i'm serious college, 550 a game is TOO MUCH...go down to 330 mine dear friend....It's too much...right now, especially before baseball, you have to get off this basketball crap..it's a crap sport..
My best friend got a job at the SLS casino in Vegas about 3 months ago. He says they have a sports betting app out there where you deposit and cashout at the casino, but place bets through the app. I'm sure its true because he has no reason to lie to me. Do you do this ever?
Sorry if you mentioned this already, I only read 4-5 pages of this thread.
My best friend got a job at the SLS casino in Vegas about 3 months ago. He says they have a sports betting app out there where you deposit and cashout at the casino, but place bets through the app. I'm sure its true because he has no reason to lie to me. Do you do this ever?
Sorry if you mentioned this already, I only read 4-5 pages of this thread.
[Quote: Originally Posted by collegegambler] Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website [/Quote)
This CG its what internet kids do when bored and lonely.
[Quote: Originally Posted by collegegambler] Oh and anyone who bet Cleveland to win it all this nba season u better "tear ur tickets up" yea Scal Cleveland looks terrible of late.... You could be hands down the worst analyzer of sports I have ever seen. Will they win it all who knows but most likely will come out of the east. Some of the statements and threads u make are a mockery to this website [/Quote)
This CG its what internet kids do when bored and lonely.
You don't even know how to properly analyze a futures bet. If I have to explain that Cavs future again my head is going to explode.
The thread, for the ten-thousandth time, was about Cleveland winning it all.
If they win a game, they've won the championship? They could win the next 20 and I would stand by my statement.
They are 35-21. They won't even reach the over number on their O/U total for the year, yet... they will now win the championship. Impressive! And you chime in during the 'happens ALL the time in the NBA during the season or in a game' hot streak.
Do you even know what you are talking about? The bet will pay $0, I've never backed off that and I've explained in detail how the average joe bettor will have trouble hedging effectively, if at all. That is...THE POINT. People have debated me on that and I've yet to see a single dollar made off hedging them and until they win it all, the bet is worthless, despite the $100 bettors who danced the jitterbug when the Cavs got Lebron and Love...like the ticket already cashed...before a basket was even sunk.
From a macro-perspective if you said the Cavs would be 35-21 after 56 games and 4th in the East, most, if not all would say that would be poor from a championship perspective.
But you prove yourself to be another idiot in that, like when I post an NBA game of any kind, if my team trails AT ANY POINT, fools like you raid the thread and start squawking.
And to the OSU/Indiana game: OSU won the game by fifteen That's 40% the number. You try to make it out sound like the team lost outright.
And again you prove yourself a fool. It's ONE GAME. You went
1-3 last night and you are complaining about one of my losses?
I EXPECT to lose you idiot and every win or loss will come with a LONG write-up. The goal is to win more than you lose over the break-even percentage. Or do you not even know what that is?
Do you relish in the fact that you leave an apartment pulling your pants up, cap 3 games in 45 minutes and offer the thread three paragraphs of 'cap'?
Then you go 1-3 and your attitude is "at least my 3 loses didn't have a long write-up like Scal!" Wow, you must be doing something right with that attitude.
You are an amateur kid, plain and simple and prove yourself to be no different than the delusion fanboys who massage your ego here.
I came here with one point. To tell you that your comments on the Clippers were ridiculously off point. Not ONE person refuted my comments. Because they were correct.
If a child sees a manatee at Sea World and says, "Look mommy, it's a hamster?" does mommy pat little Johnny on the head and say "That's right, now let's go get some cotton candy."
Your ONE statement about the Clippers bench being deep and your attempts to then rationalize your bet with the line movement about Blake (also, completely false) was FAR more embarrassing than any 10 page write-up I could or will ever write and lose with.
Then I prodded you about what your actually doing there and in your first response, YOU AGREED WITH ME.
You just happen to be in Vegas telling a story while the delusional fanboys sit at home watching you like you're on the Truman Show in their boxers.
Now, onto today. Let's hear your picks. We are all on pins an needles waiting for you Steven Hawking-esque selections and analysis.
You don't even know how to properly analyze a futures bet. If I have to explain that Cavs future again my head is going to explode.
The thread, for the ten-thousandth time, was about Cleveland winning it all.
If they win a game, they've won the championship? They could win the next 20 and I would stand by my statement.
They are 35-21. They won't even reach the over number on their O/U total for the year, yet... they will now win the championship. Impressive! And you chime in during the 'happens ALL the time in the NBA during the season or in a game' hot streak.
