgt 67 -5/-12.5 = play w gb +13

129/12

mem 66

tul 69 -3/-2.5

135/132

hof 69

uncw 64 +5/+1

133/138

valpo 72

young 72 pk/-7 = play valpo +7

144/146

aub 69

miss st 73 -4/-13 = play uab +13 (winning road, L5 and conf ats record)

142/144

w ky 72

ark lr 69 -4=65 +7/+6

8:00

fl int 69

troy 75.5 -6.5/-12.5 = play fl int +13.5

144.5/150.5 = play under 151.5

 
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Posted: #233

or st 63

az 66 +6 = 72 -9/-9

wash 71.5

stan 73 -1.5/+3.5 = play stanford ++4.5

144.5/152.5 = play under 152.5

den 65

n tx 69 -4/-5

134/131.5

la laf 69

s al 66.5 +2.5/+1.5

135.5/136

marsh 70

uab 69 +1/-4 = play marshall +5

139/146 = play under 146

il ch 64

loy il 68 -4/-6.5

132/127

cal poly slo 64

uc river 68 -4/-6

132/128

iowa st 67

k st 79 -12/-21 = np

146/148

uva 64.5

vt 68 -3.5/-6.5

132.5/127.5

gt 70

wf 71 -1/-3.5 \

141/144

sfl 69

marq 75 -6/-9

144/135.5 = play over 135.5
 
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Posted: #234

SUNDAY

 

dep 68

sh 73 -5/-13.5 = play dep +13.5

141/137

lou 69

cuse 74 -5/-9

143/150.5 = play under 150.5

oh st 66

ill 67 -1/-1

133/137

lasalle 71.5

duq 71 +.5/-4

142.5/142

oh 67

akr 70 -3/-7

137/138

mi oh 62

bg 61.5 -4 = 57.5 +4.5/pk

w mich 67

e mich 68 -3=65 +2/-2

gtown 73.5

rut 69 -4=65 +8.5/+11

stj 73

mass 75 -2/-4

148/153

tol 58

c mich 67-3=64 -6/-14 = np

minn 66

nw 69 -3/pk

135/134

stj 69

nd 74 -5 =69 pk/-5

bc 67

fsu 71 -4/-8

138/133

mizzu 66

wich 69 -3/-7

135/133

ucla 61

usc 65 -4/-7.5

126/116 = play under 116

loy md 63

iona 66 -3/-7

129/124.5

siena 70

can 66 +4/+8

136/141

marist 61.5

nia 71 -9.5/-20 = play marist +20 (offsetting)

132.5/134

mont 74.5

e wash 69 +5.5/+7.5

143/134 = play over 134

 
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Posted: #235

shouldnt the usc/ucla pick be for the over? just double checking.

 

Nice run today

keep it up

 
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Posted: #236
Quote Originally Posted by CashPeters:

shouldnt the usc/ucla pick be for the over? just double checking.

 

Nice run today

keep it up



yes - but for me it's either a no play or play against the ppg play since this is one of those matchups where the defenses surpass the offenses.
 
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Posted: #237
I understand.  thanks for the clarification
 
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Posted: #238
thank you you da man
 
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Posted: #239

MONDAY

conn 70.5

nova 78 -7.5/-09.5

148.5/157 = play under 157

young 67

w milw 72 -5/-10

139/137

la mon 64

ark st 70 -6/-8

134/136

haw 69

nm st 76 -7/-11.5

145/145

ka 72

tx am 70 +2/+7.5

142/141

w car 72

uncg 69 +3 = 72 pk/+7 = play uncg +7

fair 67

man 66 +1/+1

133/132

rider 65

st peters 68 -3/-4

133/128

jax st 69

ap 72 +3 = 75 -6/-8

tn tech 72

tn st 72 pk/-1.5

144/148

sc st 68

morg st 73 +3 =76 -8/

uva 65.5

md 70 -4.5/-9

135.5/135
 
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Posted: #240
So overall what is the W/L% on this system?
 
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Posted: #241

Quote Originally Posted by Detroit6:

So overall what is the W/L% on this system?

 

no idea. I'd say somewhere between 52% - 56% but that's just a guess. like i said before, DON'T PLAY ALL GAMES, unless you've picked apart all the matchups.

