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Testing new system in NBA

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Posted: #176
With you on the GS/Utah Over and the San Antonio/Miami Under
 
 
Good Luck Bud

BG
 
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Posted: #177
EC.. when I do my numbers I get the NJ game to come out to ..
 
NJ - 110.4
Sac - 101.4
 
Based on Eagles system..  what did I mess up on??
 
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Posted: #178
Whoops.. disregard that last statement.. I was adding the numbers to the team average rather than the nba average...  however, i did recalculate the NBA average and it is now at 98.4... makes a difference in a few plays... 
 
Great work.. thanks for everything
 
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Posted: #179
Very cool.  Keep up the great work!
 
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Posted: #180
4 out of 5 . Nice Work... Please add me as a friend.
 
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Posted: #181
SA 95.9                    Top play under  Winner
Miami   96.7                  181.5

Sac 95.4                      Top play over  Loser
NJ     96.9                       200

Toronto      94.7             over  Winner
Milwaukee 98.1               192

Indiana 98.6                  Top play over  Winner
Denver    105.3                221

GS 102.8                       Top play over   Winner
Utah   103                     220.5

Top Plays 3-1  Total 4-1

16-7 = 69.6%    109-77 = 58%

Good Work on this system EC
 
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Posted: #182
 Nice work on these plays.
 
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Posted: #183
Guys i appreciate all the comments

4-1 all plays 109-77   58%
3-1 top plays  16-7 overall 67.6%

Jan 6
 
Boston          97.2                Under Top play
Charlotte       90.8                  177.5

Washington   91.6                  Over
Orlando          100.1                191.5

Houston 96.0                          Over
Phil           96.6                       189

Minnesota 97.9                      Under
Memphis      95.3                    194

NY         101.5                     Top play Over
OKC     94.2                          214

Sac    95.1                             Top play over
Chicago     103.2                     211.5

LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
Dallas           100.6                  183.5

NO              94.6                         over
LA Lakers    109.1                     195.5

Good luck
 
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Posted: #184
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

Guys i appreciate all the comments

4-1 all plays 109-77   58%
3-1 top plays  16-7 overall 67.6%

Jan 6
 
Boston          97.2                Under Top play
Charlotte       90.8                  177.5

Washington   91.6                  Over
Orlando          100.1                191.5

Houston 96.0                          Over
Phil           96.6                       189

Minnesota 97.9                      Under
Memphis      95.3                    194

NY         101.5                     Top play Over
OKC     94.2                          214

Sac    95.1                             Top play over
Chicago     103.2                     211.5

LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
Dallas           100.6                  183.5

NO              94.6                         over
LA Lakers    109.1                     195.5

Good luck

HEY EXPERT CAPPER ,,,DO YOU TRY TO POST EVERYNIGHT?  AND WHAT SPORTS BOOK DO YOU USE IF YOU MIND ME ASKING?  BECAUSE IM  TRYING TO JOIN A SPORTSBOOK BUT I LIVE IN THE USA ....VERY DIFFICULT TO FIND  A SPORTSBOOK THAT PAYS, IF YOUR FROM THE US

THANKS

 
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Posted: #185
Hey expert, i have been reading on all your posts and I'm trying to figure out the system that you have currently going but it dosen't seem to match up with what eagleshot suggested. can you show an example again for those of us that are slow witted (such as myself) thanks and keep up the great work!!
 
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Posted: #186
no its my own variation CUTigers, and i appreciate the insight
IBET2WIN look where it says expertcapper and go over to the right where it says sportsbook, its beside that to the right
CUTigers an example is

LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
Dallas           100.6                  183.5

where I get my 97.3 is average road points
where I get my 100.6 is average home points
its 15 points over what the oddsmakers have so therefore it makes it an under top play. Just go opposite over or under 9 points.

hope this clarifies a more clearer picture
Capper
 
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Posted: #187
EXPERTCAPPER   WHAT SITE DO YOU USE TO FIND OUT THE TEAMS POINTS PER GAME AVERAGE ON THE ROAD AND AT HOME?  MOST SPORTS SITES I GO LIKE NBA.COM AND COVERS DO NOT SHOW AWAY POINT TOTALS AND HOME POINT TOTALS  THEY ONLY HAVE TEAMS TOTAL POINTS PER GAME ... THEY DONT  DIFFERENTIAT AWAYS AND HOME TOTALS.
 
