Posted:
#201
It went down half point dammm....
Czech's Bringing Down The Books 101
Posted:
#204
Action_junkee,
According to strict interpretation of the rules, Utah is iffy as a system play, since the line move was only 1/2 point.
However, I made a decision to qualify it because everyone is on SA, and I mean everyone. In spite of this, the line did go down, albeit 1/2 point, which indicates sharp action.
The reason I shared the system with everyone is so you can be the judge yourselves. Usually when someone posts a pick and then it loses, they try to explain it later, and no one cares.
Here, I may make mistakes, but you have the system to judge things yourself. According to you Utah didn't qualify, and I can't argue with you on that. The line move was not a full point, so it's iffy. I took it though so here it goes.
Posted:
#206
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:
Action_junkee,
Action_junkee,
According to strict interpretation of the rules, Utah is iffy as a system play, since the line move was only 1/2 point.
However, I made a decision to qualify it because everyone is on SA, and I mean everyone. In spite of this, the line did go down, albeit 1/2 point, which indicates sharp action.
The reason I shared the system with everyone is so you can be the judge yourselves. Usually when someone posts a pick and then it loses, they try to explain it later, and no one cares.
Here, I may make mistakes, but you have the system to judge things yourself. According to you Utah didn't qualify, and I can't argue with you on that. The line move was not a full point, so it's iffy. I took it though so here it goes.
I love how Spurs play but in betting you know that this does not count. I made a parlay Over spurs and ML spurs.
And bet single bets on Over and Utah +9.5 (bought two points). Let's hope that this game is close so it will be the over and I will win the parlay and the single bets lol.
Posted:
#210
Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough".
We'll see what happens, but for the record this this why rule 2 is so important.
Posted:
#214
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:
Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough".
Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough".
We'll see what happens, but for the record this this why rule 2 is so important.
According to
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:
Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough".
Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough".
We'll see what happens, but for the record this this why rule 2 is so important.
Hey my friend, according to sportsinsights.com it is 59% on the under. Who use the following online sportbooks to compare:
Who use Betcris, Olympic, Pinnacle, 5Dimes, Grande, Matchbook, BetUS, Sportsbk, Bovada, SIA, and Caesars
Posted:
#216
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:
Alright guys here it goes: 
--SYSTEM PLAY--
SA/UTAH OVER 199.5
We have a line move on the over (Rule 1), a slight majority favoring the under (Rule 2), and I like it (Rule 3), mainly because of the line move being counter-intuitive, based on the past 3 games.
I'm with the SA OVER. BOL to everyone!
with the SA OVER. BOL to everyone!
No offense, but what your back and forth actually creats more confusion than discussion for some. 
Posted:
#219
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:
Keep in mind guys that we're going for 60%+ here. We're off to an awesome start but stay disciplined tonight. We don't have to hit every single game, just 60% to be big winners.
Keep in mind guys that we're going for 60%+ here. We're off to an awesome start but stay disciplined tonight. We don't have to hit every single game, just 60% to be big winners.
NOW HERE COME THE HATERS!!
Guys it's hard to not get frustrated when a pick loses. As posted before, I'm shooting for 60%, and in this thread was 100% so far, and the system was 13-6 ytd, and coming off a W9 streak.
That's 9 IN A ROW that have hit the last few days. If you're new to the thread and tailed either pick and it loses, I understand you'll be frustrated, but please refrain from the hate.
I said stay disciplined, because NOT EVERY PICK is going to hit. Furthermore, we could dissect it and say Utah didn't qualify with only a 1/2 pt move, and the over didn't qualify because the public was 50/50. But I'm not doing that, I'm gonna post both picks in my record win or lose.
Just saying you can't expect every single pick to win. Follow the thread for a week or 2 and decide for yourself if it's valuable. If not then BOL to you, but here we're in it for the long haul.
Posted:
#225
Guys hindsight is 20/20 and i hemmed and hawed over this game all day and was gonna no-play both, but in the end decided to pick it.
Can't hit 100% of our games so stay disciplined and follow your instincts.
The Memphis total hasn't gone anywhere and does not qualify even under the loosest definition. Memphis still does imo since everyone is on the clips and line is still at 1.5
I'm taking Memphis tonight.
4 plays total:
Utah +7.5
Utah over 199.5
Utah over 98.5 second half (190.5 for the game)
Memphis +1.5
BOL
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