Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

"These are the top 2 teams in the NBA as far as pace goes. Transition is the name of their game for them. Neither team has much of an offensive post presence and neither team is very effective in a halfcourt setting. The difference here is that Denver has very good transition defense(5th in the NBA), Houston does not(26th). When both teams have to run some offense Denver actually is more effective than Houston (I will rarely ever get to say that about Denver). If Houston can't score on the break all they do is try to break a team down off the dribble(Iso plays with Harden), or they run a pick n roll. They really don't have any threats with the roll man and most of their pick n rolls or pick n pops are designed for the ball carrier(Harden or Lin) to get their own shot. Teams are starting to figure this out though and as a result the Houston offense is really struggling lately. Denver matches up-very well because as I mentioned they play great transition defense but also because they are really good at defending the ball handler in the pickn roll. They are top 6 in the NBA in all 3 of these phases: transition defense, isolation plays, and defending the pick n roll ball handler.

Denver also has 2 other HUGE advantages. 
Bench play and offensive rebounding. Denver doesn't have a low post presence per-say but they are the best offensive rebounding team in the league. Last game Faried alone had 9 offensive rebounds lol.  This in my opinion could be the difference as Houston has nobody on their roster capable of keeping Faried of the boards. Denver has the 6th best bench in the league, Houston has the 20th. Denver will bring Andre Miller, Corey Brewer, Wilson Chandler, and Javale Mcgee off the bench. Houston brings Toney Douglas, Patrick Beverley(d-league call up), Markus Morris, Greg Smith, and Delfino off the bench. 

The way to beat Denver is to slow the pace down, make them play half court offense, box out their bigs, and attack them with a low post presence. Houston absolutely has no chance at doing any of that."

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101539315&page=1

- I also noticed that the Reverse Line Theory is applicable in this one. Public pounding on HOU, and the line moved from -2.5 to -2.0 still in favor of HOU. hmmm.. Reverse Line Theory tallied (in my personal notes) at 10-4. Took DEN right away.

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