Do you even know what you are talking about? The bet will pay $0, I've never backed off that and I've explained in detail how the average joe bettor will have trouble hedging effectively, if at all. That is...THE POINT. People have debated me on that and I've yet to see a single dollar made off hedging them and until they win it all, the bet is worthless, despite the $100 bettors who danced the jitterbug when the Cavs got Lebron and Love...like the ticket already cashed...before a basket was even sunk.
From a macro-perspective if you said the Cavs would be 35-21 after 56 games and 4th in the East, most, if not all would say that would be poor from a championship perspective.
But you prove yourself to be another idiot in that, like when I post an NBA game of any kind, if my team trails AT ANY POINT, fools like you raid the thread and start squawking.
And to the OSU/Indiana game: OSU won the game by fifteen That's 40% the number. You try to make it out sound like the team lost outright.
And again you prove yourself a fool. It's ONE GAME. You went
1-3 last night and you are complaining about one of my losses?
I EXPECT to lose you idiot and every win or loss will come with a LONG write-up. The goal is to win more than you lose over the break-even percentage. Or do you not even know what that is?
Do you relish in the fact that you leave an apartment pulling your pants up, cap 3 games in 45 minutes and offer the thread three paragraphs of 'cap'?
Then you go 1-3 and your attitude is "at least my 3 loses didn't have a long write-up like Scal!" Wow, you must be doing something right with that attitude.
You are an amateur kid, plain and simple and prove yourself to be no different than the delusion fanboys who massage your ego here.
I came here with one point. To tell you that your comments on the Clippers were ridiculously off point. Not ONE person refuted my comments. Because they were correct.
If a child sees a manatee at Sea World and says, "Look mommy, it's a hamster?" does mommy pat little Johnny on the head and say "That's right, now let's go get some cotton candy."
Your ONE statement about the Clippers bench being deep and your attempts to then rationalize your bet with the line movement about Blake (also, completely false) was FAR more embarrassing than any 10 page write-up I could or will ever write and lose with.
Then I prodded you about what your actually doing there and in your first response, YOU AGREED WITH ME.
You just happen to be in Vegas telling a story while the delusional fanboys sit at home watching you like you're on the Truman Show in their boxers.
Now, onto today. Let's hear your picks. We are all on pins an needles waiting for you Steven Hawking-esque selections and analysis.
The whole amount per bet discussion if funny. Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.
It is simple math, once again.
All you need is the monthly goal. You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:
Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on.
Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)
(80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
5000 / 12.8 = 390
He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month. Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.
Simple.
The whole amount per bet discussion if funny. Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.
It is simple math, once again.
All you need is the monthly goal. You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:
Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on.
Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)
(80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
5000 / 12.8 = 390
He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month. Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.
Simple.
The whole amount per bet discussion if funny. Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.
It is simple math, once again.
All you need is the monthly goal. You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:
Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on.
Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)
(80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
5000 / 12.8 = 390
He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month. Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.
Simple.
To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal: Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.
309 |
345 |
390 |
450 |
530 |
644 |
822 |
1,136 |
1,838 |
4,807 |
The whole amount per bet discussion if funny. Everyone guessing as to what the amount of bets should be based on invoking the term "money management" or betting streaks or any number of other superstitious BS.
It is simple math, once again.
All you need is the monthly goal. You take the monthly goal and plug it in to this formula:
Lets assume CG needs 5k a month GROSS to live on.
Lets also assume he will hit 60% (his number not mine)
And he will make 80 bets a month (his current average)
(80 * .6) - (80 * .44) = 12.8
5000 / 12.8 = 390
He can expect to be up 12.8 units a month based on 60% win percentage and 80 bets a month. Therefore if he is flat betting his bet size should be $390 based on the above assumptions.
Simple.
To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal: Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.
309 |
345 |
390 |
450 |
530 |
644 |
822 |
1,136 |
1,838 |
4,807 |
Try that cut and paste again:
To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal: Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.
62% 309
61% 345
60% 390
59% 450
58% 530
57% 644
56% 822
55% 1,136
54% 1,838
53% 4,807
Try that cut and paste again:
To make it easy - here is a chart based on 80 bets a month and a 5k goal: Column A is expected win percentage, column B is bet amount.
62% 309
61% 345
60% 390
59% 450
58% 530
57% 644
56% 822
55% 1,136
54% 1,838
53% 4,807
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