 
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Posted: #242

TUESDAY

wm 64

gmu 64 pk/-3

128/128

tow st 60

odu 72 -12/-22 = play towson st +22 (offsetting)

132/131

hof 69

del 64.5 +4.5/+2.5

133.5/133.5

jmu 65

uga 67-2/-5.5

132/123 = play over 123

cinci 66

sfl 68 -2/-3.5

134/130

hou 69

ucf 67 +2/+3

134/147 = play under 147

princeton 61

penn 56 +5 = 61 pk/+6.5 = play penn +6.5

brad 66

ind st 67 -1/-3

133/131

ne 68

uncw 60.5 +7.5/+8.5

128.5/130

wf 66.5

vt vt 70 -3.5/-5

136.5/134

mich st 70

ind 66 -3 = 63 +7/+10.5

drex 64.5

vcu 69.5 -5/-9.5

133/135

tt 69

bay 77.5 -8.5/-11

146.5/147

sdst 69

tcu 65 +4/+5

134/129

s ill 68

drake 66.5 +1.5/-1

134.5/136

crei 61

n iowa 65 -4/-9

126/122.5

clev st 67

w gb 67 pk/-3

134/135

mich 62

iowa 60.5 +1.5/+3.5

122.5/116.5 = play over 116.5

rutgers 68

depaul 68 +4 = 72 -4/-4

unc 68

gt 74.5 -6.5/-5.5

142.5/148.5 = play under 148.5

\

kent 73

miss st 69 -4=65 +8/+3 = play kent -2

e ill 70

tn martin 66 +4/+4

136/132

se mizzu 60

mur st 75 -15/-25.5 = np

135/135

cent 65

or 73.5 +3 = 76.5 -11.5/
 
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Posted: #243

WEDNESDAY

Check for injuries!

 

pur 64.5

osu 68 -3.5/-3

132/133

nd 71

lou 74.5 +4=78.5 -7.5/-11.5

wvu 78.5

prov 75 +3.5/+7.5

153/155

fsu 64

uva 66 -2/-1.5

130/125

duq 69

ch 73 -4/-7

142/144

duke 70

mia 67 -7=60 +10/+7.5

neb 63

k st 74 -11/-14.5

137/137

ford 59

rich 75 -16/-25.5 = play fordham +25.5

134/132

temp 67

st b 63 -4 =59 +8/+6

mass 70

gw 73.5 -3=70.5 -.5/-6.5

tulsa 67.5

marsh 76 -8.5/-4

143/143

il ch 61

but 72+4=76 -15/-23= play il ch +23

det 60

wgt st 67.5 -7.5/-11.5

127.5/129

n ill 66

w mich 72 -6/-9

138/146.5 = play under 146.5

bg 66

buff 69 -3/-8.5

132/138 = play under 138

c mich 64

ball st 64 pk/+1

128/117 = play over117

e mich 64

tol 60.5 +4 =64.5 -4.5/+8 = play tol +8

akr 64

mi oh 65 +4 = 69 -5/-1

oh 68

kent st 73 -5/-9

141/142

st j 67

x 78.5 +3 = 81.5 -14.5/-16.5

sh 71

st j 73 -2/pk

144/146

8:00

ok st 73

iowa st 72 +1/+2

145/145

evans 62

wich st 71 -9/-17.5 = np

133/130

byu 70

col st 67 +3/+9 = play col st +9

137/142

loy il 67

valpo 71 -4/-6.5

138/139

mem 69.5

tul 65.5 +4/+11 = play tulane +11

135/133

uab 62

s miss 64 -5 = 59 +3/pk

rice 61

smu 67 -6/-11

128/125

uga 67

tn 72 -5/-12.5 = play uga +12.5

139/138

psu 63.5

nw 69 -5.5/-7

132.5/127

 
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Posted: #244
iwas busy didnot see your post today dam ..thank you for your hard work great job.i used to play too many games now i can narrow it down to a few thanks again
 
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Posted: #245

THURSDAY

check those injuries and other info

 

cuse 72

gtown 72 pk/-1.5

144/145

la salle 66

day 75 -9/-15 = np

141/137

aub 69.5

fl 73 +3 = 76 -6.5/-9.5

vandy 73

ole miss 75 -2/-4

148/154.5 = play under 154.5

mtsu 69.5

troy 70 -.5/-3

139.5139

ark st 67

la laf 69 -2/-6

136/134

port 71

pepper 63.5 -3= 60.5 +10.5/+10

mizzu kc 63

iupui 72.5 -9.5/

135.5

no 61

la mon 67 -6/-10

128/124

s al 67

w kent 71 +6 = 77 -10/-12

fl atl 75

fl int 72 +3/+3.5

147/155 = play under 155

ucla 69

wash st 70 -1/-6

139/139

clev st 65

w mil 67 -2/-4

132/136

 

9:00

 

ark lr 64

den 69 -5/-13 = play ark lr +13 (offsetting)\

133/127 = play over126

wisc 66

minn 64 +2/-1

130/124.5 = play over124

pitt 67

marq 72 -5/-6.5

139/132.5 = play over132.5

gonz 75.5

lm 70 -6 = 64 +11.5/+11.5
 
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Posted: #246

FRIDAY

yale 57.5

princeton 63 -5.5/-11

120/113 = play over 113

col 61

dart 58.5 +2.5/+1

119.5/115

brown 64.5

penn 65 -.5/-4

129.5/133

cornell 69

harv 67 +2/+2.5

136/140

odu 60

n iowa 60.5 -.5/-3

120.5/110.5 = play over 110.5

wm 63

iona 65 -2/-3.5

128/122 = play over 122

 

nice and short...

