Pretty sure I did it correctly...this morning when you posted...basically its got now GT with the others parlay just cancelled out all the St. Louis...does that correct? Sorry new system that I'm trying and which I like...apperciate all the insight and actually replying to guys that ask questions
0
Pretty sure I did it correctly...this morning when you posted...basically its got now GT with the others parlay just cancelled out all the St. Louis...does that correct? Sorry new system that I'm trying and which I like...apperciate all the insight and actually replying to guys that ask questions
@P.Picker - Definitely has made the day more exciting! To be honest I only have around 2K bankroll for sports betting, so I only did tiny $5 units for $55 bet with the 11 combos, still a nice payout if had all hit for sure (Just maybe instead of hookers & Blow it would be Lap dances & drinks for me with the smaller units lol) .. I managed to grab GW+3.5 live and threw down $100 on it hoping to hit a middle with SL win by 1-3, all while locking in some value earned from SL's performance. I see what you mean about it being person to person and situational when it comes to hedging, and for me since I am trying to build a bankroll, I may lean towards doing them here and there. Thanks again for everything, and go Auburn!
0
@P.Picker - Definitely has made the day more exciting! To be honest I only have around 2K bankroll for sports betting, so I only did tiny $5 units for $55 bet with the 11 combos, still a nice payout if had all hit for sure (Just maybe instead of hookers & Blow it would be Lap dances & drinks for me with the smaller units lol) .. I managed to grab GW+3.5 live and threw down $100 on it hoping to hit a middle with SL win by 1-3, all while locking in some value earned from SL's performance. I see what you mean about it being person to person and situational when it comes to hedging, and for me since I am trying to build a bankroll, I may lean towards doing them here and there. Thanks again for everything, and go Auburn!
what about parlaying the 1h instead of full game for some of these dogs. Most of the time when a dog wins they have the lead at halftime, but many times a dog will be leading at ht then lose it in the 2h. Just a thought after seeing what happened in the St louis game.
0
what about parlaying the 1h instead of full game for some of these dogs. Most of the time when a dog wins they have the lead at halftime, but many times a dog will be leading at ht then lose it in the 2h. Just a thought after seeing what happened in the St louis game.
@smart - you can sub in the 1H but they don't have the value of the higher odds. That said, would have been a winner today. In any case, if you are risk adverse, using the 1H for some of the higher odds (+700 and up) is generally within the ethos of the system.
0
@smart - you can sub in the 1H but they don't have the value of the higher odds. That said, would have been a winner today. In any case, if you are risk adverse, using the 1H for some of the higher odds (+700 and up) is generally within the ethos of the system.
@smart - you can sub in the 1H but they don't have the value of the higher odds. That said, would have been a winner today. In any case, if you are risk adverse, using the 1H for some of the higher odds (+700 and up) is generally within the ethos of the system.
not sure what they payout wouldve been...but so far all 3 dogs (GT, ST louis and Auburn) have been leading at HT.
Have to figure a +900 dog like St louis wouldve been +500 to be leading at half.
0
Quote Originally Posted by theparlaypicker:
@smart - you can sub in the 1H but they don't have the value of the higher odds. That said, would have been a winner today. In any case, if you are risk adverse, using the 1H for some of the higher odds (+700 and up) is generally within the ethos of the system.
not sure what they payout wouldve been...but so far all 3 dogs (GT, ST louis and Auburn) have been leading at HT.
Have to figure a +900 dog like St louis wouldve been +500 to be leading at half.
Just a tip with betting straight up +money dogs. It might be better to play 1st half money lines on them. You might get a shorter +money lines but you don't get the bullshit end of game fouls and last second shot to beat you or the refs to be against you. Would be 3-0 in here today and I can name numerous other dogs that won the half lost the game.
0
Just a tip with betting straight up +money dogs. It might be better to play 1st half money lines on them. You might get a shorter +money lines but you don't get the bullshit end of game fouls and last second shot to beat you or the refs to be against you. Would be 3-0 in here today and I can name numerous other dogs that won the half lost the game.
@stang - While it's true today had a lot of 1st have dog hits, I've found it to be disproportionate to the decreased odds. Because...
@smart - The first half line for SLU was +360. The books recognize the reduction in odds isn't linear (a +900 game isn't +450) so you will inevitably pay for it. That said 100% of 0 is zero, so your point is valid. Still all rooted in picking the right games to begin with!
0
@stang - While it's true today had a lot of 1st have dog hits, I've found it to be disproportionate to the decreased odds. Because...
@smart - The first half line for SLU was +360. The books recognize the reduction in odds isn't linear (a +900 game isn't +450) so you will inevitably pay for it. That said 100% of 0 is zero, so your point is valid. Still all rooted in picking the right games to begin with!
This thread reminds me of the Mr. Bator days....he was always posting dogs. I've copied and pasted all your directions for future reference and understand the betting method however I'm still not sure about how you go about finding the "value" in your dogs. Can you explain a bit more about the difference between the spread and ML again that provides value? Thanks!!
