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1/26 - Longshot Parlays ($500 to win $100,000)

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Posted: #151
 
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Posted: #152
Nice
 
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Posted: #153
About halfway through the analysis and here's where I'm at so far. These are not final, but getting there:

THE BET

NC State (+788)
Milwaukee (+563)
Washington State (+476)

THE BACKUPS

Northern Kentucky (+435)
Boston College (+677)
Dallas Mavericks (+818)

 
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Posted: #154
What about Virginia?
 
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Posted: #155
looks like i may have to open an acct orf something with that other site you spoke abt cause again, i dont get most of those since they are too high. Ugh. Have a feeling im gonna miss out on some fun cash along the way
 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by Newcompa:

Is situational betting important? i think its a first layer in capping sports. I have seen some teams with big wins only to comeback and drop a big turd in the court the next game. Then there are teams with pride as they comeback with great performances. (Vice versa.) I'm sure most of you know all this by now. Just adding to the forum Mr Parlay Picker, (if I may.)

Milwaukee +575 2-9 on the road coming off a road win.

Detroit +185 coming off a home loss and Green Bay off a road win at Oak  

Washington State +475 coming off a loss. very much even record with AZ state as AZ state is coming off a home win with Washington. (I like it)

Northern Kentucky +430 coming off a road win and Valpo coming off a home win

Evansville +250 will be at home coming off a 7 game losing streak. Indiana State on a 10 game winning streak.

Nebraska +345 ill be at home coming off a 5 game losing streak. Purdue coming off a win at Mich State!! ( absolutely love it )

Saint Johns +235 coming off a road win at Providence. Xavier coming off a road loss. (Don't like so much)

Indiana University +235 coming off an embarrassing 30 point loss at Michigan. Will play in Northwestern while having a nice 5 game winning streak. (love it as well. )

Stanford +280 coming off a 17 pt loss at Oregon. Now Cal goes to Stanford and coming off a road win at Oregon State. (I like this one)


Thank you for all that you Mr Parlay. to us all
Blackmon is out for IU be careful with that one. Love your situations though and thanks for posting!


 
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Posted: #157
looking into nitrogen sports, bitcoin depositing is a bit confusing. BTW great post and angle!

 
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Posted: #158
Quote Originally Posted by Newcompa:



Hi CCat I believe this is more what Mr Parlay had in mind:

HOW TO PLAY

You will be parlaying the MONEY LINES of every 2, 3 and 4 team combination within a four team set (called a Round Robin).  There are 11 combinations of four teams (Lets call them teams A,B,C,D)

6 Two Teamers
AB, AC, AD, BC, BC, CD

4 Three Teamers
ABC, ABD, ACD, BCD

1 Four Teamer
ABCD

HOW MUCH TO WAGER

This is subjective, but if you want to start slowly, bet one unit. What this means is take your average bet (say $50), divide by 10 ($5), and use that amount ($5) for each of your combinations (11 x $5 = $55 total bet).


Newcompa

 Yes that is what he says to do if you play 4 teams I was just referring to the system if you wanted to play with three teams, four teams, or five teams and how you would have to bet it accordingly. Thanks for the situations this morning I think that could be a big factor when  deciding which teams to play ??
 
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Posted: #159
Quote Originally Posted by oldstyle:

looking into nitrogen sports, bitcoin depositing is a bit confusing. BTW great post and angle!


Try Bookmaker.  They take bitcoin.
 
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Posted: #160
Quote Originally Posted by sscott999:


Try Bookmaker.  They take bitcoin.

thanks just buying bitcoins is confusing, I signed up for kraken, is there a better one?
 
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Posted: #161
Quote Originally Posted by oldstyle:


thanks just buying bitcoins is confusing, I signed up for kraken, is there a better one?

I like coinbase
 
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Posted: #162
My first time tyring this out so want to make sure I understand.  Today we would have:

1 Three Teamer
3 Two Teamers

Is this correct?  Thanks
 
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Posted: #163
Quote Originally Posted by harvardofsouth:

My first time tyring this out so want to make sure I understand.  Today we would have:

1 Three Teamer
3 Two Teamers

Is this correct?  Thanks

 Correct if you are only playing three teams. In one of my earlier posts I tried to show what you should play if you are playing a 3 team round Robin 4 round robin or 5 team round Robin. Parlay has the ultimate  answer but I think this is true. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anyone 
 
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Posted: #164
Quote Originally Posted by ccat1133:


 Correct if you are only playing three teams. In one of my earlier posts I tried to show what you should play if you are playing a 3 team round Robin 4 round robin or 5 team round Robin. Parlay has the ultimate  answer but I think this is true. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anyone 
I just seen your forum and believe you have a great idea! You don't have to win often to make money with this system. I will follow and thanks for the POST.
Don't chase today, there's always tomorrow in gambling....
 
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Posted: #165
Good stuff man!
 
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Posted: #166
Parlay - Do you also play all these teams individually against the spread?  Also is your card above final or are you still looking through the games?  Thanks!
 
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Posted: #167
Quote Originally Posted by harvardofsouth:

Parlay - Do you also play all these teams individually against the spread?  Also is your card above final or are you still looking through the games?  Thanks!

You could play them ATS but the payout would not be nearly as much
 
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Posted: #168
Quit cluttering up the thread.....
He posted few and said it's not final yet....COME ON....and let the man post when he is ready...
 
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Posted: #169
Thanks for sharing had a very good day yesterday because of you.I have played this in the past but never stuck with it.As you said there will be losing streaks that are going to happen we just have to be patient.
 
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Posted: #170
Quote Originally Posted by harvardofsouth:

Parlay - Do you also play all these teams individually against the spread?  Also is your card above final or are you still looking through the games?  Thanks!

The ML because the payout is significantly higher. The odds on spreads are typically -110 whereas ML is +200 and upwards.. parlaying these would have a higher return than spreads.
 
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Posted: #171
I don not see where they offer round robins at nitrogen sports

 
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Posted: #172
Alrighty folks... time to lock it in.  Let me preface the picks by saying I don't feel particularly great about todays lineup.  Not many games, too many dogs... something intuitively doesn't feel right. That said, the math is still adding up... so going to go ahead and push forward and post the picks.  I recommend place just one unit worth of bets.

As a refresher... take a little more than your approximate average bet, divide it by 10, and thats your $ amount for each of the 11 combinations of the round robin parlay.  Also, the backups were ones that I considered, but ultimately passed on as part of the core bet.  I still may do one off 3 or 4 teams mixing between the two pools, but the round robin I'm betting comes from "THE BET" pool.  I will weave NC State and BC into some combos.  So... Without further ado:

THE BET

Virginia (+207)
Milwaukee (+563)
Washington State (+476)
Dallas Mavericks (+818)

THE BACKUPS

NC State (+900)
Northern Kentucky (+435)
Boston College (+677)



 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by dondadapicks:


The ML because the payout is significantly higher. The odds on spreads are typically -110 whereas ML is +200 and upwards.. parlaying these would have a higher return than spreads.

Right I understand the parlay piece but I meant do you also play each team individually ATS in addition to the ML parlay plays?  
 
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Posted: #174
@harvard - No, you play all 11 combinations of the round robin with the money lines.

6 Two Teamers
4 Three Teamers
1 Four Teamer

ALL with ML, not the spread.
 
 
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GL!!
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