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Posted: #188
IBET2WIN on covers in the NBA schedule of each day go to each game like
LA Clippers/Dallas
heres a link

https://scores.covers.com/basketball-scores-matchups.aspx
then go LA Clippers/Dallas match up
where it says match up/preview/trends click on match up
go to right hand side of the page scroll down
it says match up edge go down under that it shows statistics, then go to home/away its right there
hope this helps

Capper
 
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Posted: #189
So you're not factoring defenses into this new system?
 
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Posted: #190
NO
 
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Posted: #191

If the "calculated" O/U offensive average is more than 6 but less than 9 from the vegas line then it plays as calculated...

....if it is more than 9 then you are playing the OPPOSITE way....

...if it is less than 6 then it is a NO PLAY....

 

................right???

 
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Posted: #192
Has anyone reading this system done it for a season or longer?
 
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Posted: #193
...can you do the back test for a couple of seasons Sloc, I'm in the middle of surgery?
 
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Posted: #194
excapper...looks like NO/LaL @ 203.7minus 195.5 line equals 8.2 so it fall less than the 9 point you showed earlier to go other way...
 
so..... NO/LAL should be a top play OVER since it falls in the 6-9 range of calculations...right?
 
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Posted: #195
Your TOP PLAYS Record is impressive. I'm running a similiar system at the moment but I noticed that we got different numbers.

BOS-CHA 177 OVER+3
HOU-PHI 184  OVER+5
WAS-ORL 191 NO PLAY 192.5
MIN-MEM 195 NO PLAY 196
NY-OKC 211 OVER+3.5
LAC-DAL 195 UNDER+10
SAC-CHI 209 NO PLAY 211.5
NO-LA 194 NO PLAY 195.5

Well, when I was in school, Math was my nightmare. Now, it's my life, LoL!

GL Expertcapper!

 
Captain
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Posted: #196
I've got a great system as well. I take just a quick glance at the games and line, mull it over for about 15 seconds, maybe 20........and whoever I like........TAKE THE OPPOSITE.. Im hitting about 70%.
 
Seriously though, wish I'd of seen this thread a couple weeks ago. Looks like you're doing pretty well, keep up the good work. Will chack back and maybe even tail a few. BOL rest of way.
 
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Posted: #197
Thanks for tracking this all years and having the balls to do so unlike Tomspeople and some of the others thave have posted here and then dropped it when going bad with no explanation. Even if it flames out you are accountable.
 
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Posted: #198
ExpertCapper...love the "system"except fpr the new "if calculated difference is greater than 9 then go opposite".
 
Last night :

If the "calculated" O/U offensive average is more than 6 but less than 9 from the vegas line then it plays as calculated...

.........it was 3-0 winner last night....

....if "calculated O/U"  is more than 9 then you are playing the OPPOSITE way....

.........it was 0-4 loser last night...

But wudda been 4-0 winner if you played it as calculated...

...if it is less than 6 then it is a NO PLAY....

.....it was a 1-0 winner also last night....

 

................playing all that fit criteria that all more than filter of 6 you were...6-0 winner baby!!!

.....how has the "going opposite if greater than 9 been for this year if back tested?  I'm gonna play it as a "play" if greater than or equal than the filter of 6 that you have established...

 
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Posted: #199
be back later with the games
 
 
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Posted: #200

Gas, the beauty of Cappers system to me is his ability to make changes to the system and keep winning.  The reverse when over 9 is pretty much the heart and soul of it, so let's let Capper decide when to make another change and not let 1 nite of failure cause an abandoning of the ship. LOL  It is cool you noticed and pointed it out tho.

Capper, GREAT JOB!  My hats off to you.  I'm working on a backtest of a couple of your variations and will post the results soon.  Ya think maybe its time to start a new thread???  This one takes a while to load.

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