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Czech's Bringing Down The Books 101

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Posted: #201
It went down half point dammm....
 
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Posted: #202
Alright guys getting this out of the way now.  

**Not betting the Memphis game until closer to game time, and if the line moves move against me then these plays are disqualified, but for now the system plays are:

Memphis +1.5
Memphis under 182

BOL!!  
 
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Posted: #203
Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

It went down half point dammm....


It didn't move on 5dimes, but my friend said it did move on bookmaker
 
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Posted: #204
Action_junkee,

According to strict interpretation of the rules, Utah is iffy as a system play, since the line move was only 1/2 point.

However, I made a decision to qualify it because everyone is on SA, and I mean everyone.  In spite of this, the line did go down, albeit 1/2 point, which indicates sharp action.  

The reason I shared the system with everyone is so you can be the judge yourselves.  Usually when someone posts a pick and then it loses, they try to explain it later, and no one cares.

Here, I may make mistakes, but you have the system to judge things yourself.  According to you Utah didn't qualify, and I can't argue with you on that.  The line move was not a full point, so it's iffy.  I took it though so here it goes.
 
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Posted: #205
It moved on Betcris. But well I am in the over as well... Let's see
 
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Posted: #206
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Action_junkee,

According to strict interpretation of the rules, Utah is iffy as a system play, since the line move was only 1/2 point.

However, I made a decision to qualify it because everyone is on SA, and I mean everyone.  In spite of this, the line did go down, albeit 1/2 point, which indicates sharp action.  

The reason I shared the system with everyone is so you can be the judge yourselves.  Usually when someone posts a pick and then it loses, they try to explain it later, and no one cares.

Here, I may make mistakes, but you have the system to judge things yourself.  According to you Utah didn't qualify, and I can't argue with you on that.  The line move was not a full point, so it's iffy.  I took it though so here it goes.


I love how Spurs play but in betting you know that this does not count. I made a parlay Over spurs and ML spurs.

And bet single bets on Over and Utah +9.5 (bought two points). Let's hope that this game is close so it will be the over and I will win the parlay and the single bets lol.
 
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Posted: #207
horse racing
 
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Posted: #208
Guys, 

At the end of the day it's sports, and all subject to interpretation.  I gave you the tools to make your own evaluations and sharp plays. A play can qualify for me, and not for you, based on Rule 3, approving of the pick and following your gut.

BOL to everyone.
 
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Posted: #209
Was able to get it in there +7 love so got them up 8 right now,  goin be a tight one 
 
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Posted: #210
Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough". 

We'll see what happens, but for the record this this why rule 2 is so important. 
 
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Posted: #211
Will c what we can do come half time 
 
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Posted: #212
I seriously have to stop going on this site.  I'm such a moron for going to this site when I'm winning.  Good day and good luck.
 
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Posted: #213
Congrats Czech on the success of your thread. It was featured on the front page of the site as a hot forum! Good job my man and keep it going! 
 
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Posted: #214
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough". 

We'll see what happens, but for the record this this why rule 2 is so important. 



According to
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Guys I won't take anything back once it's posted, but I should note that the public was NOT 57% on the under. Everywhere I'm lookin was 50/50 and thus the total didn't qualify. I did post that before also but I saw one site said 53% on the under and I deemed this "good enough". 

We'll see what happens, but for the record this this why rule 2 is so important. 


Hey my friend, according to sportsinsights.com it is 59% on the under. Who use the following online sportbooks to compare:

Who use Betcris, Olympic, Pinnacle, 5Dimes, Grande, Matchbook, BetUS, Sportsbk, Bovada, SIA,  and Caesars
 
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Posted: #215
UTAH game is looking way under.
 
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Posted: #216
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Alright guys here it goes: 

--SYSTEM PLAY--

SA/UTAH OVER 199.5


We have a line move on the over (Rule 1), a slight majority favoring the under (Rule 2), and I like it (Rule 3), mainly because of the line move being counter-intuitive, based on the past 3 games.  

I'm  with the SA OVER.  BOL to everyone! 

 

No offense, but what your back and forth actually creats more confusion than discussion for some.

 
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Posted: #217
Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

Congrats Czech on the success of your thread. It was featured on the front page of the site as a hot forum! Good job my man and keep it going! 
---
If this game keeps up the way it's going, it'll be hot for all the wrong reasons.
 
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Posted: #218
Second half??
 
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Posted: #219
Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

Keep in mind guys that we're going for 60%+ here. We're off to an awesome start but stay disciplined tonight. We don't have to hit every single game, just 60% to be big winners. 

NOW HERE COME THE HATERS!!

Guys it's hard to not get frustrated when a pick loses.  As posted before, I'm shooting for 60%, and in this thread was 100% so far, and the system was 13-6 ytd, and coming off a W9 streak.

That's 9 IN A ROW that have hit the last few days.  If you're new to the thread and tailed either pick and it loses, I understand you'll be frustrated, but please refrain from the hate.

I said stay disciplined, because NOT EVERY PICK is going to hit.  Furthermore, we could dissect it and say Utah didn't qualify with only a 1/2 pt move, and the over didn't qualify because the public was 50/50.  But I'm not doing that, I'm gonna post both picks in my record win or lose.

Just saying you can't expect every single pick to win.  Follow the thread for a week or 2 and decide for yourself if it's valuable.  If not then BOL to you, but here we're in it for the long haul.


 
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Posted: #220
--SYSTEM PLAY--

SA OVER 98.5 SECOND HALF (190.5 FOR THE GAME)
 
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Posted: #221
The over is still alive, 2 more quarters like the last one and a extra bucket and we are there
 
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Posted: #222
Memphis under 182 that I posted earlier is disqualified based on the line going back to 182.5.
 
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Posted: #223
So far wagered system plays:

UTAH +7.5
UTAH OVER 199.5
UTAH OVER 98.5 second half
 
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Posted: #224
Sorry for any confusion from post #203 but I did say in there that if any lines changed against me then the play was disqualified, and this has happened with the memphis total.  So as of now that's a scratch.

This is why we wait until game time.
 
 
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Posted: #225
Guys hindsight is 20/20 and i hemmed and hawed over this game all day and was gonna no-play both, but in the end decided to pick it.  

Can't hit 100% of our games so stay disciplined and follow your instincts.  

The Memphis total hasn't gone anywhere and does not qualify even under the loosest definition.  Memphis still does imo since everyone is on the clips and line is still at 1.5

I'm taking Memphis tonight.

4 plays total:  

Utah +7.5
Utah over 199.5
Utah over 98.5 second half (190.5 for the game)
Memphis +1.5

BOL
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