 
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Posted: #247
 
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Posted: #248

SATURDAY

likely to stick to the main card today. too many games

 

siena 67

but 69 +6= 76 -9/-7.5

unc 67

bc 70.5 -3.5/-3.5

137.5

temple 69

st joe 62 +7/+9.5

131/128

fl 72

miss 73 -1/-5

145/146

ill 63

pur 68.5 -5.5/-11.5

138.5/137

sh 70

wvu 76-6/-12 = play sh +13

146/147.5

st johns 65

sfl 68 -3/-5

133/128

tenn 70

sc 70 pk/+1.5

140/146 = play under 147

bay 72.5

ok st 72 +.5/-2

144/144

tx 77

txt 74.5 +2.5/+7

151.5/159 = play under 159

gt 68

md 74 -6/-7

142/141

x 74

char 71 -4=67 +7/+4

wf 71

ncst 67 +4/+2.5

138/139

lou 71

dep 67 +4/+10.5 = play depaul +11

138/132.5

ecu 67

rice 72 -5/-5.5

139/138

stan 62

or st 66 -4= 62 pk/-4.5

af 60

nm 72,5 +5 = 77.5 -17.5/-22.5

4:00

bama 65

uga 66 -1/-2

131/127

miss st 70

lsu 64 +3=67 +3/+6.5

ark lr 65

n tx 74 -9/-11

139/140

utep 70

tulsa 68 +2/-1

138/137

uva 63

clem 68 -5/-9.5

131/132

tx am 71

iowa st 69.5 +1.5/+2

140.5/139

col 66

ka 77 -11/-7.5

143/145

conn 69

rut 69 pk/+6.5 = play rutgers +6.5

138/140

ford 67

ri 78.5 -11.5/-12.5

145.5/148

usc 66.5

wash st 64.5 +2/-1

131/123 = play over 123

cal 71

or 68 -3=65 +6/+7

kent 74.5

vandy 73 +1.5/pk

147.5/155 = play under 155

col st 65.5
unlv 70 +4 = 74 -8.5/-7

byu 79

wyo 68 +11/+15.5

147/154 = play under 154

brown 55

prince 62.5 -7.5/

117.5

k st 75

ok 71 +4/+5.5

146/151 =

mizzu 71

neb 67 +4/+4.5

138/132 = play over 131

psu 61

mich 65.5 -4.5/-9

126.5/121.5

7:00

gw 63

rich 69 -6/-8.5

132/127

corn 67

dart 57 +10/

124/

col 62.5

harv 68.5 -6/

131/

yale 67

penn 66 +6 = 72 -5/

ark 75

aub 74 +1/-3

149/154

w kent 69

ark st 68 -4 = 64 +5/+1.5

s al 65

mtsu 71 -6/-6.5

136/129 = play over129

den 63

no 61 +2/+7.5

124/116.5 = play over 116.5

smu 65

mem 69 -4/-13.5 = play smu +13.5

134/133

hou 68

uab 69 -1/-2.5

137/143

marsh 72

tul 65 +7/+7.5

ucf 60

smiss 64 -5 = 59+1/-5.5 = play ucf +5.5

la mon 63,5

la laf 71 -7,5/-11

134,5/134

fl atl 72

troy 75 -3/-6.5

147/155 = play under 155

utah 62,5

sdst 71 -8.5/-12

133,5/128

gon 75

pepper 65 -4 = 61 +14/+17

ucla 67.5

wash 73 -5,5/-11.5

140/142

port 72

lm 69 -3 = 66 +6/+4

sf 67

sc 67 pk/-1

134/133

 

 

 

ind 64

minn 72.5 -8.5/-16.5 = play ind +16.5

136.5/137
 
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Posted: #249

SUNDAY

not much to work with here...

nova 74

pitt 75 -1/+2.5

149/145

day 72.5

duq 69 +3.5/+4

141.5/137

nw 62

wisc 68 +3 = 71 -9/-12

130/121

marq 68.5

cinci 67.5 +1/-1

136/132

stl 68

mass 68 +4 = 72 -4/-1

st b 70

la salle 71 -1/-4

141/143

azst 68

az 67 +1/+1.5

135/128 = play over 128

vt 67

duke 73 +3 = 76 -9/-13

oh st 66

mich 65 +1/-4.5 = play osu +5

131/135

 
 
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