0
This thread reminds me of the Mr. Bator days....he was always posting dogs. I've copied and pasted all your directions for future reference and understand the betting method however I'm still not sure about how you go about finding the "value" in your dogs. Can you explain a bit more about the difference between the spread and ML again that provides value? Thanks!!
@jrock - I will get into more depth on a future post regarding extracting value from deep dogs in parlays and why it may be the only approach where you can beat the house. Regarding more about how I pick the games... I would, but to be fair, that's "how the sausage is made", and where all the value lies. If I do decide to become a handicapper, I'd like to think of my methodologies (or IP) as proprietary, as I may decide to sell my picks. To that end, feel free to add me as a friend to tail as long as I keep them free. But for now, let's ride the wave and have some fun watching hoops!
0
@jrock - I will get into more depth on a future post regarding extracting value from deep dogs in parlays and why it may be the only approach where you can beat the house. Regarding more about how I pick the games... I would, but to be fair, that's "how the sausage is made", and where all the value lies. If I do decide to become a handicapper, I'd like to think of my methodologies (or IP) as proprietary, as I may decide to sell my picks. To that end, feel free to add me as a friend to tail as long as I keep them free. But for now, let's ride the wave and have some fun watching hoops!
[Ticket #: 297818875] PARLAY (4 TEAMS) Even though Aub is gonna ML, I Took Aub +10 in the following because I feel the last leg is the toughest hit. Hate sweating that last game! Lost earlier with Aub, GT, StL ML. This hit makes up for a lot of do do:
01/28/2017 @ 11:30 AM
CBB
[537] Maryland +170
01/28/2017 @ 01:10 PM
CBB
[582] Vanderbilt +120
01/28/2017 @ 01:10 PM
CBB
[583] Elon +150
01/28/2017 @ 03:10 PM
CBB
[607] Auburn +10-110 Thanks for the Auburn pick, ParlayPicker!! Gud luck to all those tailing!
0
[Ticket #: 297818875] PARLAY (4 TEAMS) Even though Aub is gonna ML, I Took Aub +10 in the following because I feel the last leg is the toughest hit. Hate sweating that last game! Lost earlier with Aub, GT, StL ML. This hit makes up for a lot of do do:
01/28/2017 @ 11:30 AM
CBB
[537] Maryland +170
01/28/2017 @ 01:10 PM
CBB
[582] Vanderbilt +120
01/28/2017 @ 01:10 PM
CBB
[583] Elon +150
01/28/2017 @ 03:10 PM
CBB
[607] Auburn +10-110 Thanks for the Auburn pick, ParlayPicker!! Gud luck to all those tailing!
Well done sir. I've always been to ignorant to learn how RR's work. After seeing your thread I went and researched it, found my bets and about to cash a nice chunk of change from Auburn. Thank you sir.
0
@theparlypicker
Well done sir. I've always been to ignorant to learn how RR's work. After seeing your thread I went and researched it, found my bets and about to cash a nice chunk of change from Auburn. Thank you sir.
I parlayed the remaining games based off your leans and original picks but didn't risk much so if it loses its all good. I will continue to monitor this thread as I've never seen anyone with the guts to use this sort of method. Missed out on the earlier games.
0
Good call on GT and Auburn, Parlay.
I parlayed the remaining games based off your leans and original picks but didn't risk much so if it loses its all good. I will continue to monitor this thread as I've never seen anyone with the guts to use this sort of method. Missed out on the earlier games.
Big congrats to everyone who played along today! If you followed my instructions, you made a 100% return on your money, and are looking at a nearly 3000% return if LMU beats BYU. In my case, I bet $550 and netted $1100 so far. Here's the ticket:
I had a relaxing day today, got to watch some games, doubled my money, and now get to dig in for one last game to win $14,000. Anyone else here tail and win? Add me as a friend to stay in touch and keep up with my picks. Big night ahead!
0
Big congrats to everyone who played along today! If you followed my instructions, you made a 100% return on your money, and are looking at a nearly 3000% return if LMU beats BYU. In my case, I bet $550 and netted $1100 so far. Here's the ticket:
I had a relaxing day today, got to watch some games, doubled my money, and now get to dig in for one last game to win $14,000. Anyone else here tail and win? Add me as a friend to stay in touch and keep up with my picks. Big night ahead!
would have loved to have been on the same winning side but as I said, coldnt bet those high MLs like you can get your hands on.Couldnt do STL or Aub...so oh well.Glad you hit and others that did as well
0
would have loved to have been on the same winning side but as I said, coldnt bet those high MLs like you can get your hands on.Couldnt do STL or Aub...so oh well.Glad you hit and others that did as well
Great work and love the angle. Would of been amazing to start at the beginning of this week too. It seems to have been a dog week in CBB and NBA. I missed on tailing today but I am excited to see what is next!
0
Great work and love the angle. Would of been amazing to start at the beginning of this week too. It seems to have been a dog week in CBB and NBA. I missed on tailing today but I am excited to see what is next!
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
